PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2018 | 54 | nr 3 | 219--226
Tytuł artykułu

Sustainability of fiscal policy in Poland in the period 2004-2017

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The aim of this paper is to analyze fiscal sustainability in Poland after joining EU between 2004-2017. Unlike previous studies, which analyzed weak measures of fiscal sustainability, we analyze fiscal sustainability measures in the strong sense. Contrary to previous studies we estimate individual, not panel, fiscal reaction functions which allows us to provide possibly a more accurate picture of fiscal policy outcomes in Poland. Moreover, our empirical analysis takes a closer look at the series of structural breaks that occurred after the global crisis. Based on our analysis we may tentatively conclude that despite cyclical fiscal deterioration during the crisis fiscal policy in Poland has been sustainable in the strong sense up until 2017.(original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
54
Numer
Strony
219--226
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Bohn, H. (1995), The sustainability of budget deficits in a stochastic economy, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Vol. 27, pp. 257-271.
  • Bohn, H. (1998), The behavior of U.S. public debt and deficits, The Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 113, No. 3, pp. 949-963.
  • Bohn, H. (2007), Are stationary and cointegration restrictions really necessary for the intertemporal budget constraint? Journal of Monetary Economics Vol. 57, No. 7, pp. 1837-1847.
  • Bökemeier, B., Stoian, A. (2016), Debt sustainability issues in the central and eastern European countries Working Papers in Economics and Management No.07-2016, Universität Bielefeld, Bielefeld.
  • European Commission. (2016), Directorate-general for economic and financial affairs, fiscal sustainability report 2015 Institutional Paper 018, Brussels.
  • European Commission. (2018), Debt sustainability monitor 2017 Institutional Paper 071, Brussels.
  • Hakkio, G.S., Rush, M. (1991), Is the budget deficit too large? Economic Inquiry Vol. 29, pp. 429-445.
  • Hamilton, J.D., Flavin, M.A. (1986), On the limitations of government borrowing: a framework for empirical testing, American Economic Review Vol. 76, No. 4, pp. 808-819.
  • Hodrick, R., Prescott, E.C. (1997), Postwar U.S. business cycles: an empirical investigation, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking Vol. 29, No. 1, pp. 1-16.
  • Johansen, S. (1991), Estimation and hypothesis testing of co-integration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models, Econometrica Vol. 59, pp. 1151-1181.
  • Konopczak, M. (2012), Ocena ryzyka kredytowego Polski metodą roszczeń warunkowych, "Materiały i Studia NBP" Zeszyt nr 267, Narodowy Bank Polski, Warszawa.
  • Krajewski, P., Mackiewicz, M., Szymańska, A. (2016), Fiscal sustainability in central and eastern European countries - a post-crisis assessment, Prague Economic Papers Vol. 25, No. 2, pp. 175-188.
  • Lütkepohl, H., Saikkonen, P. and Trenkler, C. (2004), Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR with level shift at unknown time, Econometrica Vol. 72, No. 2, pp. 647-662.
  • Ozkaya, A. (2013), Public debt stock sustainability in selected OECD countries, Central Bank Review Vol. 13, pp. 31-49.
  • Pączek-Jarmulska, B. (2016), Analiza stabilności fiskalnej w Polsce w latach 1995-2014, Studia i Prace Kolegium Zarządzania i Finansów, Szkoła Główna Handlowa Vol. 151, pp. 47-70.
  • Pfaff, B. (2008), Analysis of integrated and cointegrated time series with R Springer, New York.
  • Saikkonen, P., Lütkepohl, H., (2000), Testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process with structural shifts, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Vol. 18, No. 4, pp. 451-464.
  • Szyszka, A. (2009), Behawioralne aspekty kryzysu finansowego, Bank i Kredyt No. 4, pp. 4-29.
  • Trehan, B., Walsh, C.E. (1991), Testing intertemporal budget constraints: theory and applications to U.S. federal budget and current account deficits, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking Vol. 23, pp. 206-223.
  • Trenkler, C. (2003), A new set of critical values for systems cointegration tests with a prior adjustment for deterministic terms, Economics Bulletin Vol. 3, No. 11, pp. 1-9.
  • Wilcox, D.W. (1989), The sustainability of government deficits: implications of present-value borrowing constraint, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Vol. 21, No. 3, pp. 291-306.
  • Wysocki, M. (2017), Sustainability of public debt stock in transition economies in central and eastern Europe countries in terms of solvency, Studia Ekonomiczne No. 1, pp. XCII.
  • Zivot, E., Andrews, D. (1992), Further evidence of the great crash, the oil-price shock and the unit-root hypothesis Journal of Business and Economic Statistics Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 251-270.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171538845

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Musisz być zalogowany aby pisać komentarze.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.