Why do Regions Differ in Vulnerability to СOVID-19?: Spatial Nonlinear Modeling of Social and Economic Patterns

• Autorzy: Olha Kuzmenko , Tetiana Vasylieva , Sergej Vojtovič , Olena Chygryn , Vytautas Snieška
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Certain groups of determinants (economic, environmental, social, healthcare) with the highest vulnerability identify the reasons for regional differentiation in morbidity and mortality from COVID-19. This defines the necessity to find appropriate combinations of factors characterizing the vulnerability of a region. The methodology and tools to explain the regional specifics of population vulnerability to COVID-19 are investigated through a systematic consideration of many public health factors, environmental, social and economic specific nature of regions. The aim of the article is to study the reasons for regional differentiation of population vulnerability (morbidity and mortality rates) from COVID-19. The authors investigate a nonlinear spatial model in which the stepwise algorithm of individual factor variables is added/removed from the model specifications step by step by the Aitken method depending on their correlation with morbidity and mortality from COVID-19 in the region. The Farrar-Glober method is used to eliminate the multicollinearity of factors, the Spearman test is used to detect the heteroskedastic effect, and the Darbin-Watson test is used to check the presence of autocorrelation between the residues. As a result, the specification of the model with the highest adequacy in terms of p-value and t-statistics is formed. Relevant socioecological-economic vulnerability indices of regions to mortality and morbidity from COVID-19 are identified. The obtained results allow making adjustments in the state and regional programs concerning the mobilization of economic and healthcare systems. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Health care protection; Public health; COVID-19; Spatial analysis

PL

Ochrona zdrowia; Zdrowie publiczne; COVID-19; Analiza przestrzenna

• Czasopismo: Economics & Sociology
• Rocznik: 2020
• Tom: 13
• Numer: nr 4
• Strony: 318--340

