Modelling Population Growth with Difference Equation Method

• Autorzy: Witold Rzymowski , Agnieszka Surowiec

Warianty tytułu

Modelowanie liczby ludności za pomocą równań różnicowych

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

In this paper, we present a new method of the econometric model construction: the difference equation method. We illustrate the proposed approach using an application example from human population dynamic study. We find out that proposed method is very useful to find one of the three forms of proposed models of human population satisfying the small maximal relative errors. The maximal relative error is a measure to verify the model of human population. The proposed method is tested for all available data referring to the human population in the OECD countries as well as in selected non-OECD countries. (original abstract)

W tym artykule przedstawiono metodę równań różnicowych czwartego rzędu do doboru postaci modelu ekonometrycznego. Zastosowanie zaproponowanej metody pozwala uzyskać model dobrze dopasowany do danych empirycznych o małym maksymalnym błędzie względnym. Metoda równań różnicowych czwartego rzędu w artykule została wykorzystana do modelowania liczby ludności świata jak również do modelowania liczby ludności w wybranych krajach świata. (abstrakt oryginalny)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Demography; Nonlinear models; Estimation; Differential equations

PL

Demografia; Modele nieliniowe; Estymacja; Równania różniczkowe

• Czasopismo: Przegląd Statystyczny
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: 64
• Numer: z. 3
• Strony: 339--351

Twórcy

autor

Witold Rzymowski

• Lublin University of Technology, Lublin, Poland

autor

Agnieszka Surowiec

• Lublin University of Technology, Lublin, Poland

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