Modele równowagi cząstkowej w prognozowaniu i symulacjach na rynku rolnym; model AGMEMOD

• Autorzy: Mariusz Hamulczuk

Warianty tytułu

Partial Equilibrium Models as a Tool of Forecasting and Simulation in Agriculture; the AGMEMOD Model Approach

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Celem pracy było przedstawienie założeń leżących u podstaw budowy modeli równowagi cząstkowej i możliwości ich zastosowań w rolnictwie na przykładzie modelu AGMEMOD2. Szczegółowo opisano proces modelowania rynku trzody chlewnej i mięsa wieprzowego, przedstawiając jednocześnie wstępne wyniki projekcji do roku 2020 w zależności od kształtowania się kursu euro. (abstrakt oryginalny)

EN

The aim of the paper was to show some basic information about partial equilibrium models and their use for the agricultural sector modeling. As an example the AGMEMOD model was chosen and described. The pig and the pig meat markets modeling were described with a market projection up to 2020 in scenarios assuming different Euro/PLN exchange rates. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Rynek mięsny; Mięso wieprzowe; Rynek rolny; Prognozowanie; Modele symulacyjne

EN

Meat market; Pork meat; Agricultural markets; Forecasting; Simulation models

• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
• Rocznik: 2008
• Tom: 4(19)
• Strony: 185--197

Twórcy

autor

Mariusz Hamulczuk

• Instytut Ekonomiki Rolnictwa i Gospodarki Żywnościowej - PIB, Warszawa

Bibliografia

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