Warianty tytułu
Perspectives of International Trade Growth
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Celem opracowania jest ocena perspektyw rozwoju handlu międzynarodowego na podstawie dostępnych opracowań ekonometrycznych. Przedmiotem szczegółowej analizy są: 1) wartość i dynamika handlu międzynarodowego, 2) zmiany geograficznej struktury wymiany międzynarodowej, 3) zmiany struktury przedmiotowej. (abstrakt oryginalny)
This paper investigates the perspectives of international trade growth. The main findings are: 1) over the coming half century, world trade is expected to outpace GDP growth; 2) the geographical center of trade will continue to shift towards emerging economies; 3) with certain exceptions, export structure does not change importantly. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
Numer
Strony
51--60
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Uniwersytet Marii Curie-Skłodowskiej w Lublinie
Bibliografia
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- 4. Ernst&Young (2011), Trading Places. The emergence of new patterns of international trade.
- 5. Feenstra R.C. (1988), Integration of Trade and Disintegration of Production in the Global Economy, "The Journal of Economic Perspectives", Vol. 12, No. 4, Autumn 1998, s. 21-50.
- 6. Fontagné L., Fouré J., Keck A. (2014), Simulating World Trade in the Decades Ahead: Driving Forces and Policy Implications, "WTO Working Paper", No. 5, April 2014.
- 7. Fontagné L., Fouré J. (2013), Opening a Pandora's Box: Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon, "CEPII Working Paper", No. 22, July 2013.
- 8. Fontagné L., Fouré J., Ramos M.P. (2013), MIRAG-e: A General Equilibrium Long-term Path of the World Economy, "CEPII Working Paper", No. 39, December 2013.
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- 16. Mucha-Leszko B., Kąkol M. (2012), Politykahandlowa w warunkachPax Americana iPax Britannica, "AnnalesUniversitatisMariae Curie-Skłodowska, Sectio H Oeconomia", vol. XLVI, nr 2, s. 153-163.
- 17. Mucha-Leszko B. (2012), Policentryzacja układu sił gospodarczych a multilateralna polityka handlowa, "AnnalesUniversitatisMariae Curie-Skłodowska, Sectio H Oeconomia", vol. XLVI, nr 2, s. 165-174.
- 18. Nelson R.E., Phelps E.S. (1996), Investment in Humans, Technological Diffusion, and Economic Growth, "American Economic Review", Vol. 56, No. 1-2, March 1966, s. 69-75.
- 19. Poncet S. (2006), The Long Term Growth Prospects of the World Economy: Horizon 2050, "CEPII Working Paper", No. 16, October 2006.
- 20. Ward K. (2012), The World in 2050. From the Top 30 to the Top 100, "HSBC Global Research", January 2012.
- 21. Wojtas M. (2008), Potencjalne korzyści z Rundy Doha dla krajów rozwiniętych i rozwijających się, "AnnalesUniversitatisMariae Curie-Skłodowska", Sectio H Oeconomia", vol. XLII, s. 219-234.
- 22. WTO, World Trade Report 2007. Six decades of multilateral trade cooperation. What have we learnt?
- 23. WTO, World Trade Report 2013. Factors shaping the future of world trade.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
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