Longitudinal Correlations of Car Ownership with Socio-Economics, Urban Form, and Transport Infrastructure in Latin America : Example from Ensenada, Mexico

• Autorzy: Daniela Roque , Houshmand E. Masoumi
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Car-orientated modal splits represent problems for the city in economic, environmental and social terms. The implementation of policies and other measures can fail if the causes are not well recognized. Mid-sized cities in Mexico are not well-represented in studies where only the capital and other bigger cities are studied. This research aims to recognize those causes focusing on northern mid-sized cities in Mexico. The approach involves numerical work (linear regression) complemented with a descriptive analysis of the city. The analysis takes on such areas of consideration as socio-economic factors, land-use variables and the street network of the city. Of the 16 variables, almost all presented a relationship with car ownership levels, but not all behaved as expected. The final part of the research is a reaction to the previous studies and recommendations to change the city from car-orientated to one with a sustainable modal split. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Automobiles; Transport infrastructure; City

PL

Samochody; Infrastruktura transportu; Miasto

• Czasopismo: Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series
• Rocznik: 2017
• Numer: No. 37
• Strony: 109--123

Twórcy

autor

Daniela Roque

• Technische Universität Berlin

autor

Houshmand E. Masoumi

• Technische Universität Berlin

Bibliografia

• Alabi M.O., 2009: Urban sprawl, pattern and measurement in Lokoja, Nigeria. In: Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Vol. 4, No. 13, pp. 158-164.
• Brennan T.L., 2000: An Analysis of Trip Behaviour Patterns of Women in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Puebla, Mexico. Women's Travel Issues Second National Conference. Derived from: http://trid.trb.org/view.aspx?id=721412. Access date: 31.05.2015.
• Baranda Sepulveda B., Cańez Fernández J., Garduńo Arredondo J., Media Ramírez S., Orozco Camacho M., Padilla Rodriguez X., Trevińo Theesz X. and Veloz Rosas J., 2013: Hacia una estrategia Nacional Integral de Movilidad Urbana (Towards a National Integral strategy of Urban Mobility - in Spanish). México: ITDP.
• Brueckner J.K. and Fansler D.A., 1983: The Economics of Urban Sprawl: Theory and Evidence on the Spatial Sizes of Cities. In: The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 65, No. 3, p. 479.
• Cervero R. and Kockelman K., 1997: Travel demand and the 3Ds: density, diversity, and design. In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, Vol. 2, No. 3, pp. 199-219.
• Clear Air Institute, 2012: Gestión de la demanda de transporte: Oportunidades para mitigar sus externalidades y las de los vehiculos automotores en América Latina (Managing transport demand: Opportunities to mitigate externalities and of motor vehicles in Latin America - in Spanish). http://www.cleanairinstitute.org/cop_gd/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/doc_completo_gdt_politica.pdf. Access date: 28.04.2015.
• COPLADE, 2014: Comite de Planeacion para el Desarrollo del Estado de Baja California (Planning Committee for the Development of the State of Baja California - in Spanish). Viewed 29 September, 2014, http://www.copladebc.gob.mx/
• Crotte A., Graham D.J. and Noland R.B., 2011: The Role of Metro Fares, Income, Metro Quality of Service and Fuel Prices for Sustainable Transportation in Mexico City. In: International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 1-24.
• Crotte A., Noland R.B., Graham D.J. and Board T.R., 2008: Estimation of Road Traffic Demand Elasticities for Mexico City. In: Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Vol. 2134, pp. 99-105.
• Dargay J. and Gately D., 1999: Income's effect on car and vehicle ownership, worldwide: 1960-2015. In: Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 101-138.
