Climate Change Impacts on Cattle Production : Analysis of Cattle Herders' Climate Variability/Change Adaptation Strategies in Nigeria

• Autorzy: Ayansina Ayanlade , Stephen M. Ojebisi
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The study examines the seasonality in climate and extreme weather events, and its effect on cattle production in the Guinea Savannah ecological zone of Nigeria. The study uses both quantitative and qualitative approaches. Climate data of 34 years were used to examine the trends in rainfall pattern and climate variability while household survey was used to appraise the herders' awareness of climate variability/change impacts and adaptation strategies. Cumulative Departure Index (CDI) method was used to assess the extreme weather events while descriptive statistics and multinomial logistic (MNL) regression model were used to identify the factors that determined herders' adaptation strategies to climate change. The results revealed a significant spatiotemporal variation in both rainfall and temperature with CDI ranging from -1.39 to 3.3 and -2.3 to 1.81 respectively. The results revealed a reduction in the amount of water available for cattle production. From survey results, 97.5% of the herders identified drought as the major extreme weather event affecting livestock productivities in the study region. In the herder's perception, the droughts are more severe in recent years than 34 years ago. The results from MNL revealed that extreme weather events, such as drought, has a positive likelihood on migration, at a 10% level of significance, the events has led to migration of cattle herders from the northern part of the study area toward the southern part in recent years. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Climate change; Natural disaster

PL

Zmiany klimatyczne; Klęski żywiołowe

• Czasopismo: Change and Adaptation in Socio-Ecological Systems
• Rocznik: 2019
• Tom: 5
• Numer: nr 1
• Strony: 12--23

