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2018 | vol. 18, iss. 2 | 121--143
Tytuł artykułu

Is Central Banks' Effectiveness Related to their Transparency? : a Case of European Economies

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This article presents a novel transparency measure and examines forward-looking transparency of six European central banks. It aims at evaluating whether the higher degree of transparency is related to better economic stabilization expressed in terms of output and inflation gap minimization. The methods used are based on data and a statistical analysis. To extract the cyclical component of time series, the Hodrick-Prescott filter is employed. The research covers the Czech National Bank, the National Bank of Hungary, the National Bank of Poland, the National Bank of Romania, the Bank of England, and the Sveriges Riksbank during 1997-2016. Firstly, we develop an index of forward-looking transparency that focuses on signalling intentions by the central banks. It is one of the main contributions of our article. Secondly, we compare transparency in the field of signaling intentions within our sample, which is another aspect of originality of this study. The results indicate that the Czech National Bank and the central banks of developed economies outperform the other central banks from our sample in terms of openness. Finally, under some caveats, we relate the degree of transparency to the levels and volatility of output and inflation gaps. We find the existence of the relationship between the central banks' transparency and their effectiveness mainly for Czech Republic and the UK, but also, although to a lesser extent, for Poland and Romania.(original abstract)
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Strony
121--143
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • WSB University in Poznań, Poland
  • Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Bajalan, S., Raei, R., Tehrani, R. (2012). Development of an Index for Measuring Transparency of Central Banks. Argumenta Oeconomica, 1 (28), 13-40.
  • Baxter, M., King, R. (1999). Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters For Economic Time Series. Review of Economics and Statistics, 4 (81), 575-593. DOI:10.1162/003465399558454.
  • Bini-Smaghi, L., Gros, D. (2001). Is the ECB Sufficiently Accountable and Transparent? European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes Working Paper, 7.
  • Blinder, A.S. (2001). Central Banking in Theory and Practice. Cambridge MA: The MIT Press.
  • Blinder, A.S., Ehrmann, M., de Haan, J., Jansen, D.J. (2017). Necessity as the mother of invention: monetary policy after the crisis. European Central Bank Working Paper Series, 2047.
  • Blinder, A.S., Ehrmann, M., Fratzscher, M., de Haan, J., Jansen, D.J. (2008). Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence. Journal of Economic Literature, 4 (46), 910-945. DOI: 10.1257/jel.46.4.910.
  • Christiano, L.,Fitzgerald, T. (2003). The Band Pass Filter. International Economic Review, 2 (44), 435-465. DOI: 10.1111/1468-2354.t01-1-00076.
  • Clinton, K., Hlédik, T., Holub, T., Laxton, D., Wang, H. (2017). Czech magic: Implementing inflation-forecast targeting at CNB. IMF Working Paper, 17/21.
  • Coenen, G., Ehrmann, M., Gaballo, G., Hoffmann, P., Nakov, A., Nardelli, S., Persson, E., Strasser, G. (2017). Communication of monetary policy in unconventional times. European Central Bank Working Paper Series, 2080.
  • Crowe, C., Meade, E. (2008). Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness. European Journal of Political Economy, 4 (24), 763-777. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2008.06.004.
  • Cukierman, A.C., Meltzer, A.H. (1985). Theory of Ambiguity, Credibility and Inflation under Discretion and Asymmetric Information. Econometrica, 5 (54), 1099-1128.
  • de Mendonça, H.F., Galveas, K.A.S. (2013). Transparency and Inflation: What Is the Effect on the Brazilian Economy? Economic Systems, 1 (37), 69-80. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2012.06.003.
  • Dincer, N.N., Eichengreen, B. (2008). Central Bank Transparency: Why, Where, and with What Effects? In: J.-Ph. Touffut (ed.), Central Banks as Economic Institutions (pp. 201-141). Cheltenham Glos: Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Dincer, N.N., Eichengreen, B. (2010). Central Bank Transparency: Causes, Consequences and Updates. Theoretical Inquiries in Law, 1 (11), 75-123. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1565-3404.1237.
  • Dincer, N.N., Eichengreen, B. (2014). Central Bank Transparency and Independence: Updates and New Measures, International Journal of Central Banking, 1 (10), 189-253.
  • Draghi, M. (2014). Monetary policy communication in turbulent times. Speech at the Conference De Nederlandsche Bank 200 years: Central banking in the next two decades, De Nederlandsche Bank, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Retrieved from: http://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2014/html/sp140424.en.html
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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