PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2023 | vol. 23, iss. 2 | 67--85
Tytuł artykułu

Associative Rules for Modeling International Security Decisions in the Context of the Ukrainian-Russian War. Preliminary Evaluations

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Research background: By launching a war against Ukraine, Russia changed the entire world system and demonstrated the ineffectiveness of the global security system. Today it is necessary to look for effective solutions to support the adoption of security decisions and develop effective strategies for the formation of a new architecture of the international security system. Purpose: The paper aims to obtain preliminary approximate estimates of the state commitments of the countries of the world that support Ukraine in the war with Russia and to reveal non-obvious connections and regularities in the provision of various types of aid. Research methodology: The data were collected on the rough refugee cost estimate, quantitative assessment of the government-to-government commitments, and preliminary data on non-bilateral aid transferred by governments to Ukraine of 40 countries. We used the FP-Growth algorithm to identify non-obvious connections and patterns between different types of support for Ukraine. Results: We created an associative rules model to detect non-obvious patterns and relationships between the different types of bilateral commitments of the countries, that support Ukraine. Novelty: Preliminary estimates were obtained between various types of international support for Ukraine in the war against Russia covering February 24 to November 20, 2022, the number of Ukrainian refugees accepted by the respective countries, and the sale of arms to Russia by some of them after the ban. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Strony
67--85
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • West Ukrainian National University, Ternopil, Ukraine
  • West Ukrainian National University, Ternopil, Ukraine
Bibliografia
  • Antezza, A., Bushnell, K., Frank, A., Frank, P., Franz, L., Kharitonov, I., Kumar, B., Rebinskaya, E., Schramm, S., Schade, C., Weiser, L., Trebesch, C. (2022). The Ukraine Support Tracker: Which countries help Ukraine and how? Kiel Working Paper, 2218, 1-65.
  • Bachmann, R., Baqaee, D., Bayer, C., Kuhn, M., Löschel, A., Moll, B., Peichl, A., Pittel, K., Schularick, M. (2022). What if? The Economic Effects for Germany of a Stop of Energy Imports from Russia. ECONtribute, 36, 1-15.
  • Becker, T., Eichengreen, B., Gorodnichenko, Y., Guriev, S., Johnson, S., Rogoff, K., