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2016 | nr 5 | 32
Tytuł artykułu

Randomness or stock-flow: Which mechanism describes labour market matching in Poland?

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
I compare random, stock-flow and job queuing models to determine which mechanism prevails in the Polish labour market. I use monthly registered unemployment data for the period 1999 - 2013 and econometrically correct for temporal aggregation bias in the data. I extend the known solutions to make them directly applicable to a job queuing model. I find that stocks and inflows engage in a matching process. Job seekers (from the pool) seek work among old and new job posts, but only a small fraction of the newly unemployed individuals find work instantaneously. Vacancies are the driving force in aggregate hiring, but the inflow is more important than the stock. The random model has greater explanatory power, although the results do not negate the non-random model. The random model entails the need to improve information to facilitate matching. The stock-flow model implies that policy should aim at creating more job offers. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
32
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Álvarez de Toledo, P., Núñez, F., Usabiaga, C. (2008). La función de emparejamiento en el mercado de trabajo español. "Revista de Economia Aplicada", 48 (vol. XVI), 5-35.
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  • Burdett, K., Coles, M., van Ours, J. (1994). Temporal Aggregation Bias in Stock-Flow Models.
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  • Coles, M., Petrongolo, B. (2003). A Test Between Unemployment Theories Using Matching Data. CEP (LSE) Discussion Paper no. 570.
  • Coles, M., Petrongolo, B. (2008). A Test Between Stock-Flow Matching and the Random Matching Function Approach. "International Economic Review", Vol. 49, No. 4 (November): 1113-1141.
  • Coles, G., Smith, E. (1998). Marketplace and Matching. "International Economic Review", Vol. 39, No. 1 (Feb.): 239-254.
  • Drozdowicz-Bieć, M. (2012). Cykle i wskaźniki koniunktury. Wydawnictwo Poltext, Warszawa.
  • Gabriel, V. (2001). Cointegration and the joint confirmation hypothesis. NIPE Working Paper Series 12.
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  • Gałecka-Burdziak, E. (2015a). Aggregate labour market matching in Poland. "International Journal of Economics and Business Research (IJEBR)", Vol. 9, No. 4: 393-402.
  • Gałecka-Burdziak, E. (2015b). Underestimated or overestimated: the matching function elasticities biased by worker inflows and outflows, manuscript.
  • Gregg, P., Petrongolo, B. (2005). Stock-flow matching and the performance of the labor market. "European Economic Review", 49: 1987-2011.
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  • Petrongolo, B., Pissarides, C. (2001). Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function. "Journal of Economic Literature", vol. XXXIX (June), 390-431.
  • Registered unemployment 1999 - 2013. Public Employment Services http://www.psz.praca.gov.pl access: 01.09.2013.
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  • Tyrowicz, J., 2011, Histereza bezrobocia w Polsce, Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171467931

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