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2019 | 12 | nr 38 | 47--60
Tytuł artykułu

Interactions between the budget and the current account balance: twin deficits in selected Central and East European countries

Autorzy
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Nowadays, especially after the global financial crisis of 2008, the external and internal balance of individual countries has become a major area of research. This is even more important in the CEE region, as the crisis has shown that imbalances in this region have significantly increased their sen- sitivity to the crisis. In our research, we aim to explore whether there is, if any, relationship between fiscal policy and the balance of the current account in Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic. The period which we will analyse is the last two decades since the millennium. Based on a literature review, we examine the relationship between the budget deficit and the current account with econometric methods, Engle-Granger cointegration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Our results will show that we can find different, if any, relationship between the two factors in the different countries. It means, however, that there are a lot of similarities between these countries, from this point of view they are quite heterogeneous. Thus, in this field, there is not one general solution for every country; each country has to find their way to handle the twin deficit problem.(original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
12
Numer
Strony
47--60
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
  • University of Szeged
Bibliografia
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  • Bernheim, B. D. (1988). Budget deficits and the balance of trade. "Tax Policy and the Economy" , No. 2, pp. 1-31. Retrieved from: https://doi.org/10.1086/tpe.2.20061771
  • Darrat, A. F. (1988). Have large budget deficits caused rising trade deficits? "Southern Economic Journal" , No. 54 (4), pp. 879-887. Retrieved from: https://doi.org/10.2307/1059523
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  • Kim, C. H., Kim, D. (2006). Does Korea have twin deficits? "Applied Economics Letters" , No. 13 (10), pp. 675-680. Retrieved from: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850500404910
  • Kim, S., Roubini, N. (2008). Twin deficit or twin divergence? Fiscal policy, current account, and real exchange rate in the U. S. "Journal of International Economics" , No. 74 (2), pp. 362-383. Retrieved from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2007.05.012
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  • Kiss, G. D. (2017). Volatilitás, extrém elmozdulások és tőkepiaci fertőzések . Szeged: JATEPress Kiadó.
  • Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis . Berlin: Springer. Retrieved from: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-27752-8
  • Leachman, L. L., Francis, B. (2002). Twin deficits: apparition or reality? "Applied Economics Letters" , No. 34 (9), pp. 1121-1132. Retrieved from: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840110069976
  • Magazzino, C. (2012) The twin deficits phenomenon: evidence from Italy. "Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development" , No. 33 (3), pp. 65-80.
  • Marashdeh, H., Saleh, A. S. (2006). Revisiting Budget and Trade Deficits in Lebanon: A Critique . University of Wollongong, Faculty of Commerce - Economics Working Papers, 06-07.
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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Identyfikator YADDA
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