Twórcy

autor

Olha Kuzmenko

• Sumy State University, Ukraine

autor

Tetiana Vasylieva

• Sumy State University, Ukraine

autor

Sergej Vojtovič

• Alexander Dubcek University, Trenčín, Slovakia

autor

Olena Chygryn

• Sumy State University, Ukraine

autor

Vytautas Snieška

• Kaunas University of Technology, Lithuania

Bibliografia

• Arndt, C., Lewis, J. (2001). The HIV|AIDS pandemic in South Africa: sectoral impacts and unemployment. Journal of International Development, 13(4), 427- 449.
• Bagmet, K.V., Haponova, O. (2018). Assessing the Impact on Social Sector: A Macroeconomic Approach. SocioEconomic Challenges, 3(2), 103-108. doi:10.21272/sec.3(2).103-108.2018.
• Bai,Y., Yao, L., & Wei, T. (2020). Presumed Asymptomatic Carrier Transmission of COVID19. Journal of the American Medical Association. 323(14), 1406-1407. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.2565.
• Bell, M., McDermott A., Zeger, S., Samet, J., Dominici, F., (2004). Ozone and short-term mortality in 95 US urban communities. Journal of the American Medical Association. 292(19), 2372-2380.
• Bhargava, A., Jamison, D., Lau, L., Murray, C. (2001). Modeling the effects of health on economic growth. Journal of Health Economics. 20(3), 423-40. doi: 10.1016/s0167-6296(01)00073-x.
• Bilan, Y., Lyeonov, S., Stoyanets, N., & Vysochyna, A. (2018). The impact of environmental determinants of sustainable agriculture on country food security. International Journal of Environmental Technology and Management, 21(5-6), 289-305. doi:10.1504/IJETM.2018.100580.
• Bilan, Y., Raišienė, A. G., Vasilyeva, T., Lyulyov, O., & Pimonenko, T. (2019). Public governance efficiency and macroeconomic stability: Examining convergence of social and political determinants. Public Policy and Administration, 18(2), 241-255. doi:10.13165/VPA-19-18-2-05
• Bobáková, V.(2017). The Formation of Regional Self-government in the Slovak Republic and its Sources of Funding. Administratie si Management Public, 28, 97-115. Retrieved from: https://www.ceeol.com/search/journal-detail?id=534.
• Bryl, Ł. (2020). Long-term Development of National Human Capital. Evidence from China and Poland. Journal of Intercultural Management, Vol. 12 | No. 2 |June 2020 | pp. 30-66 DOI 10.2478/joim-2020-0044.
• Cebula, J., Chygryn, O., Chayen, S. V., & Pimonenko, T. (2018). Biogas as an alternative energy source in ukraine and israel: Current issues and benefits. International Journal of Environmental Technology and Management, 21(5-6), 421-438. doi:10.1504/IJETM.2018.100592.
• Çera, G., Belas, J., Rozsa, Z., & Cepel, M. (2019). Linking firm characteristics to perceived important social factors for entrepreneurial activity. Economics and Sociology, 12(4), 101-115. doi:10.14254/2071-789X.2019/12-4/6.
• Chen, Z., Zhang, Q., Lu, Y., Guo, Z., Zhang, X., Zhang, W., Guo, C., Liao, C., Li, Q., Han, X., & Lu, J. (2020). Distribution of the COVID-19 epidemic and correlation with population emigration from Wuhan. Chinese Medical Journal, 133(9), 1044-1050 doi: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000000782.
• Chygryn, O., Petrushenko, Y., Vysochyna, A., & Vorontsova, A. (2018). Assesmentof fiscal decentralization influence on social and economic development, Montenegrian Jornal of economics, 14(4), 69-84.
• Cristea, L.A, & Grabara, J. (2019). Fiscal impact of the migration phenomenon. Journal of International Studies, 12(4), 144-159. doi:10.14254/2071-8330.2019/12- 4/10.
• Cuddington, T., Hancock, J. (1994) Macroeconomic Impact of AIDS in Malawi: a Dualistic, Labour Surplus Economy. Journal of African Economies, 4(1), 1-28.
• Dave, H. (2019). The X-ray report of "Economic growth". Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 3(4), 89-93. doi: 10.21272/fmir.3(4).89-93.2019.
• Didenko, I., Paucz-Olszewska, J., Lyeonov, S., Ostrowska-Dankiewicz, A., & Ciekanowski, Z. (2020a). Social safety and behavioral aspects of populations financial inclusion: A multicountry analysis. Journal of International Studies, 13(2), 347-359. doi:10.14254/2071-8330.2020/13-2/23
• Didenko, I., Volik, K., Vasylieva, T., Lyeonov, S., & Antoniuk, N. (2020b). Migration, environment, and country safety: Analysis of touchpoints. Paper presented at the E3S Web of Conferences, 202. doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202020203028
• Djalilov, K., Lyeonov, S., & Buriak, A. (2015). Comparative studies of risk, concentration and efficiency in transition economies. Risk Governance and Control: Financial Markets and Institutions, 5(4CONT1), 178-187. doi:10.22495/rgcv5i4c1art7
• Dutta, P., Dutta,U., Hasan, S., Sarkar, N., & Sana, T. (2020). Educate, empower and protect people through timely authentic information: explore how Bangladeshi newspapers response to COVID-19 pandemic. SocioEconomic Challenges, 4(3), 94-104. doi:10.21272/sec.1(3).94-104.2020
• Farseev, A., Chu-Farseeva, Y., Yang, Q., Loo, D. (2020). Understanding Economic and Health Factors Impacting the Spread of COVID-19 Disease. MedRxiv, doi:10.1101/2020.04.10.20058222.
