Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
The aim of the study was to diagnose the current and projected pace of ageing in the societies of European post-communist countries from the point of view of its being an increasing economic burden on the economically active population. The analysis covered the years 1990-2050. Ageing is already visible and, according to the forecast, the process will accelerate even more. The old-age dependency ratio (OADR) is expected to exceed 50 in half of the countries in the study by 2050. This will result in major threats to the further development of these countries and will lead to poverty and social exclusion of the elderly. In order to slow down the ageing process, the authorities of these countries should take a number of actions, the most important of which are the implementation of an effective and efficient pro-natal policy (so that the total fertility rate would increase above 2.1), and a well-thought-out migration policy(original abstract)
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Numer
Strony
63--71
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- University of Gdańsk, Poland
autor
- University of Gdańsk, Poland
Bibliografia
- Akturk S. 2016. Post-imperial democracies and new projects of nationhood in Eurasia: transforming the nation through migration in Russia and Turkey." Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies", 43, 7: 1101-1120. Search in Google Scholar
- Aleksandrova S., Velkova A. 2003. Population ageing in the Balkan countries. Folia Medica (Plovdiv), 45, 4: 5-10. Search in Google Scholar
- Angermann A., Eichhorst W. 2012. Eldercare services - lessons from a European comparison. IZA research report, 45. Available online: http://www.iza.org/en/webcontent/publications/reports/report_pdfs/iza_report_45_en.pdf (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Bici R., Thomo L. 2018. Analysis of fertility using different statistical sources. "Research Magazine Journal of Statistics and Socio-Economic Analysis", 2: 6-15. Search in Google Scholar
- Blažienė I., Žalimienė L. 2020. Between user's expectations and provider's quality of work: the future of elderly care in Lithuania. "Population Ageing", 13, 1: 5-23. Search in Google Scholar
- Botrić V. 2016. Attitudes towards immigrants, immigration policies and labor market outcomes: comparing Croatia with Hungary and Slovenia. "Croatian International Relations Review", 76: 5-28. Search in Google Scholar
- Brainerd E., Butler D.M. 2004. Autopsy on an empire: understanding mortality in Russia and the former Soviet Union. NBER Working Paper Series, 10868. Available online: http://www.nber.org/papers/w10868 (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Broniatowska P. 2019. Population ageing and inflation." Population Ageing", 12, 2: 179-193. Search in Google Scholar
- Careja R. 2013. Emigration for development? An exploration of the state's role in the development-migration nexus: The case of Romania. "International Migration", 51, 5: 76-90. Search in Google Scholar
- Cutler D.M., Deaton A.S., Lleras-Muney A. 2006. The determinants of mortality. NBER Working Paper Series, 11963. Available online: http://www.nber.org/papers/w11963 (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Czarniawska B. 2014. Social science research: From field to desk. SAGE Publications, Los Angeles. Search in Google Scholar
- Daróczi E. 2007. Ageing and health in the transition countries of Europe - the case of Hungary. Working Papers on Population, Family and Welfare Demographic Research Institute Hungarian Central Statistical Office, 9. Available online: http://demografia.hu/en/publicationsonline/index.php/workingpapers/article/view/325 (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Drbohlav D., Bailey A.J., Čermák Z., Čermáková D., Lozovanu D., Masná E., Paveloková L., Seidlová M., Stojanov R., Valenta O., Vietti F. 2017. Diversification trends in Moldovan international migration: evidence from Czechia and Italy. "AUC Geographica", 52, 2: 237-248. Search in Google Scholar
- Drbohlav D., Seidlová M. 2016. Current Ukrainian migraton to Czechia - refuge for economic migrants rather than for refugees. [in:] D. Drbohlav, M. Jaroszewicz (eds.) Ukrainian Migraton in Times of Crisis: Forced and Labour Mobility. Charles University Faculty of Science, Prague: 95-127. Search in Google Scholar
- Dzúrová D., Jarolímek J. 2020. Šiřeni pandemie COVID-19 napřič geografickymi i socialnimi hranicemi: dokažeme mu čelit?" Geografie", 125, 1: 1-20. Search in Google Scholar
- Eurydice. 2020. Republic of North Macedonia. Population: demographic situation, languages and religions. Available online: https://eacea.ec.europa.eu/national-policies/eurydice/republic-north-macedonia/population-demographic-situation-languages-and-religions_sl (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Fihel A., Janicka A., Kloc-Nowak W. 2018. The direct and indirect impact of international migration on the population ageing process: A formal analysis and its application to Poland. "Demographic Research", 38: 1303-1338. Search in Google Scholar
