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1991 | nr 345 Usefulness of demographic modelling | 205--220
Tytuł artykułu

An ecological approach to the Italian fertility decline : 1971-1981

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Analysing North-Centre in 1931, 1951 and 1961, Livi Bacci found the progressive decreasing of the positive relationship between fertility and Illiteracy. Our results show that. In the sixties and in the seventies, the trend reversed, and the positive connection is stronger in 1981 than in 1971. It is not easy to understand the meaning of this quite surprising result. We can only suppose that the "new wave* of fertility decline has found some resistances where roots of modernization are relatively new. Percentage of illiterates can be a good index of the beginning of modernization in the Italian provinces. Finally, no clear relationship between urbanization and fertility emerges from our analysis; it is not a surprise in the South-Islands (Livi Bacci, 1977, p.1283, but we could expect a negative relationship in the North-Centre. There are large differences in fertility between towns and other commi, as pointed out in other studies on the past (Livi Bacci, 1977, and on the present (Dalia Zuanna, 1989). (fragment of text)
Bibliografia
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Bibliografia
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