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2016 | 8 | nr 1 | 43--59
Tytuł artykułu

Credit Risk of FX Loans in Poland. Debt Service Burden and the Effect of Neutralization of Currency Depreciation by Foreign Interest Rates

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This paper describes an analysis of the effects of both foreign exchange (FX) risk and interest rate risk on installments of the housing FX loan using classic comparative statics approach. By focusing on sensitivity of annuity with respect to infinitesimal changes of parameters it presents the impact of the interest rate and FX rate on installments in terms of their shares of the total outstanding in foreign currency, and illustrates using values, in Polish zlotys, for three example loans extended during the period when Poland saw its most intensive FX lending. This analysis represents an attempt to answer a question frequently raised in this country of late: does the issue of debt servicing housing FX loans matter for borrowers and therefore could affect banks' loan portfolio quality? (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
8
Numer
Strony
43--59
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Bibliografia
  • [1] Alexander C. (2008), Market risk analysis, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
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  • [10] Haiss P., Paulhart A. and Rainer W. (2009). Do foreign banks drive foreign currency lending in Central and Eastern Europe? Paper for presentation at Twenty years of transition in central and eastern Europe: Money, banking, and finance. September 17-18, London, United Kingdom.
  • [11] Hull J. (2015), Options, futures and other derivatives (ninth edition), Pearson Education Inc.
  • [12] Kearns A. (2004). Loan losses and the macroeconomy: A framework for stress testing credit institutions' financial well-being. Financial Stability Report, Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland.
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  • [16] Skinner F.S. and Mason A. (2011). Covered interest rate parity in emerging markets. International Review of Financial Analysis, 20(5), 355-363.
  • [17] Wośko Z. (2013a). Credit risk of FX loans in Poland. Interest and FX rate dependence. Financial Markets and Macroprudential Policy, Folia Oeconomica 295.
  • [18] Wośko Z. (2013b), Odporność sektora bankowego w Polsce na szoki zewnętrzne w kontekście ryzyka kredytowego. Badanie zależności między zmiennymi makroekonomicznymi, [in:] Inwestycje finansowe i ubezpieczenia - tendencje światowe a rynek polski, Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu, Jajuga K., Ronki-Chmielowiec W. (eds.), 323, Wydawnictwo UE we Wrocławiu.
  • [19] Financial Stability Reports (FSR), National Bank of Poland, available at: http://www.nbp.pl/homen.aspx?f=/en/systemfinansowy/stabilnosc.html
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171420822

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