Warianty tytułu
Integration of Quantitative and Qualitative Forecasting Methods
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Przedstawiono problem integracji ilościowych i jakościowych metod prognozowania. Wykazano potrzebę integracji tych metod oraz sposoby jej realizacji. Przedstawiono cztery procedury integracji i omówiono kryteria wyboru sposobu integracji.
The paper presents the problem of the integration of quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods. There has been shown the necessity of integration and the ways of its realization. There has been presented four procedures for integration: revised forecast constructed on the basis the I-t type formal models, combined forecast, revised forecast constructed on the basis the ІI-d type formal models (with parameters fixed by experts). There has been also presented the criteria for choosing the way of integration. (original abstract)
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Strony
45--52
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Akademia Ekonomiczna we Wrocławiu
Bibliografia
- Armstrong J.S., Collopy F. (1998), Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series Forecasting: Principles from Empirical Research, [w:] Wright G., Goodwin Р., Forecasting with Judgment, John Wiley & Sons, New York.
- Carbone R., Gorr W.L. (1985), Accuracy of judgmental forecasting of time series, "Decision Sciences", nr 16, s. 153-160.
- Dittmann P. (2003), Prognozowanie w przedsiębiorstwie. Metody i ich zastosowanie. Oficyna Ekonomiczna, Kraków.
- Lawrence M.J., Edmundson R.H., О'Соnnеr M.J. (1986), The Accuracy of Combining Judgmental and Statistical Forecasts, "Management Science", nr 32, s. 1521-1532.
- Montgomery D.C., Johnson L.A., Gardiner J.S. (1990), Forecasting & Time Series Analysis, McGraw-Hill, New York.
- Sewall M.A. (1981), Relative Information Contributions of Consumer Purchase Intentions and Management Judgment as Explanators of Sales, "Journal of Marketing Research", nr 18, s. 249-253.
- Tull D.S., Hawkins D.I. (1987), Marketing Research. Measurement and Method, Macmillan Publishing Company, New York.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171464517