• Grabara, J., Cehlar, M., & Dabylova, M. (2019). Human factor as an important element of success in the implementation of new management solutions. Polish Journal of Management Studies, 20(2), 225-235. doi: 10.17512/pjms.2019.20.2.19
• Grshybowskyj, J. L., Smiianov, V. A., Myronyuk, I. M., & Lyubinets, O. V. (2019). Ten indicators which characterize medical-demographic processes in adjacent regions of Ukraine and Poland. Wiadomosci Lekarskie, 72(51), 868-876. Retrieved from https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85068474808&origin=resultslist
• Harafonova, O., Zhosan, G., & Akimova, L. (2017). The substantiation of the strategy of social responsibility of the enterprise with the aim of providing efficiency of its activities. Marketing and Management of Innovations, doi: 10.21272/mmi.2017.3-25.
• Hedvicakova, M., Sokolova, M., & Mohelska, H. (2018). The impact of economic growth on wages and the supply of employee benefits in the Czech republic. Transformations in Business & Economics, 17(3), 45.
• Hens, L., Melnyk L., Matsenko, O., Chygryn, O., & Gonzales, C. C. (2019). Transport economics and sustainable development in Ukraine. Marketing and Management of Innovations, 3, 272-284. http://doi.org/10.21272/mmi.2019.3-21
• Yelnikova, J., & Kwilinski, A. (2020). Impact-Investing in The Healthcare in Terms of the New Socially Responsible State Investment Policy. Business Ethics and Leadership, 4(3), 57-64. doi:10.21272/bel.4(3).57-64.2020.
• Jafarzadeh, E., & Shuquan, He. (2019). The Impact of Income Inequality on the Economic Growth of Iran: An Empirical Analysis. Business Ethics and Leadership, 3(2), 53-62. doi.org/10.21272/bel.3(2).53-62.2019.
• Ji, Y., Ma, Z., Peppelenbosch, M., Pan, Q. (2020) Potential association between COVID-19 mortality and health-care resource availability. Lancet Glob Health. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30068-1.
• Kashyap, G.C., Puri, P., & Singh, S. K. (2020). Respiratory Health Upshots due to Contaminated Living Environment: A Cross-Sectional Study of the Industrial Belt of Kanpur City, India. SocioEconomic Challenges, 4(1), 17-27. doi: 10.3139/124.110800.
• Khomenko, L., Saher, L., & Polcyn, J. (2020). Analysis Of The Marketing Activities In The Blood Service: Bibliometric Analysis. Health Economics and Management Review, 1, 20-36. https://doi.org/10.21272/hem.2020.1-02.
• Kot, S. M. (2020). Estimating the parameter of inequality aversion on the basis of a parametric distribution of incomes. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 15(3), 391-417. https://doi.org/10.24136/eq.2020.018.
• Kusuma, A., Praja, A., Takarinawati, S., Roespinoedji, D., & Zainudin, Z. (2020). The mediating role of mindset priming on the long-term investment intention. Polish Journal of Management Studies, 21(1). 316-327. DOI: 10.17512/pjms.2020.21.1.23.
• Lapinskienė, G., Peleckis, K., & Slavinskaitė, N. (2017) Energy consumption, economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union countries, Journal of Business Economics and Management, 18:6, 1082-1097, doi:10.3846/16111699.2017.1393457.
• Lee, J., & Mckibbin, W., Globalization and disease: The case of SARS (2004). Asian Economic Papers, 3(1), 113-131, doi:10.1162/1535351041747932.
• Levchenko V., Boyko A., Bozhenko V. Savchenko T., Humenna Y., & Pilin R. (2019). State regulation of the economic security by applying the neoteric approach to its assessment. Marketing and Management of Innovations, 4, 364-372. DOI: 10.21272/mmi.2019.4-28.
• Lewandowska, A., & Stopa, M. (2020). The impact of innovative professional qualifications on the sense of employment security: Evidence from Poland. Economics and Sociology, 13(3), 72-83. doi:10.14254/2071-789X.2020/13-3/5.
• Liu, J., Curry, J., Rossow, W., Key, J., & Wang, X. (2005). Comparison of surface radiative flux data sets over the Arctic Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research, 110, C02015, doi:10.1029/2004JC002381.
• Luchko, M., Arzamasova, O., & Vovk, I. (2019). Personnel potential of national economy and gross domestic product: The case of Ukraine. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 15(2), 59-70.
• Lyulyov, O., & Shvindina, H. (2017). Stabilization pentagon model: Application in the management at macro- and micro-levels. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 15(3), 42-52. doi:10.21511/ppm.15(3).2017.04
• Lyulyov, O., Chortok, Y., Pimonenko, T., & Borovik, O. (2015). Ecological and economic evaluation of transport system functioning according to the territory sustainable development. International Journal of Ecology and Development, 30(3), 1-10. Retrieved from https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84940377261&origin=resultslist.
• Melnyk, L., Sineviciene, L., Lyulyov, O., Pimonenko, T., & Dehtyarova, I. (2018). Fiscal decentralization and macroeconomic stability: The experience of ukraine's economy. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 16(1), 105-114. doi:10.21511/ppm.16(1).2018.10.
