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2011 | vol. 4, iss. 1 | 40--51
Tytuł artykułu

Lithuanian export competitiveness before economic recession

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The research paper discusses the concept of competitiveness of economy and analyzes export as an indicator of it. The analysis is started by the historical review of export development. Statistical data show that three Baltic countries have been following different path of export growth since Russian crisis. Different export market orientation and manufacturing sector's longer reorientation process provide an explanation. Furthermore, the historical analysis shows that export growth relation with foreign demand growth and GDP growth is not as strong as it might be expected. In order to estimate possible long-run GDP growth prospects, the structural analysis of trade is performed. The conclusions of the latter revealed high dependence of trade on conjuncture in foreign markets and supported the need of further price and non-price competitiveness analysis. Surprisingly, the results of the former indicate that price indicators do little to explain export development. Conversely, the results of the latter, based on CMSA methodology, show that market orientation of Lithuanian exports adds the most to its competitiveness; meanwhile the product orientation is generally unfavorable. Finally, the relation between FDI structure by countries and trade flows of processed industrial supplies is analyzed. Although data analysis does not reject the existence of such hypothesis, a more detail analysis should be conducted in the future.(original abstract)
Rocznik
Strony
40--51
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Vytautas Magnus University, Lithuania
  • Economic Adviser of Lithuanian President
Bibliografia
  • Carlin, W., Glyn, A., Van Reenen, J., 1999. "Export market performance of OECD countries: An empirical examination of the role of cost competitiveness," IFS Working Paper Series, No.W99/21.
  • Ca'Zorzi, M., Schnatz, B., 2007. "Explaining and forecasting euro area exports: What competitiveness indicator performs best?" ECB Working Paper Series, No.833.
  • Cheptea, A., Gaulier, G., Zignago, S., 2005. "Trade competitiveness: A disaggregated view by shift-share analysis," CEPII, Working Paper, No.2005-23.
  • ECB, 2005. "Competitiveness and the export performance in the Euro area," ECB Occasional Paper Series, No.30.
  • European Commission, 1999. Sixth Periodic Report on the Social and Economic Situation of Regions in the EU, Brussels: European Commission.
  • Fabrizio, S., Igan, D., Mody, A., 2007. "The dynamics of product quality and international competitiveness," IMF Working Paper, No.WP/07/97.
  • Krugman, P., 1996. "Making sense of the competitiveness debate," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, No.12.
  • Neary, J., 2006. "Measuring competitiveness," IMF Working Paper, WP/06/209.
  • Porter, M., 1998. The competitive advantage of nations, New York: Palgrave.
  • Stahn, K., 2006. "Has the impact of key determinants of German exports changed? Results from estimations of Germany's intra euro-area and extra euro-area exports," Deutsche Bundesbank, Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, No. 07/2006.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171286559

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