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2016 | nr 3 | 87--101
Tytuł artykułu

Growth Slowdown Endangers the Economic Cohesion of the European Union

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
It is argued that European integration has not fulfilled its chief economic promises. According to official documents and in compliance with post-Keynesian economic interpretation of major long-term trends characterizing the Euro area, the output growth has been increasingly weak and unstable. Productivity growth has been following a decreasing trend. Income inequalities, both within and between the EU Member States, have been rising. This sorry state of affairs is likely to continue - and likely to precipitate further exits, or eventually, the dissolution of the Union. However, this outcome is not unavoidable. A better integration in the EU is possible, at least in theory. Also the negative consequences implicit in the existence of the common currency could be neutralised. However, the basic paradigms of the economic policies to be followed in the EU would have to be radically changed. First, it follows from considerations presented that the unconditional fiscal consolidation provisions still in force would have to be repelled. Second, 'beggar-thy-neighbour' (or mercantilist) wage policies would have to be 'outlawed'.(original abstract)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
87--101
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Bielsko-Biała School of Finance and Law
Bibliografia
  • [1.] Baumol, W.J. (1967), Macroeconomics of Unbalanced Growth: The Anatomy of Urban Crises, American Economic Review, Vol. 57, No.3, pp. 415-26.
  • [2.] Bonesmo Fredriksen, K. (2012), Income Inequality in the European Union, OECD Econ. Dept. Working Paper, No. 952.
  • [3.] Byrne, D., Fernald. J.G. and Reinsdorf, M.B. (2016), Does the United States have a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Conference Draft, 10-11 March.
  • [4.] Feldstein, M. (2015), The U.S. Underestimates Growth, Wall Street Journal, 18 May.
  • [5.] Gordon, J.R. (2015), Secular Stagnation: A Supply-Side View, American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 2015, Vol. 105, No. 5, pp. 54-59.
  • [6.] Kaldor, N. (1966), Causes of the Slow Rate of Economic Growth in the United Kingdom, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • [7.] Mollick, A.V., J. Faria, P. Albuquerque and M. Leon-Ledesma (2008), Can globalisation stop the decline in commodities' terms of trade, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. 32, No. 5, pp. 683- 701.
  • [8.] Mokyr, J. (2014), Secular Stagnation? Not in Your Life, [in:] C. Teulings and R. Baldwin (eds.), Secular Stagnation: Facts, Causes, and Cures, VoxEU.org eBook.
  • [9.] Laski, K. and Podkaminer, L. (2011), Common monetary policy with uncommon wage policies: Centrifugal forces tearing the euro area apart, Intervention. European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 21-29.
  • [10.] Laski, K., Podkaminer, L. (2012), The basic paradigms of EU economic policy making need to be changed, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. 36, No. 1, pp. 253-270.
  • [11.] Laski, K., Podkaminer, L. (2013), Net private savings in relation to the government's financial balance: some basic principles of macroeconomics disregarded by the European Union's economic policy makers, [in:] Ó. Dejuán, E. Febrero and J. Uxó (eds), Post- Keynesian Views of the Crisis and its Remedies, Routledge.
  • [12.] Podkaminer, L. (2014), Does trade drive global output growth?, Bank & Credit, Vol. 45, No. 4, pp. 311-330.
  • [13.] Podkaminer, L. (2015a), The euro area's secular stagnation and what can be done about it. A post-Keynesian perspective, Real World Economics Review, Issue 70, pp. 1-16.
  • [14.] Podkaminer, L. (2015b), Central Europe: Trapped in Integration?, Acta Oeconomica, Vol. 65 (Suppl. 1), pp. 83-106.
  • [15.] Podkaminer, L. (2017), The slowdown in labor productivity growth is an effect of economic stagnation rather than its cause, Acta Oeconomica, forthcoming.
  • [16.] Triplett, J.E. and Bosworth, B.P. (2003), Productivity Measurement Issues in Service Industries: "Baumol's Disease" Has Been Cured, Federal Reserve Board of New York, Economic Policy Review, September
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171452673

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