Factors Affecting the Availability of Food in 2050

• Autorzy: Konrad Prandecki

Warianty tytułu

Czynniki wpływające na dostępność żywności w perspektywie 2050 roku

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Population prospects and increasing risk of emergence of limits to growth mean that food safety hazards are becoming more realistic. The goal of the study is to find the most important factors influencing the future food security. Until 2050 the demand for food is expected to increase by at least 70%. It is due to growing number of people and rapid changes in developing countries. Forecasts allow the conclusion that it is possible to ensure a sufficient increase in the supply of food that will satisfy the need for additional billion people, and suffering from malnutrition. However, it is associated with the need to increase the focus on sustainable attitude to agriculture and food production. This means the need to implement simultaneously economic, social and environmental aspects of the food economy, i.e., among others, greater trade openness, the growing importance of producers at the expense of intermediaries, increase the social attractiveness of work in agriculture and reducing food waste. These conditions are as important as the fight against climate change (in particular water scarcity and soil erosion) or technological improvement of agricultural productivity. (original abstract)

Zmiany liczby ludności i rosnące ryzyko wystąpienia barier wzrostu oznaczają, że zagrożenie bezpieczeństwa żywnościowego stają się coraz bardziej realistyczne. Celem niniejszego opracowania jest wskazanie najbardziej istotnych czynników wpływających na bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe w przyszłości. Prognozy wskazują, że do 2050 r. zapotrzebowanie na żywność może wzrosnąć o 70%. Zmiana ta jest wynikiem rosnącej liczby ludności oraz zmian stylu życia w krajach rozwijających się. Analiza prowadzi do wniosków, że możliwe jest zapewnienie żywności dla rosnącej populacji, jednakże jest to związane z potrzebą skupienia uwagi na zrównoważonym podejściu do rolnictwa i produkcji żywności. Oznacza to jednoczesne uwzględnianie gospodarczych, społecznych i środowiskowych aspektów rolnictwa i produkcji rolnej. (abstrakt oryginalny)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Food; Food security; Climate change; Agriculture; Sustainable development; Economic development; Economic forecast

PL

Żywność; Bezpieczeństwo żywnościowe; Zmiany klimatyczne; Rolnictwo; Rozwój zrównoważony; Rozwój gospodarczy; Prognozy gospodarcze

• Czasopismo: Przyszłość. Świat-Europa-Polska
• Rocznik: 2016
• Numer: nr 3 PROBLEMY GOSPODARCZE W PERSPEKTYWIE PRZYSZŁOŚCI
• Strony: 208--233

Twórcy

autor

Konrad Prandecki

• Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics. National Research Institute

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