Short - term projections of demographic processes

• Autorzy: Mircho Vukov , Chistian Griva
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

In the last case the projection can be used for the choice of a strategy of behaviour by the policy-makers. In this case the aim is to maximize the expected advantages of some favourable projection, or to minimize the disadvantages of an unfavourable one. In order to obtain this aim the projection has to be reliable i.e. this is the most important .indicator for the usefulness of the projections for the development of a non-controlled process.(fragment of text)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Demographic process; Behaviour theory; Forecasting; Business processes

PL

Procesy demograficzne; Teoria zachowań; Prognozowanie; Procesy biznesowe

• Czasopismo: Monografie i Opracowania / Szkoła Główna Handlowa
• Rocznik: 1991
• Numer: nr 345 Usefulness of demographic modelling
• Strony: 37--42

Twórcy

autor

Mircho Vukov

autor

Chistian Griva

Bibliografia

• Bates J.M., C.W. Gronger (1969): The combination forecasts, Operation Research Quarterly.
• Brown, R.G. (1963): Smoothing, forecasting and predication of discrete time series. Prentice Hall, New Jork.
• Lewis C. P. (1982): Industrial and business forecasting methods. Butterworth & Co. Publishers Ltd, London.
• Martino, J. (1977): Technological forecasting (in Russian), Mysl, Moscow.