- Frejka T., Zakharov S. 2013. The apparent failure of Russia's pronatalist family policies. "Population and Development Review", 39, 4: 635-647. Search in Google Scholar
- Gerbery D. 2016. Rodinná politika na Slovensku v komparatívnej perspektíve. "Slovenská Štatisticka a Demografia", 26, 3: 48-68. Search in Google Scholar
- Główny Urząd Statystyczny. 2020. Informacja o rozmiarach i kierunkach czasowej emigracji z Polski w latach 2004-2019. Available online: https://stat.gov.pl/obszary-tematyczne/ludnosc/migracje-zagraniczne-ludnosci/informacja-orozmiarach-i-kierunkach-czasowej-emigracji-z-polski-wlatach-2004-2019,2,13.html (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Harper S. 2016. The important role of migration for an ageing nation. "Population Ageing", 9, 3: 183-189. Search in Google Scholar
- Harvey J. 2006. Return dynamics in Bosnia and Croatia: A Comparative Analysis. "International Migration", 44, 3: 89-144. Search in Google Scholar
- Havrylyshyn O. 2007. Fifteen Years of Transformation in the Post-Communist World. Rapid Reformers Outperformed Gradualists. CATO Institute, Washington. Available online: https://object.cato.org/pubs/dpa/DPA4.pdf (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Hazans M. 2019. Emigration from Latvia: A brief history and driving forces in the twenty-first century. [in:] R. Kaša, I. Mierna (eds.) The emigrant communities of Latvia. National identity, transnational belonging, and diaspora politics. Springer Open, Cham: 35-68. Search in Google Scholar
- Hužvár M., Kaščáková A. 2017. Alternative methods for construction of active ageing composite indicator. Conference Proceedings. RELIK 2017: 165-174. Available online: https://relik.vse.cz/2017/sbornik/en/toc.html (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Janská E., Čermák Z., Wright R. 2014. New immigrant destinations in a new country of immigration: settlement patterns of non-natives in the Czech Republic. "Population, Space and Place", 20, 8: 680-693. Search in Google Scholar
- Janušauskienė D. 2008. Post-Communist democratization: explaining the differences. [in:] A. Blasko, D. Janušauskienė (eds.) Political transformation and changing identities in Central and Eastern Europe. The Council for Research in Values and Philosophy, Washington: 131-154. Search in Google Scholar
- Jurčová D., Pilinská V. 2014. Obvyklý pobyt občanov SR a odhad neevidovanej migrácie. INFOSTAT, Bratislava. Search in Google Scholar
- Káčerková M., Ondačková J. 2015. The process of population ageing in countries of the Visegrad Group (V4). "Erdkunde", 69, 1: 49-68. Search in Google Scholar
- Káčerová M., Nováková G. 2016. Vplyv populačných procesov na starnutie obyvateľstva v krajinách V4. "Slovenská Štatisticka a Demografia", 26, 2: 47-62. Search in Google Scholar
- Kang S-J., Sook I.J. 2020. Age-related morbidity and mortality among patients with COVID-19. "Infection & Chemiotherapy", 52, 2: 154-164. Search in Google Scholar
- Kettani H. 2020. The world muslim population: spatial and temporal analyses. Jenny Stanford Publishing, Singapore. Search in Google Scholar
- Klufová R., Poláková Z. 2010. Demografické metody a analýzy - Demografie české a slovenské populacje. Wolters Kluwer, Praha. Search in Google Scholar
- Kollmorgen R. 2013. Theories of postcommunist transformation. Approaches, debates, and problems of theory building in the second decade of research." Studies of Transition States and Societies", 5, 2: 88-105. Search in Google Scholar
- Kotowska I.E. 2019. Uwagi o urodzeniach i niskiej dzietności w Polsce oraz polityce rodzinnej wspierającej prokreację. "Studia Demograficzne", 2, 176: 11-29. Search in Google Scholar
- Krimer B.A. 2017. Razvitie semejnoj politiki v Vostočnoj Evrope: Èstonii i Belarusi. Demografìâ ta socìal'na ekonomìka, 2, 30: 47-60. Search in Google Scholar
- Lang J. 2017. Central Asia: the crisis of the migration model and its potential impact on the EU. OSW Commentary, 237. Available online: https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/osw-commentary/2017-04-25/central-asia-crisis-migration-model-and-its-potential-impact (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Lankford P.M. 1974. Comparative analysis of clique identification methods. "Sociometry", 37, 2: 287-305. Search in Google Scholar
- Lesthaeghe R. 2010. The unfolding story of the Second Demographic Transition. "Population and Development Review", 36, 2: 211-251. Search in Google Scholar
- Levin A.T., Hanage W.P., Owusu-Boaitey N., Cochan K.B., Walsh S.P., Meyerowitz-Katz G. 2020. Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications. European Journal of Epidemiology, 35: 1123-1138. Search in Google Scholar
- Martin P., Martin S., Pastore F. 2002. Best practice options: Albania. "International Migration", 40, 3: 103-118. Search in Google Scholar
