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2019 | 12 | nr 3 | 22--30
Tytuł artykułu

Determinants of Investor Behavior in SET50 Index Futures and Options Markets: Evidence from Thailand Futures Exchange

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This study provides a new empirical evidence to demonstrate the factors influencing investors' behavior at SET50 index futures and options markets via two types of simultaneous equation estimation, Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) and Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS). Both 2SLS and 3SLS estimation results show a bilateral causality between stock market volatility and derivatives market activities. Between futures trading and options trading, there is a bilateral causality in 3SLS model, but there is a unidirectional causality from futures market activity to options market activity in 2SLS model. Turnover ratio has a positive impact on stock market volatility, but its relationship with speculative behavior relative to hedging behavior in SET50 index futures is negative in both methods. Only 3SLS model shows a negative impact of turnover ratio on the relative importance of speculative activity at SET50 index options market. Moreover, the proportion of foreign investors shows a positive relationship with speculative investor behavior at SET50 index futures market. There is an increase in SET50 index options trading by foreign and institutional investors for speculation, relative to hedging. Speculative trading is mostly related to put options, while hedging trading is mostly related to call options. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
12
Numer
Strony
22--30
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Kasetsart University, Thailand
Bibliografia
  • Bessembinder, H., & Seguin, P. J. (1992). Futures Trading Activity and Stock Price Volatility. Journal of Finance, 47(5), 2015-2034. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04695.x
  • Chang, E., Chou, R. Y., & Nelling, E. F. (2000). Market Volatility and the Demand for Hedging in Stock Index Futures. Journal of Futures Markets, 20(2), 105-125. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1096-9934(200002)20:2<105::AID-FUT1>3.0.CO;2-Q
  • Chen, C., & Tang, W. (2009). Are They Hedgers or Speculators? Evidence from South Korea's Political Elections. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 45(1), 19-30. https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496X450102
  • Ciner, C., Karagozoglu, A. K., & Kim, W. S. (2006). What is so Special about KOSPI 200 Index Futures Contract? Analysis of Trading Volume and Liquidity. Review of Futures Markets, 14(3), 327-348.
  • Furqan, M., & Mirza, N. (2015). Motives Behind the Use of Derivatives: Hedging or Speculation?. Pakistan Business Review, 17(2), 450-461. Retrieved from https://www.journals.iobmresearch.com/index.php/PBR/article/ view/126/55
  • Futures Industry Association. (2018). Total 2017 volume 25.2 billion contracts, down 0.1% from 2016. Retrieved from https://fia.org/node/3318/?utm_source=FIAHP&utm_medium=carousel&utm_ campaign =Vol2017
  • García, P., Leuthold, R. M., & Zapata, H. (1986). Lead-lag Relationships between Trading Volume and Price Variability: New Evidence. Journal of Futures Markets, 6(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.3990060102
  • Garman, M. B., & Klass, M. J. (1980). On the Estimation of Security Price Volatilities from Historical Data. Journal of Business, 53(1), 67-78. https://dx.doi.org/10.1086/296072
  • Gwilym, O. A., Buckle, M. J., & Evans, P. (2002). The Volume-maturity Relationship for Stock Index, Interest Rate and Bond Futures Contracts. EBMS Working Paper. European Business Management School, University of Wales, Swansea.
  • Hagelin, N. (2000). Index Option Market Activity and Cash Market Volatility under Different Market Conditions: an Empirical Study from Sweden. Applied Financial Economics, 10(6), 597-613. https://doi.org/10.1080/096031000437953
  • Jongadsayakul, W. (2015). The Study of the Liquidity of SET50 Index Options. Proceedings of 53th Kasetsart University Annual Conference. Kasetsart University, Bangkok, 413-421. Retrieved from http://annualconference.ku.ac.th/cd53/12_002_O5.pdf
  • Kim, M., Kim G. R., & Kim, M. (2004). Stock Market Volatility and Trading Activities in the KOSPI 200 Derivatives Markets. Applied Economics Letters, 11(1), 49-53. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350485042000187462
  • Lee, H. S. (2013). Determinants of the KOSPI 200 Futures and Options Markets Trading Volume. Capital Market Perspective, 5(1), 29-44. Retrieved from https://www.kcmi.re.kr/common/downloadw.asp?fid=16646&fgu =002001&fty=004003
  • Leuthold, R.M. (1983). Commercial Use and Speculative Measures of the Livestock Commodity Futures Markets. Journal of Futures Markets, 3(2), 113-135. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.3990030202
  • Lucia, J. J., & Pardo, A. (2010). On Measuring Speculative and Hedging Activities in Futures Markets from Volume and Open Interest Data. Applied Economic, 42(12), 1549-1557. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840701721489
  • Rutledge, D. J. S. (1979). Trading Volume and Price Variability: New Evidence on the Price Effects of Speculation. International Futures Trading Seminar Proceedings Volume V. Chicago Board of Trade, Chicago, 160-186.
  • Thailand Futures Exchange. (2018). 12th Anniversary Futures Exchange. Retrieved from https://www.tfex.co.th/th/education/files/TFEX_12yrs_Booklet.pdf
  • Watanabe, T. (2001). Price Volatility, Trading Volume, and Market Depth: Evidence from the Japanese Stock Index Futures Market. Applied Financial Economics, 11(6), 651-658. https://doi.org/10.1080/096031001753266939
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171567484

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