Twórcy

autor

Ayansina Ayanlade

• Obafemi Awolowo University, Nigeria

autor

Stephen M. Ojebisi

• Obafemi Awolowo University, Nigeria

Bibliografia

• ABID, M., SCHEFFRAN, J., SCHNEIDER, U. & ASHFAQ, M. 2015. Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan. Earth System Dynamics, 6, 225.
• ADEJUWON, J. O. 2006. Food crop production in Nigeria. II. Potential effects of climate change. Climate Research, 32, 229-245.
• AINSWORTH, E. A., BEIER, C., CALFAPIETRA, C., CEULEMANS, R., DURAND-TARDIF, M., FARQUHAR, G. D., GODBOLD, D. L., HENDREY, G. R., HICKLER, T. & KADUK, J. 2008. Next generation of elevated [CO2] experiments with crops: a critical investment for feeding the future world. Plant, Cell & Environment, 31, 1317-1324.
• ASHIPALA, S. N. 2013. EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY ON PEARL MILLET. University of Nairobi.
• AYANLADE, A. 2009. Seasonal rainfall variability in Guinea Savanna part of Nigeria: a GIS approach. Int J Clim Change Strateg Manag, 1.
• AYANLADE, A., ODEKUNLE, T. & ORIMOOGUNJE, O. 2010. Impacts of climate variability on tuber crops in Guinea Savanna part of Nigeria: A GIS approach. Journal of geography and Geology, 2, 27.
• AYANLADE, A., RADENY, M. & AKIN-ONIGBINDE, A. I. 2018a. Climate variability/change and attitude to adaptation technologies: a pilot study among selected rural farmers' communities in Nigeria. GeoJournal, 83, 319-331.
• AYANLADE, A., RADENY, M. & MORTON, J. F. 2017. Comparing smallholder farmers' perception of climate change with meteorological data: A case study from southwestern Nigeria. Weather and Climate Extremes, 15, 24-33.
• AYANLADE, A., RADENY, M., MORTON, J. F. & MUCHABA, T. 2018b. Drought Characteristics in Two Agro-Climatic Zones in Sub-Saharan Africa. Climate Prediction S&T Digest, 140.
• AZUWIKE, O. D. & ENWEREM, E. 2010. Nigeria's changing environment and pastoral nomadism.
• BANIK, S., PANKAJ, P., NASKAR, S., MALIK, P., BHATTA, R., TAKAHASHI, J., KOHN, R. & PRASAD, C. 2015. Climate change: impacts on livestock diversity in tropical countries. Livestock Production and Climate Change, 6, 162.
• BELAY, A., RECHA, J. W., WOLDEAMANUEL, T. & MORTON, J. F. 2017. Smallholder farmers' adaptation to climate change and determinants of their adaptation decisions in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia. Agriculture & Food Security, 6, 24.
• BROOKS, N., ADGER, W. N. & KELLY, P. M. 2005. The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 15, 151-163.
• BRYAN, E., BERNIER, Q., ESPINAL, M. & RINGLER, C. 2018. Making climate change adaptation programmes in sub-Saharan Africa more gender responsive: insights from implementing organizations on the barriers and opportunities. Climate and Development, 10, 417-431.
• BUKARI, K. N. & KUUSAANA, E. D. 2018. Impacts of large-scale land holdings on Fulani pastoralists' in the Agogo Traditional Area of Ghana. Land use policy, 79, 748-758.
• CARFAGNA, F., CERVIGNI, R. & FALLAVIER, P. 2018. Mitigating Drought Impacts in Drylands: Quantifying the Potential for Strengthening Crop-and Livestock-Based Livelihoods, The World Bank.
• CHANGE, C. 2001. The Scientific Basis (IPCC Third Assessment Report). WMO and UNEP.
• CHIGOZIE, C. F. 2012. Climate Change and Conflict in Nigeria: A theoretical and empirical examination of the worsening incidence of conflict between fulani herdsmen and farmers in northern Nigeria. Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review (OMAN Chapter), 2, 110.
• CLARKE, C., SHACKLETON, S. & POWELL, M. 2012. Climate change perceptions, drought responses and views on carbon farming amongst commercial livestock and game farmers in the semiarid Great Fish River Valley, Eastern Cape province, South Africa. African Journal of Range & Forage Science, 29, 13-23.
• COOPER, P., DIMES, J., RAO, K., SHAPIRO, B., SHIFERAW, B. & TWOMLOW, S. 2008. Coping better with current climatic variability in the rain-fed farming systems of sub-Saharan Africa: An essential first step in adapting to future climate change? Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 126, 24-35.
• CRICK, F., GANNON, K. E., DIOP, M. & SOW, M. 2018. Enabling private sector adaptation to climate change in sub-Saharan Africa. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9, e505.
• DAVIES, M., GUENTHER, B., LEAVY, J., MITCHELL, T. & TANNER, T. 2009. Climate change adaptation, disaster risk reduction and social protection: complementary roles in agriculture and rural growth? IDS Working Papers, 2009, 01-37.
• DAVIES, S. 2016. Adaptable livelihoods: Coping with food insecurity in the Malian Sahel, Springer.
• DERESSA, T. T., HASSAN, R. M., RINGLER, C., ALEMU, T. & YESUF, M. 2009. Determinants of farmers' choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 19, 248-255.
• DESCHEEMAEKER, K., OOSTING, S. J., TUI, S. H.-K., MASIKATI, P., FALCONNIER, G. N. & GILLER, K. E. 2016. Climate change adaptation and mitigation in smallholder crop-livestock systems in sub-Saharan Africa: a call for integrated impact assessments. Regional Environmental Change, 16, 2331-2343.
• DEWAN, A. D. 2019. Fulani Herdsmen and Farmers Conflicts in Nigeria: Approaches to Media Coverage of Conflict and Climate Change Issues. Impacts of Violent Conflicts on Resource Control and Sustainability. IGI Global.
• DUCROTOY, M. J., MAJEKODUNMI, A. O., SHAW, A. P., BAGULO, H., BERTU, W. J., GUSI, A. M., OCHOLI, R. & WELBURN, S. C. 2018. Patterns of passage into protected areas: Drivers and outcomes of Fulani immigration, settlement and integration into the Kachia Grazing Reserve, northwest Nigeria. Pastoralism, 8, 1.