• Deka J., Tripathi O.P. and Khan M.L., 2011: Urban growth trend analysis using Shannon Entropy approach-A case study in North-East India. In: International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences, Vol. 2, No. 4, pp. 1062-1068.
• DINAMIA investigacion social estrategica, 2014: Encuesta sobre transporte público y uso del automóvil en los municipios de la Zona Metropolitana del Valle de México 2014 (Survey on public transport and car use in the municipalities of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico 2014 - in Spanish). Powerpoint presentation provided by DINAMIA investigacion social estrategica, Cuauhtémoc, Mexico City. Retrieved from http://dinamia.com.mx/estudios-de-opinion/encuesta-transporte-valle-mexico-2014. Access date: 23.06.2017.
• Eskeland G.S. and Feyzioglu T., 1997: Rationing can backfire: the "day without a car" in Mexico City. In: The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 11, No. 3, pp. 383-408.
• Gobierno de Baja California-GOBBC, 2008: Programa sectorial de vivienda del Estado de Baja California (Housing Sector Program of Baja California - in Spanish). Baja California: GOBBC.
• Gwilliam K., 2010: Developing the Public Transport Sector in China. Washington, DC: World Bank. Derived from http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/350531468025192208/Developing-thepublic-transport-sector-in-China. Access date: 23.06.2017.
• Guerra E.S., 2013: The New Suburbs: Evolving travel behavior, the built environment, and subway investment in Mexico City. University of California Transportation Center UCTC Dissertation UCTCDISS-2013-01.
• Guerra E., 2014: The Built Environment and Car Use in Mexico City Is the Relationship Changing over Time? In: Journal of Planning Education and Research, Vol. 34, No. 4, pp. 394-408.
• Guerra E., 2015: The geography of car ownership in Mexico City: a joint model of households' residential location and car ownership decisions. In: Journal of Transport Geography, Vol. 43, pp. 171-180.
• Hanson M.E., 1989: The Motor Vehicle Dominated City as a Non-Sustainable Urban Form: Mexico City and Jakarta. In: Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, Vol. 13, No. 2. pp. 95-108. DOI: 10.1016/0198-9715(89)90037-9
• Hidalgo, D. and Huizenga, C., 2013: Implementation of sustainable urban transport in Latin America. In: Research in Transportation Economics, Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 66-77.
• INEGI (National Institute of Statistic and Geography), 2014: Retrieved September 29, 2014, Derived from http://www.inegi.org.mx/
• IMIP, 2007: Mapa de Ensenada del Instituto Municipal de Investigación y Planeación de Ensenada (Map of Ensenada of the Municipal Institute of Research and Planning of Ensenada). Gobierno Municipal de Ensenada Baja California (Municipal Government of Ensenada Baja California).
• IMIP, 2010: Programa de Desarrollo Urbano para el Centro de Poblacion de Ensenada 2030 (Urban Development Program for Population Center Ensenada 2030 - in Spanish).
• Islas Rivera V., Moctezuma Navarro E., Hernandez Garcia S., Lelis Zaragoza M. and Ruvalcaba Martinez J., 2011: Urbanizacion y motorizacion en Mexico (Urbanization and motorizacion in Mexico - in Spanish). In: Publicacion Tecnica, No. 362. Derived from: http://trid.trb.org/view.aspx?id=1285996. Accessed on 31.05.2015.
• Joshi J.P. and Bhatt B., 2011: Quantifying Urban Sprawl: A Case Study of Vadodara Taluka. In: Geoscience Research, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 34-37.
• Leck E., 2006: The Impact of Urban Form on Travel Behavior: A Meta-Analysis. In: Berkeley Planning Journal, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 37-58. Retrieved from http://escholarship.org/uc/item/20s78772. Access date: 12.08.2014.
