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Tytuł artykułu
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Warianty tytułu
Bankruptcy Risk Modeling and Methods of Forecasting the Risk
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Przedstawiono modelowanie ryzyka upadłości na podstawie modelu Altmana, który opiera się na analizie dyskryminacyjnej oraz modelu logitowy stosowanym przy prognozowaniu i ocenie kondycji finansowej klienta. Omówiono również wybrane techniki oceny efektywności modeli.
The issue of bankruptcy of Polish enterprises receives growing attention - especially when concerning on the main issues banks will have to face to comply with the new Basel II internal ratings-based approach. Therefore bankruptcy risk assessment models are in the center of interest as well as the methods of their quality measurement. Due to a variety of technical developments in finance, it has become possible both to quantify the level of default risk in a single asset and test the model's accuracy - simply defined as a model's ability to correctly classify firms. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Strony
529--535
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
Bibliografia
- Benchmarking Quantitative Default Risk Models: A Validation Methodology, Rating Methodology, "Moody's Investors Service", March 2000.
- Engelmann B., Tasche D., Testing Rating Accuracy, "Risk Magazine", January 2003.
- International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards, BIS, Basel 2004.
- Moody's Risk Calc(tm) for Private Companies: Austria, Rating Methodology, "Moody's Investors Service", September 2002.
- Studies on the Validation of the Internal Rating Systems, Revised Version - May 2005, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, BIS.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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Identyfikator YADDA
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