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2010 | Survey sampling methods in economic and social research | 121--130
Tytuł artykułu

Yield curve estimation: a comparison of methods and the applications in Polish market

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EN
Abstrakty
EN
A yield curve, understood as a plot of financial instruments' yields against their maturities, has started to play an important role in financial markets. Term structure modeling is a process of building a continuous function from the market data, both securities and interest rate derivatives. The construction uses generally two types of models: parametric ones (evaluated by Nelson, Siegel and Svensson) and based on B-splines (cubic splines). Both types give a lot of possibilities for further analysis especially for monetary policy end forecasting. The first aim of the article is to compare the methods of estimation depending on the source of data (least square methods based on rates and prices will be taken into account). The inefficiency of Polish financial market and lack of data suggests being very careful when choosing a model. This is why the second purpose is to find the best type of model for fitting the yield curve in the case of'the minimizing method.(fragment of text)
Twórcy
autor
  • University of Economics in Katowice, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Anderson N., Sleath J. (2001): New Estimates of the UKR Real and Nominal Yield Curves. Bank of England Working Paper.
  • Audley D., Chin R., Ramamurthy S. (2002): Term Structure Modeling. In: Ed. F.J. Fabozzi, Interest Rate, Term Structure and valuation modeling. John Wiley & Sons Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.
  • Cox J., Ingersoll J., Ross S. (1981): A Re-examination of Traditional Hypoteses about the Term Structure of Interest Rates. "Journal of Finance", September.
  • de La Grandville O. (2001): Bond Pricing and Portfolio Analysis. MIT Press.
  • Fisher I. (1930): The Theory of Interest. Macmillan, London.
  • Fisher M., Nychka D., Zervos D. (1995): Fitting the Term Structure of Interest Rales With Smoothing Splines. Finance and Economics Discussion Series 95-1, Federal Reserve Board.
  • Hicks, J. (1946): Value and Capital. Oxford: Clarendon Press [Polish edition, PWN, Warszawa 1975]
  • James J., Weber N. (2000): Interest Rate Modelling. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Chichester, West Sussex.
  • McCulloch J.H. (1971): Measuring the Term Structure of Interest Rates. "Journal of Business", Vol. 44.
  • McCulloch J.H. (1975): The Tax-adjusted Yield Curve. "Journal of Finance", No. 30.
  • Nawalkha S.K., Soto G.M., Beliaeva N.A. (2005): Interest Rate Risk Modeling. John Wiley & Sons Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.
  • Nelson C.R., Siegel A.F. (1987): Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves. "Journal of Business", Vol. 60.
  • Svensson L.E.O (1994): Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992-1994. NBER Working Paper Series
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Bibliografia
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