Czasopismo
Tytuł artykułu
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Risk is an integral element of any economic project. It is impossible to avoid, and therefore it is necessary to be able to estimate and minimize it. Any investment in construction can be risky. The basic purpose of risk analysis may be formulated as follows: to give to potential partners of the project the facts on the issue related to making a decision whether to participate in the project and which method to choose so that financial losses are avoided. The paper presents a verbal method of determining investment risk in construction. A new way to solve the problem, based on Verbal Decision Analysis approach, is offered.
Ryzyko jest integralną częścią jakiegokolwiek projektu gospodarczego. Nie można go uniknąć i dlatego niezbędną jest możliwość jego oszacowania i minimalizowania. Jakakolwiek inwestycja w budownictwie może być ryzykowna. Podstawowy celem analizy ryzyka może być następuje sformułowanie: dostarczyć potencjalnym partnerom projektu faktów związanych z podejmowaniem decyzji czy uczestniczyć w projekcie i którą metodę wybrać, żeby uniknąć strat finansowych. Artykuł przedstawia ustną metodę ustalania ryzyka inwestycyjnego w budownictwie. Został zaoferowany nowy sposób rozwiązywania problemów, oparty na podejściu Ustnej Analizy Decyzyjnej. (AT)
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
299--318
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Lithuania
autor
- Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Lithuania
autor
- Institute for System Analysis Moscow
Bibliografia
- Slowinski R., Zopounidis C: Application of the Rough Set Approach to Evaluation of Bankruptcy Risk, 'international Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting Finance and Management" 1995, Vol. 4, No 1, pp. 27-41.
- Ustinovichius L., Köchin D.: Verbal Analysis of the Investment Risk in Construction. "Journal of Business Economics and Management" 2003, North-German Academy of lnformatology (Stralsund), Vol. 4, No 4, p. 228-234.
- Larichev O., Mechitov A., Moshovich E., Furems E.: Revealing of Expert Knowledge. Publishing House Nauka, Moscow 1989 (in Russian).
- Larichev O., Bolotov A.: System D1FKLASS: Construction of Full and Consistent Bases of Expert Knowledge in Problems of Differential Classification. The Scientific and Technical Information, series 2: "Informacionie Procesi i Sistemi" 1996 (Information processes and systems). No 9 (in Russian).
- Larichev O., Kochin D., and Kortnev A.: Decision Support System for Classification of a Finite Set of Multicriteria Alternatives. "Decision Support Systems" 2002, Vol. 33, No l,p. 13-21.
- Asanov A., Borisenkov P., Larichev O., Nariznij E., Rozejnzon G.: Method of Multicriteria Classification CYCLE and Its Application for the Analysis of the Credit Risk. "Ekonomika i Matematicheskije metodi" 2001, (Economy and mathematical methods), Vol. 37, No 2, p. 14-21 (in Russian).
- Gronskas V.: Risk in Mixed Economy: Its Concept and Structure. "Journal of Civil Engineering and Management" 2003, Vol. 34, No 3, p. 46-53 (in Lithuanian).
- Liuchvaitis S.: Risk Management and Impact of Its Analysis on Business Development. "Verslas: Teorija ir praktika-Business" 2003, Vol. IV, No 1, p. 25-35 (in Lithuanian).
- Zavadskas E.K., Ustinovichius L., Stasiulionis A.: Multicriteria Valuation of Commercial Construction Projects for Investment Purposes. "Journal of Civil Engineering and Management" 2004, Vol. X, No 2, p. 151-166 (in Lithuanian).
- Ustinovichius L., Zavadskas E.K.: Assessment of Investment Profitability in Construction from Technological Perspectives. Publishing House "Technika", VGTU, Vilnius 2004, p. 220 (in Lithuanian).
- Ustinovichius L.: Determination of Efficiency of Investments in Construction. "International Journal of Strategic Property Management" 2004, Vol. 8, No 1, p. 25-44.
- Baccarini D., Archer R.: The Risk Ranking of Projects: A Methodology. "International Journal of Project Management" 2001, Vol. 19, No 3, p. 139-146.
- Nedzveckas J., Rasimavichius G.: lnvestpment Currency Risk and Ways of Its Decrease. "Economy" 2000, Publishing House of VU, Vilnius, Vol. 51, No 2, p. 63-74.
- Grachyova M.V.: Risk - An Analysis of the Investment Project. YUNITI. Moscow 2001, p. 326 (in Russia).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
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