Wzrost pobudzany eksportem czy eksport stymulowany wzrostem sektora rolnego

• Autorzy: Jacek Strojny

Warianty tytułu

Growth Led by Exports or Exports Driven by Agricultural Sector Growth

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Celem opracowania jest analiza współzależności między międzynarodową wymianą produktami rolno-żywnościowymi a poziomem produkcji rolnej w wybranych krajach UE. Badanie oparto na metodologii analizy kointegracyjnej i modelach wektorowej autoregresji (VAR). Znaczenie ekspansji eksportowej dla wzrostu produkcji rolnej jest odmienne w poszczególnych krajach UE. W Polsce produkcja rolna jest kształtowana w znacznej mierze poziomem eksportu, ale pozostaje także pod wpływem własnej tendencji rozwojowej. Polski eksport rolno-spożywczy jest kształtowany własną tendencją rozwojową. Dla Francji nie wykryto współzależności między produkcją rolną i eksportem rolno-żywnościowym. Z drugiej strony, eksport jest kształtowany własną tendencją rozwojową i zidentyfikowano zależność między eksportem i produkcją rolną. Podsumowując, w Polsce eksport wspiera produkcję rolną, a we Francji wysoki poziom produkcji sektora rolnego stymuluje eksport. (abstrakt oryginalny)

EN

The aim of the article is to analyze the interrelationship between the international exchange of agri-food products and the level of the agricultural production in selected EU countries. The study is based on cointegration analysis methodology and employs vector autoregression models (VAR). The relevance of export expansion for the growth of agricultural production differs in individual EU countries. Agricultural production in Poland has a lot to do with the level of the exports, but it is under the influence of its own developmental tendency, as well. The Polish agri-food exports are shaped heavily by their own trend. No interrelationship was detected between agricultural production and agri-food exports in France. On the other hand, exports are influenced by their trend and additionally a strong impact of the level of agricultural production on exports was detected. To conclude, exports support agricultural production in Poland, and the high level of production of the agricultural sector stimulates exports in France. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Kointegracja; Model wektorowej autoregresji; Przemysł rolno-spożywczy; Produkcja rolna; Eksport produktów rolnych

EN

Cointegration; Vector Autoregression Model (VAR); Agri-food industry; Agricultural production; Agricultural exports

• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
• Rocznik: 2018
• Tom: 18(33)
• Numer: z. 1
• Strony: 248--262

Twórcy

autor

Jacek Strojny

• Uniwersytet Rolniczy im. Hugona Kołłątaja w Krakowie

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Identyfikatory

DOI

10.22630/PRS.2018.18.1.23