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This paper looks into the construction of the economic sentiment indicators calculated by the European Commission (EC) and the composite leading indicators calculated by the OECD. The aim of the paper is to evaluate the current... performance of the ... indicators for a number of countries and to investigate possibilities of constructing sentiment indicators which would forecast cycles in economic activity with longer lead times. (fragment of text)
Rocznik
Strony
111--137
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
Bibliografia
- Amaud В., 2000. The OECD System of Leading Indicators: Recent Efforts to Meet User's Needs. [in:] G. Poser, D. Bloesch (eds.), Economic Surveys and Data Analysis, Paris 2002: OECD, 107-122.
- Beziz P., Petit G., 1997. The 1994 Mexican Crises: Were Signals Inadequate?, "Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Summer/Fall.
- Brunet О., 2000. Calculation of Composite Leading Indicators: A Comparison of Two Different Methods. [in:] G. Poser, D. Bloesch (eds.), Economic Surveys and Data Analysis, Paris 2002: OECD, 123-133.
- Bry G., Boschan C., 1971. Programmed Turning Point Determination. [in:] Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computed Programmes, New York: NBER.
- Kudrycka I., Hoos J., Muszely G., Nilsson R., 1996. Cyclical Indicators in Poland and Hungary. Paper presented at the OECD Meeting on Leading Indicators, Paris.
- Nilsson R., 1987. OECD Leading Indicators. "Economic Studies" 9.
- Nilsson R., 1994. Leading Indicators for OECD, Central and Eastern European Countries. [in:] Baldassarri, Annunziato (eds.), Is the Economic Cycle Still Alive ? New York: St Martins Press; London: The Macmillan Press.
- OECD. 1987. OECD Leading Indicators and Business Cycles in Member Countries, Sources and Methods 1960-1985. Paris.
- OECD. 1997. Cyclical Indicators and Business Tendency Surveys. OCDE/GD(97)58.
- Petit G., Salou G., Beziz P., Degain C., 1996. An Update of OECD Leading Indicators. Paper presented at the OECD Meeting on Leading Indicators, Paris.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171236649