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Abstrakty
This paper proposes an empirical assessment of economic interactions between the labour markets of the integrating EU over the period of time 1995-2005. Drawing on recently made available industry statistics, we provide a sector level study (13 tradable sectors, including manufacturing and services), analysing the contemporary evolution of domestic and trade partners' employment levels. Given the intensification of trade relations as a result of ongoing integration process, we build a sector-specific measure of economic interdependency, based on information on labour markets' performance and weighted by the magnitude of intra-EU trade flows (imports). The estimates of a dynamic empirical model confirm the interactions between employment levels in different Member States. Domestic employment in NMS-5 is rather positively affected by the expansion of labour markets in other EU's trade partners (domestic employment levels in NMS-5 countries improve in parallel to the increase in foreign tradable sectors' employment). The opposite holds true for EU-15 domestic labour markets that are rather challenged by the expansion of tradable sectors in their EU trade partners. (original abstract)
W artykule podjęto próbę empirycznej oceny ekonomicznych zależności między rynkami pracy integrującej się Europy za okres 1995-2005. W oparciu o udostępnione niedawno statystyki przemysłu, przeprowadzono studia na poziomie sektorowym (13 sektorów handlu, w tym produkcji i usług) analizując współczesną ewolucję sektorów krajowych i poziom zatrudnienia (wykorzystania) partnerów handlowych. Biorąc pod uwagę intensyfikację relacji handlowych jako rezultat trwającego procesu integracji , zbudowano dla danego sektora miarę współzależności gospodarczych, na podstawie informacji dotyczącej charakterystyki rynków pracy i ważonej wielkości wewnątrzunijnych przepływów handlowych (import). Szacunki dynamiki empirycznego modelu potwierdzają interakcje między poziomami zatrudnienia w poszczególnych krajach członkowskich. Krajowe zatrudnienie w nowych 5 krajach członkowskich ma raczej pozytywny wpływ na rozwój rynków pracy u partnerów handlowych z innych krajów Unii Europejskiej (poziomy zatrudnienia wewnętrznego w 5 nowych krajach członkowskich poprawiają się równolegle do wzrostu zatrudnienia w sektorach handlu zagranicznego). Stan przeciwny utrzymuje się dla krajowych rynków pracy starej piętnastki (EU-15), dla których pewnym wyzwaniem jest ekspansja sektorów handlu ich unijnych partnerów handlowych.
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Bibliografia
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Bibliografia
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