PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2015 | 9 | nr 3 | 271--298
Tytuł artykułu

Dynamic Interactions between Foreign Institutional Investment Flows and Stock Market Returns - the Case of India

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
There has been a marked increase in the magnitude of Foreign Institutional Investments (FIIs) into India since the 1990s, resulting in increased forex reserves and liquidity and a higher-valued Indian capital market. However, such investment is more volatile than other types of flows, causing disruptive effects in the form of sudden stops (for example, the crash of the Indian stock market on January 21, 2008). This study empirically examines the dynamic relationship between FIIs and Indian stock market returns. It also analyses the effects of FIIs on Indian capital market returns, using data from January, 2004 through September, 2012. The analysis employs a Cross Correlation Function (CCF) approach, a Granger Causality Test and Vector Auto Regression after dividing the data into two parts: Pre Global financial crisis and Post Global financial crisis periods. The results of the CCF suggest bi-directional causality between FIIs and Nifty returns, whereas the Granger Causality Test and the VAR analysis suggest uni-directional causality running Nifty returns to FIIs. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
9
Numer
Strony
271--298
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Sardar Vallabhbhai National Institute of Technology, Surat, India
  • Sardar Vallabhbhai National Institute of Technology, Surat, India
  • Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India
Bibliografia
  • Abhayankar A. (1998). Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality: Evidence from the U.K. Stock Index Futures Market. The Journal of Futures Markets, 18 (5), 519-540.
  • Ahmad K.M., Ashraf S., & Ahmed S. (2005). An Empirical Investigation of FIIs' Role in the Indian Equity Market: A Firm Level Analysis. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 11, 21-33.
  • Ananthanarayanan S., Krishnamurti C., & Sen N. (2009, June). Foreign Institutional Investors and Security Returns: Evidence from Indian Stock Exchanges. Paper presented at the 7th INFINITI Conference on International Finance 2009 - Credit Markets, Credit Institutions and Macroeconomic Volatility, Dublin.
  • Antonios A., & Phil H. (1995). Futures Trading, Information and Spot Price Volatility: Evidence for the FTSE-100 Stock Index Futures Contract Using GARCH. Journal of Banking & Finance, 19 (1), 117-129.
  • Babu M.S., & Prabheesh K.P. (2008). Causal Relationships between Foreign Institutional Investments and Stock Returns in India. International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 1 (3), 259-265.
  • Bailey W., Mao C.X., & Sirodom K. (2007). Investment restrictions and the cross-border flow of information: Some empirical evidence. Journal of International Money and Finance, 26 (1), 1-25.
  • Bansal A., & Pasricha J.S. (2009). Investment Trends Of Foreign Institutional Investors In India: An Analytical Overview. Journal of Academic Research in Economics, 1 (3), 308-319.
  • Bawa I.S. (2012). The determinants of foreign institutional investments in India: a critical analysis. Unpublished doctoral thesis. Jhunjhunu: Shri Jagdishprasad Jhabarmal Tibarewala University.
  • Bollen N., (1995). A Note on The Impact of Options on Stock Return Volatility. Journal of Banking & Finance, 22, 1181-1191.
  • Brennan M.J., & Cao H.H. (1997). International portfolio investment flows. The Journal of Finance, 52 (5), 1851-1880.
  • Brown R.L., Durbin J., & Evans M. (1975). Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships over Time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, 37 (2), 149-192.
  • Calvo G.A. (1998) Capital Flows and Capital Market Crises: The Simple Economics of Sudden Stops. Journal of Applied Economics, 1 (1), 35-54.
  • Calvo G., & Reinhart C. (2000). When Capital Inflows Come to a Sudden Stop: Consequences and Policy Actions (MPRA Working Paper No. 6982). University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Calvo G. (2009, July). Lessons from Systemic Financial Crises. Paper presented at India Policy Forum 2009, New Delhi.
  • Chakrabarti, R. (2001). FII Flows to India: Nature and Causes. Money & Finance, 2 (7), 61-81.
