Comphrensive Analysis of a Company's Activity by Means of Statistical Modeling as Support for its Decision-Making System

• Autorzy: Janusz Soboń , Natalia Burkina , Kostiantyn Sapun , Ruslana Seleznova
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

An important role in ensuring effective forms of management and increasing competitiveness is played by the process of forecasting the activity of the enterprise. This work analyzed the performance of a food industry enterprise, for which a wide range of statistical methods were applied such as methods of cluster, correlational and regression analysis, statistical tests of Fisher, Student, Farrar-Glauber, Durbin-Watson, Goldfeld-Quandt, μ-criterion, multifactor regression, trend, auto-regression models, and models of seasonal fluctuations, which provided a view of the economic properties of the enterprise profit process, in particular the auto-regression component of revenue dependence on its value last year, seasonal quarterly dependence on sales and marketing costs, product price, etc. The detected patterns will allow us to take into account these features for forecasting future revenues and for adjusting the enterprise's decision-making system taking into account seasonal features and results of the previous year. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Forecasting; Multiple regression; Correlation analysis; Regression analysis

PL

Prognozowanie; Regresja wielokrotna; Analiza korelacji; Analiza regresji

• Czasopismo: e-Finanse
• Rocznik: 2021
• Tom: 17
• Numer: nr 1
• Strony: 62--69

Twórcy

autor

Janusz Soboń

• AJP w Gorzowie Wielkopolskim, Poland

autor

Natalia Burkina

• Donetsk National University after VasylStus, Ukraine

autor

Kostiantyn Sapun

• Varna Free Univeristy, Bulgaria

autor

Ruslana Seleznova

• Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine

Bibliografia

• Drobysheva, O.O., Kernychyshyn,Yu.V. Forecasting the Development of Industrial Enterprise in Modern Conditions [Prognozuvannya rozvytku promyslovogo pidpryyemstva v suchasnyh umovah]. Retrieved from: http://www.zgia.zp.ua-/ga-zeta/evzdia_5_158.pdf
• Soboń, J, Sapun, K., Bezpalchuk, O., Seleznova, R. (2019). Perspectives of Management Development of International Tourist Business in Ukraine. Proceedings of Fourth International Scientific Conference Telecommunications, Informatics, Energy and Management; Greece; TIEM 2019; Kavala.
• Soboń J., Rogozińska-Mitrut, J. (2005). Znaczenie bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych w rozwoju regionalnym. Zeszyty naukowe z zagadnień jakości w nowoczesnej gospodarce, No. 15, 87-105.
• Zakabluk, G.O. (2018). Prognostication of Income and Expenses of the Machine-Building Enterprise on the Basis of the Holt-Winters Method. EKOHOМІЧHA HAУKA, No. 6, 51-55. Retrieved from:http://www.economy-.in.-ua/pdf/6_2018/13.pdf.
• Sidorova, A.V., Burkina, N.V. (2019). Analysis of the Impact of Socio-economic Factors on the Financial Results of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises. Collection of Scientific Works of Professor and Teaching Staff of VasylStusDonNU,[S.l.], 27-29, July 2019. Retrieved from: http://jpvs.donnu.edu.ua/article/view/7089.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.2478/fiqf-2021-0007