Decomposition of trends in youth unemployment - the role of job accessions and separations in countries with different employment protection regimes

• Autorzy: Anna Baranowska-Rataj , Iga Magda
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

We examine the drivers of youth unemployment in Poland and Spain, countries where youth have a marginalised labour market position. We decompose the trends in unemployment rates in 1990-2011. We disentangle the role of prolonging job search and the impact of dismissals. The contribution of these two factors to the changes in unemployment rates is compared between youth and the reference group of prime-age workers. We show that in both countries, youth had actually higher chances of finding jobs than the prime-age workers during last two decades. However, the probability of job separation among youth was persistently higher. Moreover, the youth job separation risk reacted to recessions much stronger than the prime-age group risk. In Poland the disparity between the impact of job dismissals on changes in unemployment rates among young and prime-age men is relatively lower than in Spain, which could be ascribed to countries' differential employment protection regimes. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Unemployment; Volume of employment; Labour market; Labour market segmentation

PL

Bezrobocie; Wielkość zatrudnienia; Rynek pracy; Segmentacja rynku pracy

• Czasopismo: ISiD Working Papers
• Rocznik: 2013
• Numer: nr 26
• Strony: 25

Twórcy

autor

Anna Baranowska-Rataj

• Warsaw School of Economics, Poland

autor

Iga Magda

• Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie

Bibliografia

• Allard G.J, Lindert P.H., Euro-Productivity and Euro-Jobs Since the 1960s: Which Institutions Really Mattered? NBER Working Paper No.12460; National Bureau of Economic Research; Cambridge 2006.
• Arulampalam W., Booth A., Taylor M.P., Unemployment persistence, "Oxford Economic Papers", 2000; 52; 24-50.
• Autor D.H., Donohue J., Schwab S.J., The costs of wrongful discharge laws. "Review of Economics and Statistics", 2006; 88; 211-31.
• Barbieri P., Scherer S., Labor Market Flexibilization and Its Consequences in Italy. "European Sociological Review" 2009; 25; 677-92.
• Barbieri P., Flexible Employment and Inequality in Europe, "European Sociological Review", 2009; 25; 621-28.
• Bertola G., Job security, employment and wages, "European Economic Review", 1990; 34; 851-86.
• Blanchard O., Diamond P., The Cyclical Behavior of the Gross Flows of U.S. Workers, "Brookings Papers on Economic Activity", 1990; 2; 85-143.
• Bover O., Gómez R., Another Look at Unemployment Duration: Exit to a Permanent vs. a Temporary Job, "Investigaciones Económicas", 2004; 28; 285-314.
• Cahuc P., Zylberberg A., Labor Economics, MIT Press: Cambridge; 2004.
• Cuestas J.C., Gil-Alana L.A., Staehr K., A further investigation of unemployment persistence in European transition economies. "Journal of Comparative Economics", 2011; 39; 514-532.
• Dolado J., Jimeno J., The causes of Spanish unemployment: A structural VAR approach. "European Economic Review", 1997; 41; 1281-1307.
• Eamets R., Labour market flows and adjustment to macroeconomic shocks in the Baltic States. "Post-Communist Economies", 2004; 16; 47-71.
• Elsby M., Hobijn B., Şahin A., Unemployment Dynamics in the OECD. "Review of Economics and Statistics", 2012 (advanced access).
• Elsby M., Smith J., Wadsworth J., The role of worker flows in the dynamics and distribution of UK unemployment," Oxford Review of Economic Policy", 2010; 27; 338-363.
• European Commission. Employment in Europe 2010, European Commission: Brussels; 2010.
• Feldmann H. The unemployment effects of labor regulation around the world. "Journal of Comparative Economics", 2009; 37; 76-90.