• Martinez Salgado H., 2011: Estudio de emisiones y características vehiculares en ciudades mexicanas. Fase IV: medición de emisiones en cinco ciudades y análisis de resultados globales (Study emissions and vehicle characteristics in Mexican cities. Phase IV: emission measurement in five cities and analysis of overall results - in Spanish). Published by Centro de Transporte Sustentable de México A.C. (Sustainable Transport Center), Contract No. INE/ADE-037/2010. Retrieved from https://goo.gl/OzDFVT. Access date: 23.06.2017.
• Medina Ramirez S., 2012: La importancia de reduccion del uso del automovil en Mexico (The importance of reducing the use of cars in Mexico - in Spanish). Viewed 28 April, 2015, http://mexico.itdp.org/wp-content/uploads/Importancia-de-reduccionde-uso-del-auto.pdf.
• Medina Ramirez S. and Veloz Rosas J., 2012: Guía de estrategias para la reducción del uso del auto en ciudades mexicanas (Guide strategies for reducing car use in Mexican cities - in Spanish). Instituto de Políticas para el Transporte y Desarrollo México, Embajada Britanica en Mexico, Instituto de Políticas para el Transporte y Desarrollo México (Institute of Policies for Transportation and Development Mexico), Cuauhtémoc, México.
• Moctezuma Navarro E.M., 2012: Estudio de la Motorizacion en Mexico mediante la dinamica de posesion vehicular: Determinantes Macro y Microeconomicos (Study of motorization in Mexico by the dynamics of vehicular possession: Determinants macro- and microeconomic). In: Publicacion tecnica (technical publication), No. 374, Instituto Mexicano del Transporte, ISSN: 0188-7297. http://trid.trb.org/view.aspx-?id=1286001. Access date: 28.04.2015
• Newman P. and Kenworthy J., 1989: Cities and Automobile Dependence: An International Sourcebook. VT USA: Gower Publishing Brookfield.
• Newman P. and Kenworthy J., 1999: Sustainability and cities: overcoming automobile dependence. Washington: Island Press.
• Newspaper El Vigia, 2014: Aumentan ciclistas; y también accidentes (Raise of bikers and accidents - in Spanish). In: El Vigia, publication date: 28.01.2014 (online source). http://www.elvigia.net/general/2014/1/28/aumentan-ciclistas-tambien-accidentes-148423.html. Access date: 26.11.2014.
• ONU HABITAT and SEDESOL, 2011: Estado de las Ciudades de México 2011 (Status of the cities in Mexico 2011- in Spanish). México, D.F.: ONU-HABITAT/SEDESOL.
• Parry I.W. and Timilsina G.R., 2010: How should passenger travel in Mexico City be priced?. In: Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 68, No. 2, pp. 167-182.
• Sánchez-Flores Ó. and Romero-Torres J., 2014: Factores de calidad del servicio en el transporte público de pasajeros: estudio de caso de la ciudad de Toluca, México (Service quality factors in the public passenger transport: a case study of the city of Toluca, Mexico - in Spanish). In: Revista Economía, Sociedad y Territorio (Economy, Society and Land Magazine), Vol. 10, No. 32, pp. 49-80. http://est.cmq.edu.mx/index.php/est/article/view/152. Access date: 28.04.2015.
• SEDESOL, 2012: La Expansion de las Ciudades 1980-2010 (The Expansion of the Cities 1980-2010 - in Spanish). Derived: http://padrondemedios.segob.gob.mx/work/models/SEGOB/swbpress_Content/3309/09_REDES_DE_CIUDADES.PDF. Access date 09.09.2014.
• SEMOVI, 2014: Programa Integral de Movilidad 2013-2018 (Integral Mobility Program 2013-2018 - in Spanish). In: La Gaceta Oficial del Distrito Federal (The Official Gazette of Mexican Federal District), No. 1965.
• Stradling S.G., Meadows M.L. and Beatty S., 2000: Helping drivers out of their cars integrating transport policy and social psychology for sustainable change. In: Transport policy, Vol. 7, No. 3, pp. 207-215.
• Sun H., Forsythe W. and Waters N., 2007: Modeling Urban Land Use Change and Urban Sprawl: Calgary, Alberta, Canada. In: Networks and Spatial Economics, Vol. 7, No. 4, pp. 353-376.
• Yeh A.G.-O. and Li X., 2001: Measurement and Monitoring of Urban Sprawl in a Rapidly Growing Region Using Entropy. In: Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, Vol. 67, No. 1, pp. 83-90.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/bog-2017-0028