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2006 | nr 4 | 27--44
Tytuł artykułu

Foresight w określaniu przyszłości rozwoju gospodarki narodowej

Warianty tytułu
Foresight in Describing the National Economy's Future Development
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
Zaprezentowano istotę metodyki stosowanej w procesie foresight oraz omówiono jego znaczenie z punktu widzenia podjętego tematu.
EN
The paper seeks to offer an answer to the question whether it is reasonable and possible to consciously anticipate future development in the changing environment and in the face of challenges posed by globalization. A common conviction prevails that globalization offers an opportunity of creating a more conscious, democratic and powerful society, which takes the risk of determining development paradigms - a society which is willing to assume responsibility for achieving this objective. Foresight is a significant process which provides methodological foundations for determining the future of an economy or a specific region. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
27--44
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
Bibliografia
  • A Practical Guide to Regional Foresight, Foresight for Regional Development Network (FOREN), European Commission, Seville 2001.
  • Anderson J., Technology Foresight for Competitive Advantage, „Long Range Planning” 1997, vol. 30, nr 5.
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  • Blass E., Researching the Future: Method or Madness?, „Futures” 2003, vol. 35, nr 10.
  • Borodako K., Zastosowanie foresightu w antycypowaniu zrównoważonego rozwoju wybranych regionów europejskich, AE w Krakowie, Kraków 2006 (maszynopis powielony).
  • Godet M., Introduction to la Prospective. Seven Key Ideas and One Scenario Method, „Futures” 1986, vol. 18, nr 2.
  • Gordon O., Foresight as a Tool to Enhance Regional Development, Technology Foresight Panels, Expert Papers, Technology Foresight Summit, Budapest, 27-29 March 2003.
  • Hond F. den, Groenewegen P., Environmental Technology Foresight: New Horizons for Technology Management, „Technology Analysis and Strategic Management” 1996, vol. 8, nr l.
  • Lenz R.С. Jr., Technological Forecasting, Aeronautical Systems Devision, Air Force Systems Command, 1962.
  • Loveridge D., Street P., Inclusive Foresight, „PREST Discussion Paper Series”, University of Manchester, Paper 03-13, July 2003.
  • Major E., Asch D., Cordey-Hayes M., Foresight as a Core Competence, „Futures” 2001, vol. 33, nr 2.
  • Martin B.R., Irvine J., Research Foresight. Priority-Setting in Science, Pinter Publishers, London-New York 1989.
  • Meredith J.R., Mantel S.J. Jr., Project Management: A Managerial Approach, John Wiley and Sons, New York 1995.
  • Meulen B. van der, The Impact of Foresight on Environmental Science and Technology Policy in the Netherlands, „Futures” 1999, vol. 31, nr l.
  • Okoń-Horodyńska E., Foresight- wprowadzenie do problemu, „Problemy Ekologii” 2005, vol. 9, nr 6.
  • Realising our Potential: A Strategy for Science, Engineering and Technology, Office of Science and Technology HMSO, London 1993.
  • Renn O., The Potential of Regional Foresight, Final report of the STRATA-ETAN Expert Group: „Mobilising the regional foresight potential for an enlarged European Union - an essential contribution to strengthen the strategic basis of the European Research Area (ERA)”, European Communities, Brussels 2002.
  • Ronde P., Technological Clusters with a Knowledge-based Principle: Evidence form a Delphi Investigation in the French Case of the Life Sciences, „Research Policy” 2001, vol. 30, nr 7.
  • Saritas O., Oner M. Atilla, Systemic Analysis of UK Foresight Results. Joint Application of Integrated Management Model and Roadmapping, „Technological Forecasting and Social Change” 2004, vol. 71,nr 1-2.
  • Slaughter R.A., From Forecasting and Scenarios to Social Construction: Changing Methodological Paradigms in Futures Studies, „Foresight” 2002, vol. 4, nr 3.
  • Smith R., Developing Foresight: An Interview with Sir Dai Rees, „British Medical Journal” 1994, vol. 309.
  • The Sociology of the Future, pod red. W. Bella i J.A. Maua, Harper and Row, New York 1972.
  • Tilley F., Fuller T., Foresighting Methods and Their Role in Researching Small Firms and Sustainability, „Futures” 2000, vol. 32, nr 2.
  • Tonn B.E., The Future of Futures Decision Making, „Futures” 2003, vol. 35, nr 6.
  • Webster A., UK Government's White Paper (1993): A Critical Commentary on Measures of Exploitation of Scientific Research, „Technology Analysis and Strategic Management” 1994, vol. 6, nr 2.
  • Winters C., Methods to Improve the Efficiency and Effectiveness of Regional Foresight Activities, Paper prepared for the STRATA-ETAN Expert Group Action on „Mobilising the regional foresight potential for an enlarged European Union”, European Commission - Research DG -Directorate K, Brussels 2002.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000161053856

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