  • Chan K., Chan K.C. & Karolyi G.A. (1991). Intraday Volatility in the Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Markets. The Review of Financial Studies, 4 (4), 657-684.
  • Choe H., Kho B.C., & Stulz R.M. (2001). Do domestic investors have more valuable information about individual stocks than foreign investors? (Working Paper No. 8073). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Choudhry T. (1997). Short-Run Deviations and Volatility in Spot and Futures Stock Returns: Evidence From Australia, Hong Kong, and Japan. The Journal of Futures Markets, 17 (6), 689-705.
  • Claessens S., Dooley M.P., & Warner A. (1995). Portfolio Capital Flows: Hot or Cold? (Development Discussion Paper No. 501). Harvard Institute for International Development. Harvard University.
  • Clark J., & Berko E. (1997). Foreign Investment Fluctuations and Emerging Market Stock Returns: The Case of Mexico (Staff Report No. 24). Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Cooper I., & Kaplanis E. (1994). Home bias in equity portfolios, inflation hedging, and international capital market equilibrium. Review of Financial Studies, 7 (1), 45-60.
  • Coval J.D., & Moskowitz T.J. (1999). Home bias at home: Local equity preference in domestic portfolios. The Journal of Finance, 54 (6), 2045-2073.
  • De Brouwer G. (1999). Capital flows to East Asia: the facts. In: D. Gruen, & L. Gower (Eds.), Capital Flows and the International Financial System (pp. 77-88). Sydney, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  • Dickey D.A., & Fuller W.A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American statistical association, 74 (366), 427-431.
  • Dickey D.A., & Fuller W.A. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49 (4), 1057-1072.
  • Dornbusch R., Goldfajn I., & Valdes R.O. (1995). Currency Crises and collapses. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 219-293.
  • Dvořák T. (2005). Do domestic investors have an information advantage? Evidence from Indonesia. The Journal of Finance, 60 (2), 817-839.
  • Ferreira M.A., & Laux P.A. (2009). Portfolio flows, volatility and growth. Journal of International Money and Finance, 28 (2), 271-292.
  • Frankel J.A. (1991). Quantifying international capital mobility in the 1980s. In: B.D. Bernheim, & J.B. Shoven (Ed.), National Saving and Economic Performance (pp. 227-270). Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
  • French K.R., & Poterba J.M. (1991). Investor diversification and international equity markets. American Economic Review, 81 (2), 222-226.
  • Gehrig T. (1993). An information based explanation of the domestic bias in international equity investment. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 95 (1), 97-109.
  • Gordon J., & Gupta P. (2003). Portfolio Flows into India: Do Domestic Fundamentals Matter? Working Paper No. 03/20). International Monetary Fund.
  • Gordon R.H., & Bovenberg A.L. (1996). Why is capital so immobile internationally? Possible explanations and implications for capital income taxation. The American Economic Review, 86 (5), 1057-1075.
  • Grabel I. (1995). Assessing the Impact of Financial Liberalisation on Stock market volatility in Selected Developing Countries. The Journal of Development Studies, 31 (6), 903-917.
  • Griffin J.M., Nardari F., & Stulz R. (2004). Are Daily Cross-Border Equity Flows Pushed or Pulled? The Review of Economics and Statistics, 86 (3), 641-657.
  • Grinblatt M., & Keloharju M. (2000). The investment behavior and performance of various investor types: a study of Finland's unique data set. Journal of Financial Economics, 55 (1), 43-67.
  • Gulen H., & Mayhew S. (2000). Stock Index Futures Trading and Volatility in International Equity Markets. The Journal of Futures Markets, 20 (7), 661-685.
  • Hetamsaria N., & Swain N. (2003). Impact of the Introduction of Futures Market on the Spot Market: An Empirical Study. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 9 (8), 23-36.
