Influence of Macro-Economic Growth, CAP Reforms and Biofuel Policy on the Polish Agri-Food Sector in 2007-2020

• Autorzy: Andrzej Tabeau
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This paper presents the possible development scenario of the Polish agricultural sector till 2020. It also assesses the impact of macroeconomic growth, CAP reforms and worldwide policies towards the agriculture on this development. The scenario is build using an extended version of the Global Trade Analysis Project model GTAP which is a computable general equilibrium model of the world economy. The analysis shows that the growth of Polish agri-food sector observed after accession to the European Union will be prolonged in the future and will lead to an increase of agrifood sector incomes. However, it is expected that the positive trade balance in agri-food products will decrease significantly in consequence of the world trade liberalization and the EU policy stimulating biofuels production. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Common Agricultural Policy (CAP); Macroeconomic forecasting; Biofuels; Agri-food industry; Trade liberalization; Agri-food sector

PL

Wspólna Polityka Rolna; Prognozowanie makroekonomiczne; Biopaliwa; Przemysł rolno-spożywczy; Liberalizm handlowy; Sektor rolno-spożywczy

• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: 6(21)
• Strony: 88--97

Twórcy

autor

Andrzej Tabeau

• Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI), The Hague, The Netherlands

Bibliografia

• Banse M., van Meijl H., Tabeau A.,Woltjer G. [2008]: Will EU biofuel policies affect global agricultural markets? European Review of Agricultural Economics v. 35 (2), pp. 117-141.
• Bruinsma J. [2003]: World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030. A FAO perspective. Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome.
• Burniaux, J. M., Truong T. P. [2002]: GTAP-E: an energy-environmental version of the GTAP model. GTAP Technical Paper, no. 16. Revised Version. Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.
• Economic Research Service. [2008]. [Available at:] http://www.ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/