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2016 | 9 | nr 1 | 130--143
Tytuł artykułu

The Socio-economic Effects of Poland's Membership in the European Union and the Challenges of the Middle-income Trap

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Authors analyze economic development of Poland in the period 2004-2015 in the context of both the impact of the membership of the European Union on the country's economy and of the middle-income trap into which, as some experts assert, the country has most likely fallen despite relatively dynamic economic growth. In our opinion the impact of the EU membership, which stems i.a. from the infusion of the Cohesion Policy's co-financing and - which appears to be more even important from the perspective of long-term development - from the establishment of effective mechanisms for conducting conscious development policy based on identifying and pursuing long- term strategic goals, is highly positive. The progress in catching up with the average development level of the EU countries is slowing, however, and there are indications that the country has already fallen into the middle-income trap. Authors discuss various factors contributing to Poland's susceptibility to the said trap, enumerating i.a. insufficient rate of bridging the productivity gap vis-a-vis the EU average, which in turn stems from insufficient level of innovation, suboptimal quality of the institutional and regulatory conditions and the deteriorating demographic structure. We also assert that unless decisive strategic actions are designed and implemented all those factors will have increasingly negative impact on the development of the Polish economy. Finally authors underline that far-sighted development plans do exist, but at the same time indicate that far-reaching efforts will be required to modify the model of economic development and to meet the set strategic objectives. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
9
Numer
Strony
130--143
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Ministry of Infrastructure and Development Warsaw, Poland
  • University of Warmia and Mazury Olsztyn, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Aiyar S., Duval R., Puy D., Wu Y., Zhan L.,(2013), Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap, Working Paper 13/71. International Monetary Fund.
  • Ciesielska-Maciągowska D., Radło M.J., (2014), Polska w pułapce średniego dochodu?, [in:] Gorynia M., Rudolf S. (red), Polska w Unii Europejskiej i Globalnej Gospodarce, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne.
  • Czerniak A., (2014), Poland. How it Avoided the Middle-Income Trap, Polityka Insight, http://zasoby.polityka.pl/politykainsight.pl/analiza-demo-22-en.html
  • Eichengreen B., Park D., Shin K.,(2013), Growth Slowdowns Redux: New Evidence on the Middle-income Trap, NBER.
  • DNB (2016). Kierunki 2016. Polska w pułapce średniego dochodu, Warszawa.
  • European Commission, (2014), Sixth Report on Economic, Social and Territorial Cohesion. Investment for jobs and growth: Promoting development and good governance in EU regions and cities, Brussels.
  • European Commission, (2015), Innovation Union Scoreboard, Brussels.
  • Felipe J., Abdon A., Kumar U., (2012), Tracking the Middle-income Trap: What Is It, Who Is in It, and Why?, Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, Working Paper No 715.
  • OECD, (2012), Looking to 2060: Long-term global growth prospects, The OECD Economic Policy Paper Series No 3, November.
  • Orenstein M., (2014), Six Markets to Watch: Poland, Foreign Affairs, January-February.
  • Ministerstwo Infrastruktury i Rozwoju, (2012), Strategia Rozwoju Kraju 2020, Warszawa.
  • Ministerstwo Infrastruktury i Rozwoju, (2013), Długookresowa Strategia Rozwoju Kraju. Polska 2030. Trzecia Fala Nowoczesności, Warszawa.
  • Ministerstwo Rozwoju (2015), Plan Odpowiedzialnego Rozwoju, Warszawa.
  • Warszawski Instytut Studiów Ekonomicznych, (2015), Wpływ polityki spójności na wybrane wskaźniki makroekonomiczne. Symulacje modelem WISE VESPA dla Ministerstwa Infrastruktury i Rozwoju, Warszawa.
  • World Bank, (2015), Doing Business 2015. Going Beyond Efficiency, http://www.doingbusiness.org/reports/global-reports/doing-business-2015.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171430332

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