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2013 | nr 3 Stosunki Międzynarodowe na Bliskim Wschodzie po Arabskiej Wiośnie | 193--204
Tytuł artykułu

Palestyńskie przedwiośnie

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Palestinian Early Spring
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie najważniejszych uwarunkowań prawno- ustrojowych i społeczno-politycznych, które w ostatnich latach zapobiegły szerszej izraelsko-palestyńskiej eskalacji oraz odniesienie ich do perspektyw procesu negocjacyjnego. Namysł nad powyższą problematyką jest, zdaniem autora, konieczny. Konflikt izraelsko-palestyński wciąż pozostaje ważny dla regionalnego bezpieczeństwa, gdyż pomimo wzrostu znaczenia innych, niezależnych od tzw. sprawy palestyńskiej procesów regionalnych, dynamika relacji izraelsko-palestyńskich niezmiennie oddziałuje na nastroje społeczne i decyzje polityczne regionu oraz na przedsięwzięcia aktorów pozaregionalnych1. Zaś w obliczu destabilizacji, perspektywa pogłębienia kryzysu izraelsko-palestyńskiego jawi się jako szczególnie niebezpieczna.(fragment tekstu)
EN
Between August 2012 and March 2013 cities of the West Bank witnessed demonstrations that seemed to be a prelude to "Palestinian Spring". Triggered by an economic crisis the demonstrations have quickly developed into a protest calling for a drastic political change including a withdrawal from Israeli-Palestinian cooperation and disbandment of Palestinian National Authority (PNA). The protest however turned out to be a fiasco. Not only demonstrators failed to make a desired difference but also have given Israel an opportunity to reassure its upper-hand and strengthen its superiority. The purpose of this paper is to present the most important socio-political and legal determinants that defused Palestinian protest and secured Israeli conditioned equilibrium of Israeli - Palestinian relationships as well as to rethink the issue with a relation to renewed negotiations. The first part of the study tackles the dynamics of the protest, its context and the reaction of the parties. The study deals with the factors that contained an escalation of turmoil, identifies tools of suppression used by Israel and, by putting an emphasis on economical dependence of Palestinians, analyzes conditions of political status quo preservation. Having considered the above dynamics the paper argues that both, the very survival of Palestinian National Authority and a continuity of Israeli-Palestinian cooperation depend on Israeli ability to single-handed maintenance of this balance, more precisely, ability to impose arbitrary decisions. The paper considers above condition to be the main obstacle to rank-and-file non-governmental struggle for the Palestinian independence. The second part of the study relates previously identified phenomena to a formula and a matter of the renewed negotiations as well as the unilateral policy of PNA. In conclusion, the paper also gives a notion for possible future developments.(original abstract)
Twórcy
  • Uniwersytet Jagielloński, doktorant
Bibliografia
  • G. Khatib, Despite Calm, Palestinian Authority Still on Brink of Collapse, Ma'an News Agency, 24.09.2012, www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=521356 [05.10.2013].
  • President Says Palestinian Spring has begun, Ma'an News Agency, 05.09.2012, www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=517618 [05.10.2013];
  • Fayyad: This is not the Palestinian Spring, Ma'an News Agency, 07.09.2012, www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=518096 [05.10.2013];
  • N. Hitti, Is This a Palestinian Spring, Or a Coming Third Intifada?, Al-Monitor, 24.09.2012, www.al-monitor.com/pulse/politics/2012/10/new-palestinian-intifada.html [20.09.2013];
  • J. Schanzer, A Palestinian Spring, Foreign Policy, 14.09.2012, www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/09/14/a_palestinian_spring [05.09.2013].
  • The Portland Trust, www.portlandtrust.org/palestinian-economic-bulletin [05.09.2013];
  • Fiscal Challenges and Long Term Economic Costs, Economic Monitoring Report to the Ad Hoc Liaison Committee, The World Bank, March 19, 2013;
  • Stagnation or Revival? Palestinian Economic Prospects, Economic Monitoring Report to the Ad Hoc Liaison Committee, The World Bank, March 21, 2012.
  • Palestinian PM Slashes Fuel Prices, VAT after Protests, Agence France-Presse, 11 September 2012, www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gUGUiwTu-L4nWar6O3xw9WIX-zcw?do cId=CNG.ce8cdecf7232ab5eb29b9decf03ab872.261&hl=en [05.10.2013]
  • Buying Time? Money, Guns and Politics in the West Bank, International Crisis Group, "Middle East Report" 2013, No. 142, s. 10.
  • Aneks IV (par. 1) deklaracji: Declaration of Principles, 13 September, 1993.
  • Ramallah Protestors Call on Abbas to Resign, Ma'an News Agency, 09.09.2012, www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=518656 [05.10.2013].
  • www.unispal.un.org/UNISPAL.NSF/0/15AF20B2F7F41905852560A7004AB2D5 [27.09.2013].
  • E. Pan, Hamas and the Shrinking PA Budget, Council of Foreign Relations, April 21, 2006, www.cfr.org/world/hamas-shrinking-pa-budget/p10499 [20.08.2013].
  • A/RES/67/19, 4 December 2012, 67/19. Status of Palestine in the United Nations, www. unispal.un.org/UNISPAL.NSF/0/19862D03C564FA2C85257ACB004EE69B [21.09.2013].
  • Jerusalem Media & Communication Centre (JMCC) Poll No. 78, Dec. 2012 - Gaza, Resistance and the UN Bid, www.jmcc.org/documentsandmaps.aspx?id=858 [10.09.2013].
  • Israel to Withhold Palestinian Funds until March, Reuters, 12.12.2012, www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/12/us-palestinians-israel-funds-idUSBRE8BB09V20121212 [04.09.2013].
