PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2015 | 8 | nr 3 | 41--54
Tytuł artykułu

Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Savings in Ukraine

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The article elaborates on the issue of household savings in Ukraine and investigates the most significant macroeconomic indicators that influence their formation. The research also focuses on testing the hypothesis of structural breaks in formation of household savings in Ukraine after the World financial crisis. Formation process of household savings was studied with using the econometric modeling, particularly a multiple linear regression model with an error correction term. Estimated model demonstrated adequacy, stability as well as good performance and could be used for forecasting. Our results showed that household consumption expenditures and gross national income were the most significant macroeconomic determinants of household savings in Ukraine. In contrast to expectations, hypothesis testing indicated structural break in formation of household savings in Ukraine only in 2010. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
8
Numer
Strony
41--54
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
  • Ivan Franko National University of Lviv, Lviv, Ukraine
Bibliografia
  • Athukorala, P. C. and Tsai, P. L. (2003), Determinants of household saving in Taiwan: growth, demography and public policy, The Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 39, No. 5, pp. 65-88.
  • Becker, G. S. (1962), Investment in human capital: A theoretical analysis, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 9-49.
  • Box, G. and Jenkins, G. (1976), Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Revised Edition, Oakland: Holden-Day.
  • Callen, T. and Thimann, C. (1997), Empirical determinants of household saving: evidence from OECD countries, IMF Working Paper No. 97-181.
  • Cass, D. (1965), Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation, The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 3, pp. 233-240.
  • Chaudhry, I. S., Faridi, M. Z., Abbas, M. and Bashir, F. (2010), Short run and long run saving behavior in Pakistan: An empirical investigation, Journal of Money, Investment and Banking, Vol. 16, pp. 57-66.
  • Chow, G. C. (1960), Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions, Econometrica, Vol. 28, No. 3, pp. 591-605.
  • Cohn, R. A. and Kolluri, B. R. (2003), Determinants of household saving in the G-7 countries: recent evidence, Applied Economics, Vol. 35, No. 10, pp. 1199-1208.
  • Dickey, D. and Fuller, W. (1979), Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 74, pp. 427-431.
  • Duesenberry, J. S. (1952), Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Behavior, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
  • Engle, R. and Granger, C. (1987), Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing, Econometrica, Vol. 55, No. 2, pp. 251-276.
  • Friedman, M. (1957), A Theory of the Consumption Function, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • Fry, M. J. (1980), Saving, Investment, Growth, and the Cost of Financial Repression, World Development, Vol. 8, No. 4, pp. 317-327.
  • Glejser, H. (1969), A New Test for Heteroskedasticity, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 64, pp. 315-323.
  • Godfrey, L. G. (1988), Misspecification tests in econometrics: the Lagrange multiplier principle and other approaches, New York: Cambridge University Press.
  • Gupta, K. L. (1987), Aggregate Savings, Financial Intermediation, and Interest Rate, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 69, No. 2, pp. 303-311.
  • Jarque, C. M. and Bera, A. K. (1980), Efficient test for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of residuals, Economic Letters, Vol. 6, No. 3, pp. 255-259.
  • Jongwanich, J. (2010), The determinants of household and private savings in Thailand, Applied Economics, Vol. 42, No. 8, pp. 965-976.
  • Keynes, J. M. (1936), The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, London: Macmillan.
  • Kolasa, A. and Liberda, B. (2015), Determinants of Saving in Poland: Are They Different from Those in Other OECD Countries? Eastern European Economics, Vol. 53, No. 2, pp. 124-148.
  • Koopmans, T. (1963), On the Concept of Optimal Economic Growth, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, No. 163.
  • Krupa, V. R. (2013), The Household Savings Formation and Their Influence on the State Social and Economic Development, Odesa National University Herald. Series Economy, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 178-182.
  • Kuznets, S. S. (1946), National Product Since 1869 (assisted by L. Epstein and E. Zenks), New York: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Modigliani, F. (1966), The life-cycle hypothesis of saving, the demand for wealth and the supply of capital, Social Research, Vol. 33, pp. 160-217.
  • Muradoglu, G. and Taskin, F. (1996), Differences in household savings behavior: evidence from industrial and developing countries, The Developing Economies, Vol. 34, No. 2, pp. 138-153.
  • Narayan, P. K. and Narayan, S. (2006), Savings behaviour in Fiji: an empirical assessment using the ARDL approach to cointegration, International journal of social economics, Vol. 33, No. 7, pp. 468-480.
  • Nwachukwu, T. E. and Egwaikhide, F. O. (2007), An error-correction model of the determinants of private saving in Nigeria, In: A Paper presented at the African Economic Society (AES) Conference, Cape Town, South Africa.
  • Ramsey, F. P. (1928), A mathematical Theory of Saving, Economic Journal, Vol. 38, pp. 543-559.
  • Ramsey, J. B. (1969), Test for Specification error in Classical Linear Least Squares Regression Analysis, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Vol. 31, No. 2, pp. 350-371.
  • Ramskyi, A. Y. (2007), Investment Potential of Individual Savings and Mechanisms of its Realization, Actual Problems of Economics, Vol. 71, No. 5, pp. 173-178.
  • Ramskyi, A. Y. (2013), Essence of Saving Processes in Household and Their Influence upon Extended Reproduction of GDP, Business Inform, Vol. 422, No. 3, pp. 21-29.
  • Sargan, J. (1964), Wages and prices in the United Kingdom: a study in econometric methodology, In: P. Hart, G. Mills, J. Whitaker (Eds.), Econometric analysis for national economic planning (pp. 25-54), London: Butterworths.
  • Schmidt-Hebbel, K., Webb, S. B. and Corsetti, G. (1992), Household saving in developing countries: first cross-country evidence, The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, pp. 529-547.
  • Stepanova, A. and Udod, Y. (2012), Household Savings as an Important Investment Resource of Country, Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. Economics, Vol. 136, pp. 45-49.
  • Warneryd, K. E. (1999), The Psychology of Saving: A Study on Economic Psychology, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, http://databank.worldbank.org/ (referred on 18/03/2015).
  • Zhuk, M. O. and Zdrok, V. V. (2014a), Modelling Dynamics of Main Indicators of Economic Activity of Households of Ukraine, Business Inform, Vol. 432, No. 1, pp. 82-91.
  • Zhuk, M. O. and Zdrok, V. V. (2014b), The Analysis of Ukrainian Gross Domestic Savings Value Dynamics, Scientific Bulletin of UNFU, Vol. 24, No. 2, pp. 245-253.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171391849

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Musisz być zalogowany aby pisać komentarze.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.