  • Inoue T. (2008). The Causal Relationships in Mean and Variance between Stock Returns and Foreign Institutional Investment in India (Discussion Paper No. 180). Institute of Developing Economies. Retrieved from http://www.ide.go.jp/English/Publish/Download/Dp/pdf/180.pdf
  • Jain M., Meena P.L., & Mathur T.N. (2012). Impact of Foreign Institutional Investment on Stock Market with Special Reference to BSE a Study of Last One Decade. Asian Journal of Research in Banking and Finance, 2 (4), 31-47.
  • Kang J.K., & Stulz R. (1997). Why is there a home bias? An analysis of foreign portfolio equity ownership in japan. Journal of Financial Economics, 46 (1), 3-28.
  • Kazi M.H. (2011). How to Manage Foreign Capital Inflows? A Brief Technical Note. Australasian Accounting Business and Finance Journal, 5 (3), 117-123.
  • Kulshrestha H. (2014). Impact of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) on Indian Capital Market. International Journal of Research in Business Management, 2 (3), 35-52.
  • Kumar S. (2009). Investigating causal relationship between stock return with respect to exchange rate and FII: evidence from India (MPRA Working Paper No. 15793). University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Lemmon M.L., & Lins K.V. (2003). Ownership structure, corporate governance, and firm value: evidence from the East Asian financial crisis. The Journal of Finance, 58 (4), 1445-1468.
  • Mckenzie M.D., Brailsford T.J., & Faff R.W. (2001). New Insights into the Impact of the Introduction of Futures Trading on Stock Price Volatility. Journal of Futures Markets, 21 (3), 237-255.
  • Mukherjee P., Bose S., & Coondoo D. (2002). Foreign Institutional Investment in the Indian Equity Market: An Analysis of Daily Flows during January 1999-May 2002. Money & Finance, 2 (9-10), 21-51.
  • Mukherjee K. & Mishra R.K. (2006). Lead-Lag Relationship between Equities and Stock Index Futures Market and It's Variation around Information Release: Empirical Evidence from India. NSE India. Retrieved from http://www.nseindia.com/content/research/comppaper155.pdf
  • Patnaik I., & Shah A. (2012). Did the Indian Capital Controls Work as a Tool of Macroeconomic Policy? IMF Economic Review, 60 (3), 439-464.
  • Pericil A., & Koutmos G. (1997). Index Futures and Options and Stock Market Volatility. The Journal of Futures Market, 17 (8), 957-974.
  • Phillips P.C.B., & Perron P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75 (2), 335-346.
  • Radelet S., & Sachs J. (1998). The Onset of the East Asian Financial Crisis. National Bureau of Economic Research (Working Paper No. 6680). The National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Rai K. & Bhanumurthy N.R. (2004). Determinants of foreign institutional investment in India: The role of return, risk, and inflation. The Developing Economies, 42 (4), 479-493.
  • Shenbagaraman P. (2003). Do Futures And Options Trading Increase Stock Market Volatility? NSE India. Retrieved from http://www.nseindia.com/content/research/Paper60.pdf
  • Sims C.A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48 (1), 1-48.
  • Srinivasan P., & Kalaivani M. (2010). Foreign Institutional Investment and Stock Market Returns in India: Before and During Global Financial Crisis. IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7 (1-2), 59-75.
  • Stiglitz J. (1999). Lessons from East Asia. Journal of Policy Modeling, 21 (3), 311-330.
  • Tayde M., & Rao S.V.D.N. (2011). Do Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) Exhibit Herding and Positive Feedback Trading in Indian Stock Markets? International Finance Review, 12, 169-185.
  • Thenmozhi M. (2002). Futures Trading, Information and Spot Price Volatility of NSE-50 Index Futures Contract. NSE India. Retrieved from http://www.nseindia.com/content/research/Paper59.pdf
  • Wang L.R., Shen C.H. (1999). Do foreign investments affect foreign exchange and stock markets - the case of Taiwan. Applied Economics, 31 (11), 1303-1314.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171503149

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Musisz być zalogowany aby pisać komentarze.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.