• Meltzer, M., Cox, N., & Fukuda, K. (1999). The economic impact of pandemic influenza in the United States: priorities for intervention. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 5, 659-71. doi: 10.3201/eid0505.990507.
• Mentel, G., Vasilyeva, T., Samusevych, Y., & Pryymenko, S. (2018). Regional differentiation of electricity prices: Social-equitable approach. International Journal of Environmental Technology and Management, 21(5-6), 354-372. doi:10.1504/IJETM.2018.100583.
• Osabohien, R., Onanuga, O., Aderounmu, B., Matthew, O., & Osabuohien, E. (2020). Social protection and employment in Africa's agricultural sector. Business: Theory and Practice, 21(2), 494-502. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2020.11945.
• Papo, D., Righetti, M., Fadiga, L., Biscarini, F., & Zanin, M. (2020). A minimal model of hospital patients' dynamics in COVID-19. Chaos Solitons and Fractals,140,1-6. DOI: 10.1016 / j.хаос.2020.110157.
• Rajan, D. (2018). Personal and Social Perception of Occupational Hazards by Health Care Workers: A Study among Radiographers. Business Ethics and Leadership, 2(4), 46-63. DOI: 10.21272/bel.2(4).46-63.2018.
• Rudenko, L. A., Smiianov, V. A., & Smiianova, O. I. (2020). Basic principles of behavioral economics and prospects for their application in the public health system. Wiadomosci Lekarskie. 73(9), 2026-2030. doi:10.36740/wlek202009225.
• Rui, L., Sineviciene, L., Melnyk, L., Kubatko, O., Karintseva, O., & Lyulyov, O. (2019). Economic and environmental convergence of transformation economy: The case of china. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 17(3), 233-241. doi:10.21511/ppm.17(3).2019.19.
• Sasongko, G., & Huruta, A. D. (2019). The causality between inflation and unemployment: the Indonesian evidence. Business: Theory and Practice, 20, 1-10. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2019.01.
• Senol, Z., Zeren, F., & Canakci, M. (2020). The Relationship between insurance and economic growth. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 164, 145-155.
• Shammi, M., Bodrud-Doza, M., Islam, ARMT, & Rahman, MM. (2020). Strategic assessment of COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh: comparative lockdown scenario analysis, public perception, and management for sustainability. Environ Dev Sustain., Мol 7, 1-44. doi:10.20944/preprints202004.0550.v1
• Smiianov, V. A. (2014). Internal audit-the foundation of healthcare quality management in health care. Wiadomości Lekarskie (Warsaw, Poland : 1960), 67(2), 381-383. Retrieved from https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84937511729&origin=resultslist
• Smiianov, V. A., Smiianova, O. I., Gruzieva, T. S., Vygivska, L., & Rudenko, L. A. (2017). Study of motivational factors in doctors in respect of healthcare quality improvement. Wiadomosci Lekarskie (Warsaw, Poland : 1960), 70(1), 27-31. Retrieved from https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85023623493&origin=resultslist
• Sokol, V. K., Kolesnichenko, V. A., Sokol, K. M., & Smiianov, V. A. (2020). Method of forensic assessment of risk factors of treatment failure outcomes as an element of quality management of medical care. Wiadomosci Lekarskie (Warsaw, Poland: 1960), 73(5), 1041-1047. Retrieved from https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85084721368&origin=resultslist
• Sułkowski, Ł. (2020). Covid-19 Pandemic; Recession, Virtual Revolution Leading to Deglobalization? Journal of Intercultural Management. 12(1), 1-11. DOI 10.2478/joim2020-0029
• Sumiyana, S. (2020). Different characteristics of the aggregate of accounting earnings between developed and developing countries: Evidence for predicting future GDP. Journal of International Studies, 13(1), 58-80. doi:10.14254/2071- 8330.2020/13-1/4
• Svabova, L., Kramarova, K., Chutka, J., & Strakova, L. (2020). Detecting earnings manipulation and fraudulent financial reporting in Slovakia. Oeconomia Copernicana, 11(3), 485-508. https://doi.org/10.24136/oc.2020.020.
• Tunčikienė, Ž. & Drejeris, R. (2017) Assessment of business conditions benevolence: case of occupational safety and health services. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 18:3, 505-520, doi:10.3846/16111699.2017.1333524.
• Vasilyeva, T., Kuzmenko, O., Bozhenko, V., & Kolotilina, O. (2019). Assessment of the dynamics of bifurcation transformations in the economy. Paper presented at the CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2422, 134-146. Retrieved from https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85071124329&origin=resultslist
• Vydrová, J., & Bejtkovský, J. (2018). The importance of the individual pillars of social maturity of workers in healthcare organizations in the hierarchy of pillars of competence in management. Administratie si Management Public, 31, 21-35.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.14254/2071-789X.2020/13-4/20