• Franchi M., Ordóñez J., Multiple equilibria in Spanish unemployment. "Structural Change and Economic Dynamics", 2011; 22; 71-80.
• Fujita Sh., Ramey G., The Cyclicality of Separation and Job Finding Rates. "International Economic Review", 2009; 50; 415-430.
• Garibaldi P., Job Flows Dynamics and Firing Restrictions, "European Economic Review", 1998; 42; 245-275.
• Gąska J., Lewandowski P., Procedury i regulacje - o zatrudnianiu i zwalnianiu. In: Bukowski M. (Ed.) Zatrudnienie w Polsce 2009. Przedsiębiorczość dla pracy. Instytut Badań Strukturalnych, Warszawa 2010.
• Gielen A., van Ours J., Age-specific cyclical effects in job reallocation and labour mobility. "Labour Economics", 2006; 13; 493-504.
• Giesecke J., Groß M., Temporary employment: chance or risk? "European Sociological Review" 2003; 19; 161-177.
• Góra M., Walewski M., Bezrobocie równowagi w Polsce - wstępna analiza i próba oszacowania, "Polska Gospodarka", 2002; 4; 36-40.
• Gregg P., Tominey E., The wage scar from male youth unemployment, "Labour Economics", 2005; 12; 487-509.
• Guner N., Kaya E., Sanchez- Marcos V., Gender gaps in Spain: Policies and outcomes over the last three decades, IZA Discussion Paper; 6812. IZA: Bonn; 2012.
• Haltiwanger J., Vodopivec M., Gross worker and job flows in a transition economy: an analysis of Estonia. "Labour Economics", 2002; 9; 601-630.
• Haltiwanger J., Lehmann H., Terell K., Job Creation and Job Destruction in Transition Countries. "Economics of Transition", 2003; 11; 205-219.
• Kahn L.M., The impact of employment protection mandates on demographic temporary employment patterns: international microeconomic evidence. "Economic Journal", 2007; 117; 333-356.
• Kwiatkowski, Socha, Mieczyslaw, Sztanderska, Urszula, 2001. Labour Market Flexibility and Employment Security. ILO, Geneva.
• Lazear E., Job security provisions and employment, "Quarterly Journal of Economics", 1990; 105; 699-26.
• Lokshin M., Ravallion M., Welfare Impacts of the 1998 Financial Crisis in Russia and the Response of the Public Safety Net, "Economics of Transition", 2000; 8; 269-295.
• Mortensen D.T., Pissarides C., Job reallocation, employment fluctuations and unemployment, in: Taylor J.B., Woodford M., eds., Handbook of Macroeconomics, vol. 1, Part B, Elsevier, Amsterdam; 1999. p.1171-1228.
• Narendranathan W., Elias P., Influences of past history on the incidence of youth unemployment: Empirical findings for the UK. "Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics", 1993; 55; 161-86.
• Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Detailed description of employment protection in OECD and selected non-OECD countries 2008, OECD: Paris 2008.
• Petrongolo B., Pissarides C., The Ins and Outs of European Unemployment. "American Economic Review", 2008; 98;256- 262.
• Rodriguez-Palenzuela D., Jimeno-Serrano J., Youth unemployment in the OECD: demographic shifts; labour market institutions, and macroeconomic shock. Working Paper Series 155, European Central Bank, Frankfurt; 2002.
• Scarpetta S., Sonnet A., Manfredi Th., Rising youth unemployment during the crisis: How to prevent negative long-term consequences on a generation? OECD Social, Employment and Migration Papers No. 106, OECD, Paris; 2010.
• Shimer R., Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment. "Review of Economic Dynamics", 2012; 15; 127-148.
• Silva J., Vázquez-Grenno J., The ins and outs of unemployment and the assimilation of recent migrants in Spain. "Journal of Population Economics", 2011; 24; 1309-1330.
• Smith J., The Ins And Outs Of UK Unemployment. "Economic Journal", 2011; 121; 402-444.
• Verick Sh., Who Is Hit Hardest during a Financial Crisis? The Vulnerability of Young Men and Women to Unemployment in an Economic Downturn, in: Iyanatul Islam, Verick Sher (Eds.), From the Great Recession to Labour Market Recovery: Issues, Evidence and Policy Options, Palgrave Macmillan: Basingstoke; 2010.