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2004 | nr 74 | 209--232
Tytuł artykułu

Composite Leading Indicators

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This paper refers to a broader research on composite indicators of economic activity for Poland, which was started in 1994 and has been continued in the Research Institute of Economic Development (RIED) at Warsaw School of Economics under five successive research projects headed by the author. The aim is to develop a system of composite indicators based on quantitative and qualitative data to be used in the analysis of cyclical changes in the economy as well as in forecasting. (fragment of text)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
209--232
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Bieć-Drozdowicz M. 2004. Composite Leading Indexes (in this book).
  • Evans M.K., 1969. Macroeconomic Activity: Theory, Forecasting and Control. An Econometric Approach. New York: Harper & Row.
  • Klein P.A., 1996. Die Konjunkturindikatoren des NBER - Measurement without Theory? [in:] K.H. Oppenländer (ed.), Konjunkturindikatoren, 2nd ed., München.
  • Koopmans T.C. 1947. Measurement without Theory. Review of Economics аnd Statistics 29, 161-172.
  • Kudrycka I., Nilsson R., 1993. Business Cycles in the Period of Transition. Z Prac Zakładu Badań Statystycznych GUS i PAN 216. Warszawa: GUS.
  • Kudrycka I., Nilsson R., 1995. Business Cycles in Poland. Z Prac Zakładu Badań Statystycznych GUS i PAN 227.
  • Kudrycka I. et al. 1996. Cyclical Indicators in Poland and Hungary. Paper presented at the OECD Meeting on Leading Indicators. Paris: OECD.
  • Matkowski Z., 1979. Barometry koniunktury (Leading indicators). Warszawa: SGPiS.
  • Matkowski Z., 1996a General Indicators of Business Activity for Poland Based on Qualitative and Quantitative Data. CCET Workshop on Short-Term Economic Indicators. Budapest: CCET/96/25.
  • Matkowski Z., 1996b. Composite Leading Indicators for Poland and the Concept of the Reference Cycle. Paper presented at the OECD Meeting on Leading Indicators, Paris: OECD.
  • Matkowski Z., 1997a. Business Cycles in Poland. [in:] K.H. Oppenländer, G. Poser (eds.), Social and Structural Change - Consequences for Business Cycle Surveys. Aldershot - Brookfield - Singapore - Sydney: Ashgate (1998), 407-428.
  • Matkowski Z., 1997b. Barometry koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej (Composite leading indicators for the Polish economy). Prace i Materiały IRG 51, 287-309. Warszawa SGH.
  • Matkowski Z., 1997c. Cykle w rozwoju gospodarki polskiej (Cyclical development of the Polis Economy). "Ekonomista" 5-6, 619-648.
  • Matkowski Z., 1998. Barometry koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej: edycja 1998 (Composite leading indicators of business activity for Poland: 1998 edition). Prace i Materiały IRG 61, 41-73. Warszawa: SGH. Reprinted (1999) Prace i Materiały IRG 64, 141-172. Warszawa: SGH.
  • Matkowski Z., 1999. Barometry koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej: edycja 1999 (Composite leading indicators of business activity for Poland: 1999 edition). Prace i Materiały IRG 64, 173-212. Warszawa: SGH.
  • Matkowski Z., 2000. Composite Indicators for Business Activity for Poland. [in:] I International Meeting on Economic Cycles, Ourense 2000. Madrid: UNED, 459-473.
  • Matkowski Z., 2001. Syntetyczne wskaźniki koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej: edycja 2000 (Synthetic indicators of business activity for Poland: 2000 edition). Prace i Materiały IRG 67, 135-197. Warszawa: SGH.
  • Matkowski Z., 2004. Growth Cycles in Poland (in this book).
  • Matkowski Z. (ed.). 1997. Z prac nad syntetycznymi wskaźnikami koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej (The works on synthetic indicators of business activity for Poland). Prace i materiały IRG 51. Warszawa: SGH.
  • Matkowski Z., 1998. Złożone wskaźniki koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej oparte na standardach UE i OECD (Composite indicators of business activity for Poland based on EU and OECD standards). Prace i Materiały IRG 61. Warszawa: SGH.
  • Matkowski Z., 1999. Barometry koniunktury dla gospodarki polskiej (Barometers of business activity for Poland). Prace i Materiały IRG 64. Warszawa: SGH.
  • Moore G.H., 1983. Business Cycle, Inflation, and Forecasting. Cambridge, Mass.: NBER.
  • Moore G.H., Cullity J.P., 1994. The Historical Record of Leading Indicators - An Answer to Measurement Without Theory. [in:] K.H. Oppenländer, G. Poser (eds.) The Explanatory Power of Business Cycle Surveys. Burlington: Ashgate, 683-701.
  • Niemira M.P., Klein P.A., 1994. Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles. New York: John Wiley&Sons.
  • Nilsson R., 1991. OECD Leading Indicators and the Phase Average Trend Method. Workshop on Opinion Surveys for Business and Consumers and Time Series Analysis. Munich.
  • OECD., 1987. OECD Leading Indicators and Business Cycles in Member Countries 1960-1985. Main Economic Indicators. Sources and Methods 39.
  • OECD., 1998. OECD Composite Leading Indicators: A Tool for Short-term Analysis. Paris: OECD. (Reprinted with abbreviations in this book).
  • Stolorz S., 2004. Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes (in this book).
  • TCB., 2001. Business Cycle Indicators Handbook. New York. (Reprinted in this book).
  • Westlund A.H., 1993. Business Cycle Forecasting. "Journal of Forecasting", 187-196.
  • Zarnowitz V., 1992. Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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Identyfikator YADDA
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