- Ministerstwo Rodziny, Pracy i Technologii. 2020. Zezwolenia na pracę cudzoziemców. Available online: https://psz.praca.gov.pl/web/urzad-pracy/-/8180075-zezwoleniana-prace-cudzoziemcow (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Ministerul Afacerilor Interne al. Republici Moldova Biorul Migraţie şi Azil. 2018. Compendiul statistic al. Profilului migrațional extins al Republicii Moldova pentru anii 2014-2016. Available online: http://bma.gov.md/ro/content/compendiul-statistic-al-profilului-migra%C8%9Bional-extins-al-republicii-moldova-pentru-anii-0 (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Moran P.A.P. 1950. Notes on stochastic phenomena." Biometrika", 37, 1/2: 17-23. Search in Google Scholar
- Muszyńska M.M., Rau R. 2012. The old-age healthy dependency ratio in Europe. Population Ageing, 5, 3: 151-162. Search in Google Scholar
- Nová K. 2018. Zdravotní a sociální služby v kontextu stárnutí populace. Conference Proceedings. RELIK 2018: 215-225. Available online: https://relik.vse.cz/2018/sbornik/en/toc.html (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Osiewalska B. 2018. Partners' empowerment and fertility in ten European countries. "Demographic Research", 38: 1495-1534. Search in Google Scholar
- Píontkívs´ka I., Âblonows´kij D., Ruda Û., Gamanûk O., Prohorov B., Vasil´êva A. 2018. Skíl´ki ukraïncív poïhalo za kordon í ŝo deržaví z cim robili. Available online: https://ces.org.ua/migration/ (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Putkaradze M., Abuselidze G., Putkaradze L. 2020. Political and social-economic aspects of changes in age and gender structure of population of Georgia. "Economic and Management", 17, 1: 89-98. Search in Google Scholar
- Rašević M. 2006. Fenomen strencja stanovištva Serbije. "Demografija", 3: 43-58. Search in Google Scholar
- Reid H.M. 2013. Introduction to statistics fundamental concepts and procedures of data analysis. SAGE Publications, Thousand Oaks. Search in Google Scholar
- Sanderson W.C., Scherbov V. 2008. Rethinking Age and Aging. "Population Bulletin", 63, 4: 3-16. Search in Google Scholar
- Šantić D. 2007. Raseljena lica sa Kosova i Metohije na teritorij grada Beograda. "Demografija", 4: 91-102. Search in Google Scholar
- Šídlo L., Šprocha B., Ďurček P. 2020a. A retrospective and prospective view of current and future population ageing in the European Union 28 countries." Moravian Geographical Reports", 28, 3: 187-207. Search in Google Scholar
- Šídlo L., Šprocha B., Ďurček P. 2020b. Prospective Dimension of Population Ageing and Potential Use in Pension Security in the V4 Countries. "Ekonomický časopis", 68, 6: 601-621. Search in Google Scholar
- Skirbekk V.F., Staudinger U.M., Cohen J.E. 2019. How to measure population aging? The answer is less than obvious: a review." Gerontology", 65: 136-144. Search in Google Scholar
- Smoak N. 2016. Fertility rate. Encyclopaedia Britannica. Available online: https://www.britannica.com/topic/fertility-rate (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- Sobotka T., Brzozowska Z., Muttarak R., Zeman K., di Lego V. 2020. Age, gender and COVID-19 infections. medRxiv 2020.05.24.20111765. Search in Google Scholar
- Šprocha B., Majo J. 2016. Storočie populačného vývoja Slovenska I.: demografické procesy. INFOSTAT, Bratislava. Search in Google Scholar
- Šprocha B., Šídlo L., Burcin B. 2015. Úroveň úmrtnosti na Slovensku a v Česku v európskom pohľade. "Geografický časopis", 67, 1: 25-43. Search in Google Scholar
- Šprocha B., Tišliar P., Šídlo L. 2018. A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe. "Moravian Geographical Reports", 26, 2: 109-120. Search in Google Scholar
- Tabac T. 2018. Long-term migration from Republic of Moldova and Romania. Anuarul Institutului de Cercetari Economice "Gheorghe Zane", 27: 79-90. Search in Google Scholar
- Thaut L. 2009. EU integration & emigration consequences: the case of Lithuania. "International Migration", 47, 1: 191-233. Search in Google Scholar
- United Nations Development Programme. 2020. Human development report 2020. Available online: http://hdr.undp.org/en/2020-report (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- United Nations. 2019a. Population by age groups - both sexes. Available online: https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/ (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- United Nations. 2019b. World population prospects 2019: methodology of the United Nations Population Estimates and Projections. Available online: https://population.un.org/wpp/DefinitionOfProjectionVariants/ (accessed on 11 Jun 2021). Search in Google Scholar
- van de Kaa D.J. 2004. Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful research concept. Questions and answers. "Vienna Yearbook of Population Research", 2: 4-10. Search in Google Scholar
- van Nimwegen N., van der Erf R. 2010. Europe at the crossroads: demographic challenges and international migration. "Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies", 36, 9: 1359-1379. Search in Google Scholar
- White A., Grabowska I., Kaczmarczyk P., Slany K. 2018. The Impact of migration on Poland: EU mobility and social change. UCL Press, London. Search in Google Scholar
- World Bank. 2021. Gender statistics. Available online: https://databank.worldbank.org/source/gender-statistics
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171626812