  • J. V. Whitbeck, The 'State of Palestine' Exists, Al Jazeera, 10.01.2013, www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2013/01/20131810252183781.html [02.03.2014].
  • www.unispal.un.org/UNISPAL.NSF/0/146E6838D505833F852560D600471E25 [02.02.2014].
  • www.rt.com/news/palestinian-authority-us-aid-719 [04.09.2013],
  • Izrael odblokowuje przekazanie Autonomii Palestyńskiej środków z podatków i ceł, PAP, 25.03.2013, www.google.com/hostednews/epa/article/ALeqM5h-N9mJmDPgdlOZ43j2nUucLZ-1_Q?docId=13479836 [04.09.2013].
  • Jerusalem Media & Communication Centre (JMCC), Poll No. 79, March 2013 - Reconciliation, Obama Visit and Security Coordination, www.jmcc.org/documentsandmaps.aspx?id=861 [10.09.2013].
  • K. Stein, Political Views of a Two-State Solution, "The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Policy Watch 2018", 15 August 2013, www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/political-views-of-atwo-state-solution [01.09.2012];
  • D. Makovsky, Setting the Stage for New Peace Talks, "The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Policy Watch 2015", 22 July 2013;
  • K. Stein, Pre-Negotiations and Political Realities Frame Israeli-Palestinian Talks, "The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Policy Watch 2016",14 August 2013;
  • M. Singh, The value of Mideast 'talks about talks', "The Washington Post", 2013, July 24, www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/mideast-peace-requires-kerrys-crucial-pre-negotiations/2013/07/23/f89264c8-f3a6-11e2-943460440856fadf_story.html [05.10.2013];
  • B. Ravid, Abbas Says Palestinians Refuse to Enter into 'Vortex' of Interim Deals with Israel, "Ha'aretz" 2013, September 27, www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/1.549115 [05.10.2013].
  • PM: Israeli presence necessary in Jordan Valley, "The Jerusalem Post", 30.01.2012, www.jpost.com/Diplomacy-and-Politics/PM-Israeli-presence-necessary-in-Jordan-Valley [10.10.2013].
  • Israeli PM Pledges Commitment to settlements in Jerusalem area, Xinhua News Agency, 28.08.2013, www.news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2012-08/28/c_123637341.htm [09.10.2013].
  • Ruling Palestine: A History of the Legally Sanctioned Jewish-Israeli Seizure of Land and Housing in Palestine, Geneve 2005, s. 132-134.
  • D. Makovsky, S. Chabon, J. Logan, Imagining the Bordern Options for Resolving the Israeli-Palestinian Territorial Issue, Washington 2011.
  • D. Ross, The Missing Peace: The Inside Story of the Fight for Middle East Peace, New York 2004, s. 591-759;
  • C. E. Swisher, The Truth about Camp David, New York 2004, s. 133-406;
  • S. Ben-Ami, Scars of War, Wounds of Peace: The Israeli-Arab Tragedy, New York 2006, s. 240-285;
  • M. Klein, The Jerusalem Problem. The Struggle for Permanent Status, Gainesville 2003, s. 63-200;
  • Special Document File. The Taba Negotiations (January 2001), Institute for Palestine Studies (IPS), Media & Communication Centre (JMCC), Poll No. 79, March 2013, Reconciliation, Obama Visit and Security Coordination, www.jmcc.org/documentsandmaps.aspx?id=861 [10.09.2013].
  • I. Kershner, Support for Palestinian Authority Erodes as Prices and Taxes Rise, "The New York Times", 31 January 2013;
  • R. Baroud, Oslo Dead but Still Matters: Abbas's Village Leagues and Palestinian Silence, 04.09.2013, www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2013/09/04/oslo-dead-but-still-matters-abbass-village-leagues-and-palestinian-silence/ [08.08.2013].
  • Israelis, Palestinians Pro Peace Process, but Not Hopeful, www.gallup.com/poll/161456/israelis-palestinians-pro-peace-process-not-hopeful.aspx [08.20.2013].
  • www.jmcc.org/politicalofficedetails.aspx?id=54 [05.10.2013].
  • www.bilin-village.org/english [05.10.2013]; www.nilin-village.org [05.10.2013].
  • Extreme Makeover: Israel's Politics of Land and Faith in East Jerusalem, "Crisis Group Middle East Report" 2012, No. 134, s. 14.
  • What is E-1 anyway?, "Haaretz", 04.12.2012.
  • Ashrawi Praises Popular Resistance in E1 Area, Ma'an News Agency, 01.11.2013.
  • The Hidden Agenda. The Establishment and Expansion Plans of Ma'ale Adummim and their Human Rights Ramifications, red. Y. Stein, Jerusalem 2009, s. 28.
  • H. Sherwood, US-backed Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad resigns, "The Observer", 14 April 2013ł www.theguardian.com/world/2013/apr/14/palestinian-pm-salam-ayyad-resigns [06.10.2013].
  • Y. Bagno, Netanyahu will not Freeze West Bank Settlements, "The Jerusalem Post", 25 May 2013, www.jpost.com/Diplomacy-and-Politics/Source-Netanyahu-will-not-freeze-West-Banksettlements-314331 [07.10.2013];
  • A. Somfalvi, Report: Israel will Soon Halt Settlement Building, Free Prisoners, "Ynetnews", 20.07.2013, www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4407391,00.html[05.10.2013].
  • Abbas at the UN: Objective of Negotiations is to Secure Lasting Peace, Wafa News Agency, 07.10.2013, www.english.wafa.ps/index.php?action=detail&id=23291 [05.10.2013];
  • J. Khoury, Abbas to U.S. Jews: Peace deal within Nine Months 'Not Impossible, "Ha'aretz",24 September 2013, www.haaretz.com/jewish-world/jewish-world-news/1.548843 [07.10.2013].
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
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