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2006 | nr 2 Financial markets : principles of modeling forecasting and decision-making | 99--120
Tytuł artykułu

Online Testing of Switching Volatility

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EN
Abstrakty
EN
Chapter 6 presents the methods for online detection of a change in the unconditional volatility. A test based on a moving sum is proposed and evaluated. The test has a controlled asymptotic size, i.e. the false alarm probability during an infinitely long monitoring period is fixed. The effects of autoregression and conditional heteroscedasticity have been also addressed and a test that allows for heteroscedasticity has been proposed. The testing procedures are exemplified with the Hang Seng Index to see whether a shift during the Asian crises period could have been detected online (fragment of text)
Twórcy
autor
  • Göteborg University
Bibliografia
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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