The Inflation Impact of Selected European Union Members on Polish Inflation

• Autorzy: Jarosław Czaja , Łukasz Kuźmiński
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The article aims at determining the inflation influence between Poland and selected EU member states. Although for some time the general inflation level in those countries was definitely controllable, the problem seems to be returning. That is why in this article, using the model of Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Granger causality test, we are attempting to determine inflation influences on Poland. The study confirmed the impact of the selected countries on Polish inflation, expressed the general HICP index. However, in the case of Germany, the method has not proved the existence of such interactions. For this reason, it is made an attempt to clarify the reasons for non-compliance findings with data showing Germany as a Polish main trading partner for more than two decades. The authors try to show that lack of influence can be seen in the excessive generality of the main HICP index and predict that the chosen method confirm the effect of foreign trade indices in the HICP. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Inflation; Vector Autoregression Model (VAR); Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)

PL

Inflacja; Model wektorowej autoregresji; Zharmonizowany wskaźnik cen konsumpcyjnych

• Czasopismo: e-Finanse
• Rocznik: 2012
• Tom: 8
• Numer: nr 2
• Strony: 11--24

Twórcy

autor

Jarosław Czaja

• Wrocław University of Economics, Poland

autor

Łukasz Kuźmiński

• Wrocław University of Economics, Poland

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