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1991 | nr 345 Usefulness of demographic modelling | 43--53
Tytuł artykułu

Demographic transition in the various population categories

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An assistance could be offered to the demographic decision-makers in this debate by the study of the cohort populations. According to the Table 4 the size of cohort populations is higher, the structure is older than' the calendar ones. Therefore the consumption- of cohort populations would be higher as it could be under the recent transversal conditions and institutions. This shows that in the future a reinterpretation of the age composition is certain and it should be chosen rather according to the expectable mortality improvement than on the basis of the present health condition of- the population, and never after the essential mortality improvement has taken place. Yes, but in this case partly disabled people should be employed in greater numbers - young people in Hungary are frightened by the fact - who decreases possibility and opportunities to work for young people under the present rather tense employment conditions. This purpose could be served by the second social agreement which would be aimed- at improving income distributions more favourable for the younger generations.(fragment of text)
Twórcy
Bibliografia
  • Andorka, R. (1987): Gyermekszasm a fejlett orszszagokban (Number of children in the developed countries), Gondolat, Budapest.
  • Chesnais, J.C. (1972): Patterns of demographic transition, in: Demographic transition, Humboldt University, Berlin.
  • Coale A.J. (1972): The growth and structure of human populations. A mathematical investigation. Princton University Press, Princeton.
  • Hablicsek L., Monigl I., Vukovich G. (1986): A magyarorszagi nepessfegfejlodes nehctny hosszu tavu jellemzeje 1880-2001 kozott (Some long term characteristics of population development in Hungary between 1880 - 2001), "Demografia", 4.
  • Hablicsek, L., Langere Redei M., Szab K. (1987); Magyarorszäg nepessege, 1986-2021. Orszägos nepessegelöreszämitäs, (Population of Hungary, 1986-2021. National population projection), KSH NKI Közlemfenyei 66.
  • Henry, L. (1965): Reflexions sur les taux de reproduction, Population, 1.
  • Hofsten, E. (1981): The demographic transition - an attempt to reformulate a population theory, Statistisk Tidskrift, 1.
  • Klinger, A. (1983): Az öregedds demogräfiai vonatkozäsai (Demographic aspects of aging), "Demografla", 1.
  • Matthiessen P.C. (1979): Some aspects of the demographic transition in Denmark. Gads Forlag, Copenhagen.
  • Pearl,R., Gould S. (1936): World Population Growth, Human Biology, 3.
  • Schwarz, K. (1986): Die Kohorten - oder Laengsschittsanalyse in der amtlichen Bevölkerungsstatistik des Deutschen Reichs und der Bundesrepublik Deutschland, Zeitschrift für Bevölkerungswissenschaften, 3.
  • Tekse, K. (1975): Bevezetfes a stabi1 nepesseg elmfeletebe (Introduction into the theory of stable population). Budapest, Statisztikai Kiadö Vällalat, Budapest.
  • Valkovics, E. (1981): Stabil populaciök es szubpopuläciök nöhäny üjonnan feltärt tulajdonsägäröl (On some newly disclosed features of stable populations and subpopulations). KSH NKI Kgzlemfenyei 61 (b).
  • Valkovicks, E. (1982): A demograifiai ätmenet elemzesenek nehäny gyakorlati nehezsegeröl (On some practical difficulties of analysing demographic transition). KSH NKI Kutatäsi Jelentesei, 5 (a).
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Bibliografia
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