The New Protectionism between the USA and China and International Trade Policy amid Worldwide Geopolitical Turbulence

• Autorzy: Zdzisław W. Puślecki

Warianty tytułu

Nowy protekcjonizm między USA a Chinami i międzynarodowa polityka handlowa w warunkach światowych geopolitycznych turbulencji

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This paper discusses the new protectionism between the United States of America and China and examines international trade policy amid worldwide geopolitical turbulence. The primary research task is to comprehensively analyze the current trends in foreign trade theory and policy, and in particular, the foreign trade policy models, trade interests indicated by export orientation and import sensitivity, the types and degrees of protectionist pressures in different political systems, new trends in international business, and the USA 's motives for imposing tariffs and import restrictions. China will be significantly impacted by an import tariff trade war in all indicators, including welfare, gross domestic product (GDP), manufacturing employment, and trade. However, it has been pointed out that although China will be significantly affected, the costs should be sustainable and not severely damage the Chinese economy. As for the United States, the simulation results indicate that there will be welfare, GDP and non-manufacturing production gains, but employment and trade losses. (original abstract)

Głównym celem artykułu jest przedstawienie nowego protekcjonizmu między Stanami Zjednoczonymi Ameryki a Chinami oraz międzynarodowej polityki handlowej w warunkach światowych zawirowań geopolitycznych. Głównym celem zadania badawczego jest kompleksowa analiza aktualnych trendów w teorii i polityce handlu zagranicznego, a w szczególności modeli polityki handlu zagranicznego, interesów handlowych wskazywanych przez orientację eksportową i wrażliwość importową, nacisków protekcjonistycznych w różnych systemach politycznych, poziomu nacisków protekcjonistycznych, nowych tendencji w biznesie międzynarodowym, przyczyn wprowadzenia przez USA sankcji celnych. Chiny zostaną poważnie dotknięte wojną handlową w zakresie taryf celnych we wszystkich wskaźnikach, w tym w zakresie dobrobytu, produktu krajowego brutto (PKB), zatrudnienia w przemyśle i handlu. Zwraca się jednak uwagę, że chociaż wystąpią określone skutki dla Chin, koszty powinny być możliwe do utrzymania i nie spowodują poważnych szkód w chińskiej gospodarce. Jeżeli chodzi o S tany Zjednoczone, należy stwierdzić, że państwo to odniesie korzyści w przypadku wzrostu dobrobytu, PKB i wytwarzania artykułów nieprodukcyjnych, jednakże pogorszy się zatrudnienie i handel międzynarodowy. (abstrakt oryginalny)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Protectionism; Geopolitics; Trade policy

PL

Protekcjonizm; Geopolityka; Polityka handlowa

• Czasopismo: Ekonomista
• Rocznik: 2023
• Numer: nr 2
• Strony: 125--151

Twórcy

autor

Zdzisław W. Puślecki

• Uniwersytet im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu

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Identyfikatory

DOI

10.52335/ekon/166624