Who's Afraid of Population Decline? a Critical Examination of its Consequences

• Autorzy: David Coleman , Robert Rowthorn

Warianty tytułu

Kto się boi zmniejszenia liczby ludności? Krytyczne badanie konsekwencji tego zjawiska

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Population decline confronts almost all the countries ofCentral and Eastern Europe. Total world population may be declining before the end of this century. Despite that, is a neglected topic in demography, its analysis and its consequences overshadowed by the problem of population ageing. This paper shows that population decline is a diverse phenomenon. The process of decline, and its end-product of smaller population size, have different consequences. Modest rates of decline may be manageable and scarcely perceptible. Smaller population size may be irrelevant to most aspects of political, social and economic welfare and beneficial for environment and sustainability. In the future, adaptation to it may in any case become unavoidable. (original abstract)

Prawie wszystkie kraje Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej stają wobec problemu zmniejszenia się liczby ich ludności. Również całkowita populacja świata może się zmniejszać przed końcem obecnego stulecia. Stanowi to zaniedbany temat w demografii, a jego analizy i konsekwencje są przysłaniane przez problem starzenia się populacji. W artykule pokazano, że zmniejszenie liczby ludności jest zjawiskiem odmiennym. Proces zmniejszania się i jego wynik w formie mniej liczebnej populacji mają różne konsekwencje. Umiarkowane tempo spadku może być możliwe do kontrolowania i odczuwalne w sposób nieznaczny. Mniejsza liczba ludności może być nieistotna dla większości aspektów sytuacji politycznej, społecznej i ekonomicznej, a korzystna pod względem środowiska i zrównoważonego rozwoju. W przyszłości dostosowanie się do tego może okazać się nieuniknione. (abstrakt oryginalny)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Ageing of the population; Demographic forecasting

PL

Starzenie się społeczeństw; Prognozowanie demograficzne

• Czasopismo: Olsztyn Economic Journal
• Rocznik: 2011
• Numer: nr 6 (1)
• Strony: 5--26

Twórcy

autor

David Coleman

• Oxford University

autor

Robert Rowthorn

• Oxford University

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