PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2015 | 7 | nr 4 | 219--247
Tytuł artykułu

A Note on Compatible Prior Distributions in Univariate Finite Mixture and Markov-Switching Models

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Finite mixture and Markov-switching models generalize and, therefore, nest specifications featuring only one component. While specifying priors in the general (mixture) model and its special (single-component) case, it may be desirable to ensure that the prior assumptions introduced into both structures are compatible in the sense that the prior distribution in the nested model amounts to the conditional prior in the mixture model under relevant parametric restriction. The study provides the rudiments of setting compatible priors in Bayesian univariate finite mixture and Markov-switching models. Once some primary results are delivered, we derive specific conditions for compatibility in the case of three types of continuous priors commonly engaged in Bayesian modeling: the normal, inverse gamma, and gamma distributions. Further, we study the consequences of introducing additional constraints into the mixture model's prior on the conditions. Finally, the methodology is illustrated through a discussion of setting compatible priors for Markov-switching AR(2) models. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
7
Numer
Strony
219--247
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Cracow University of Economics, Poland
Bibliografia
  • [1] Consonni G. and Veronese P. (2008). Compatibility of prior specifications across linear models. Statistical Science 23 (3), 332-353.
  • [2] Dawid A. and Lauritzen S. (2001). Compatible prior distributions. [in:] George E. (ed.), Bayesian Methods with Applications to Science, Policy and Official Statistics (Selected Papers from ISBA 2000) , Monographs of Official Statistics. Eurostat 2001.
  • [3] Dickey J. (1974). Bayesian alternatives to the F test and the least squares estimate in the normal linear model [:in] Fienberg S. and Zellner A. (eds.), Studies in Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics. North-Holland, Amsterdam.
  • [4] Francq C. and Zakoïan J.-M. (2001). Stationarity of Multivariate Markov- Switching ARMA Models. Journal of Econometrics 102, 339-364.
  • [5] Frühwirth-Schnatter S. (2006). Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer.
  • [6] Gassiat E. and Rousseau J. (2014). About the posterior distribution in hidden Markov models with unknown number of states. Bernoulli 20 (4), 2039-2075.
  • [7] Jasra A., Holmes C. and Stephens D. (2005). Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and the label switching problem in Bayesian mixture modeling. Statistical Science 20 (1), 50-67.
  • [8] Krolzig H.-M. (1997). Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions: Modelling, Statistical Inference, and Application to Business Cycle Analysis. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems. New York/Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer.
  • [9] Marin J.-M., Mengersen K. and Robert C. (2005). Bayesian modelling and inference on mixtures of distributions. [in:] Rao C. and Dey D. (eds.), Handbook of Statistics: Volume 25. North-Holland.
  • [10] Poirier D. (1985). Bayesian hypothesis testing in linear models with continuously induced conjugate priors across hypotheses. [in:] Bernardo J., DeGroot M., Lindley D. and Smith A. (Eds.), Bayesian Statistics 2. North-Holland, Amsterdam.
  • [11] Roeder K. and Wasserman L. (1997). Practical bayesian density estimation using mixtures of normals. Journal of the American Statistical Association 92 (439), 894-902.
  • [12] Rousseau J. and Mengersen K. (2011). Asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in overfitted mixture models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B 76, 689-710.
  • [13] Yao, W. (2012a). Bayesian mixture labeling and clustering. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods 41 (3), 403-421.
  • [14] Yao W. (2012b). Model based labeling for mixture models. Statistics and Computing 22 (2), 337-347.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171394355

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Musisz być zalogowany aby pisać komentarze.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.