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2006 | Mathematical, econometrical and computational methods in finance and insurance | 87--99
Tytuł artykułu

Testing for Semi-Strong Efficiency in the Czech Stock Market

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
In recent years financial institutions' risk management has undergone far-reaching changes. Financial institutions have improved their risk management which nowadays often surpasses the new regulatory standards ('Basel II'). In the context of integrated risk management, financial institutions do not only focus on the risk management within one risk type (market risk, credit risk, insurance risk etc.) but try to improve the understanding of the dependence structure between different risk types. This paper presents a top down approach to aggregate market and credit risk with copulas. Copulas do not only permit a combination of arbitrary marginal distributions, but also a detailed modelling of the dependence structure. In section 1 a short introduction to copulas and to the concept of positive tail dependence is given. Section 2 outlines how the dependence structure between market and credit portfolio returns may be estimated. Finally, section 3 presents a detailed instruction on how to simulate a joint distribution for market and credit portfolio returns with a normal copula that exhibits no positive tail dependence and a Student t-copula that exhibits positive (symmetric) tail dependence. The importance of positive tail dependence for the estimation of economic capital is highlighted in an example. (fragment of text)
Twórcy
  • University of Applied Sciences by Vienna, Austria
Bibliografia
  • Cherubini U., Luciano E., Vecchiato W.: Copula Methods in Finance. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester 2004.
  • Dimakos X., Aas K.: Integrated Risk Modelling. Norwegian Computing Center, NR report no 998, ISBN 82-539-0506-8, 2003.
  • Fermanian J.-D., Scaillet O.: Some Statistical Pitfalls in Copula Modeling for Financial Applications. FAME research Paper Series rpl08, International Center For Financial Asset Management and Engineering, 2004.
  • Fortin I., Kuzmics C.: Tail-Dependence in Stock-Return Pairs. "International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance & Management" 2002, Iss. 11.
  • Frey R., McNeil A.: Modelling Dependent Defaults. Working paper, 2001.
  • Gaal A., Plank M.: Credit Risk Models and Credit Derivatives. In: OeNB Austrian National Bank (editor), Focus on Austria 4/1998, Vienna 1998.
  • Joe H.: Multivariate Models and Dependence Concepts. Chapman & Hall, 1997.
  • Kuritzkes A., Schuermami T., Weiner S.: Risk Measurement, Risk Management and Capital Adequacy in Financial Conglomerates. Wharton paper, 2003.
  • Nelson R.: An Introduction to Copulas. Springer Verlag, 1999.
  • Rosenberg J., Schuermann T.: A General Approach to Integrated Risk Management with Skewed, Fat-Tailed Risks. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, staff report no 185, 2004.
  • Saita F.: Risk Capital Aggregation: The Risk Manager's Perspective. Working paper, Universita Bocconi, 2004.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171431922

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