• GOLHER, D., THIRUMURUGAN, P., PATEL, B., UPADHYAY, V., SAHU, S., GAUR, G. & BHOITE, S. 2015. Effect of drinking water temperature on physiological variables of crossbred dairy cattle at high altitude temperate region of Himalayas. Veterinary world, 8, 1210.
• GROTHMANN, T. & PATT, A. 2005. Adaptive capacity and human cognition: the process of individual adaptation to climate change. Global Environmental Change, 15, 199-213.
• GUJARATI, D. 2004. Basic Econometrics.(4 th edtn) The McGraw- Hill Companies.
• HASSAN, A., FULLEN, M. & OLOKE, D. 2019. Problems of drought and its management in Yobe State, Nigeria. Weather and Climate Extremes, 23, 100192.
• HEIN, Y., VIJITSRIKAMOL, K., ATTAVANICH, W. & JANEKARNKIJ, P. 2019. Do Farmers Perceive the Trends of Local Climate Variability Accurately? An Analysis of Farmers' Perceptions and Meteorological Data in Myanmar. Climate, 7, 64.
• IBRAHIM, S. S., OZDESER, H. & CAVUSOGLU, B. 2019. Testing the impact of environmental hazards and violent conflicts on sustainable pastoral development: micro-level evidence from Nigeria. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 1-22.
• KABONESA, C. & KINDI, F. I. 2013. Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Pastoral Communities: Coping and Adaptive Strategies for Women and Men in Uganda. Impacts of Climate Change and Variability on Pastoralist Women in Sub-Saharan Africa, 223.
• KOWAL, J. M., KNABE, D. T. & COMMITTEE, H. T. 1972. An agroclimatological atlas of the northern states of Nigeria, with explanatory notes.
• KUTAMA, A., ALIYU, B. & EMECHEBE, A. 2010. State of sorghum downy mildew in maize in the Sudan and Sahel Savanna agroecological zones of Nigeria. Bayero Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences, 3.
• LEACH, M., MEARNS, R. & SCOONES, I. 1997. Environmental entitlements: a framework for understanding the institutional dynamics of environmental change, Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex Brighton.
• LEAL FILHO, W. 2010. The economic, social and political elements of climate change, Springer Science & Business Media.
• MAIANGWA, B. 2017. "Conflicting Indigeneity" and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Postcolonial Africa. Peace Review, 29, 282-288.
• MARTIN, R., MÜLLER, B., LINSTÄDTER, A. & FRANK, K. 2014. How much climate change can pastoral livelihoods tolerate? Modelling rangeland use and evaluating risk. Global Environmental Change, 24, 183-192.
• MARTIN, W. E., RAISH, C. & KENT, B. M. 2008. Wildfire risk: human perceptions and management implications, Earthscan.
• MORTIMORE, M. J. & ADAMS, W. M. 2001. Farmer adaptation, change and 'crisis' in the Sahel. Global Environmental Change, 11, 49-57.
• MUNKHTSETSEG, E., KIMURA, R., WANG, J. & SHINODA, M. 2007. Pasture yield response to precipitation and high temperature in Mongolia. Journal of Arid environments, 70, 94-110.
• NEIBERGS, J. S., HUDSON, T. D., KRUGER, C. E. & HAMELRIEKEN, K. 2017. Estimating climate change effects on grazing management and beef cattle production in the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change, 1-13.
• O'BRIEN, K., QUINLAN, T. & ZIERVOGEL, G. 2009. Vulnerability interventions in the context of multiple stressors: lessons from the Southern Africa Vulnerability Initiative (SAVI). Environmental science & policy, 12, 23-32.
• ODEKUNLE, T., ORINMOOGUNJE, I. & AYANLADE, A. 2007. Application of GIS to assess rainfall variability impacts on crop yield in Guinean Savanna part of Nigeria. African journal of Biotechnology, 6.
• OJIMA, D., TOGTOKH, C., GALVIN, K. A., HOPPING, K., BEETON, T., ULAMBAYAR, T., NARANTUYA, B. & MYAGMARSUREN, A. 2017. COPING WITH CLIMATE EXTREMES IN MONGOLIAN PASTORAL COMMUNITIES. Making Climate Compatible Development Happen, 182.
• OLAWUYI, D. S. 2018. From technology transfer to technology absorption: addressing climate technology gaps in Africa. Journal of Energy & Natural Resources Law, 36, 61-84.
• ROEVER, C., DELCURTO, T., ROWLAND, M., VAVRA, M. & WISDOM, M. 2015. Cattle grazing in semiarid forestlands: Habitat selection during periods of drought. Journal of animal science, 93, 3212-3225.
• SCOONES, I. 2009. Livelihoods perspectives and rural development. The Journal of Peasant Studies, 36, 171-196.
• SMIT, B. & WANDEL, J. 2006. Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, 16, 282-292.
• THORNTON, P. K., BOONE, R. B. & RAMIREZ-VILLEGAS, J. 2015. Climate change impacts on livestock.
• TUBI, A. & FEITELSON, E. 2016. Drought and cooperation in a conflict prone area: Bedouin herders and Jewish farmers in Israel's northern Negev, 1957-1963. Political Geography, 51, 30-42.
• WOOLDRIDGE, J. 2002. Inverse probability weighted M-estimators for sample selection, attrition, and stratification. Portuguese Economic Journal, 1, 117-139.
• ZHANG, C., LI, W. & FAN, M. 2013. Adaptation of herders to droughts and privatization of rangeland-use rights in the arid Alxa Left Banner of Inner Mongolia. Journal of environmental management, 126, 182-190.
• ZOUGMORÉ, R. 2018. Promoting climate-smart agriculture through water and nutrient interactions options in semi-arid West Africa: a review of evidence and empirical analysis. Improving the Profitability, Sustainability and Efficiency of Nutrients Through Site Specific Fertilizer Recommendations in West Africa Agro-Ecosystems. Springer.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/cass-2019-0002