Financialization of commodities
The basic theory of price formation tells us how the price of a particular asset will change based on the adjustment to its supply and demand. However, values of assets are also determined by other business fundamentals, company's and world events, human psychology, and investors' belief about the possible future profit. In recent history that lead to an increase of individual and institutional investors' interest in allocating their resources in commodity markets. With a large inflow of capital commodities' prices started to rise making them attractive components to effective investment portfolios. The presented paper addresses the issue of so called commodities 'financialization' process. It looks at the main factors standing behind commodities' price movements and to what extent financial market participants contributed to commodities price volatility in recent years. Based on the data examined it distinguishes the involvement of both commercial and non-commercial traders in short and long term periods of time. As well as explaining the impact of growing investors' interest in commodity markets it defines other market forces - like currency appreciations and emerging markets - as being part of increased volatility in raw and soft commodity markets. Along with market examination the paper focuses on possible future outcomes in attempts to regulate commodities derivatives markets and potential effects of those efforts. (original abstract)
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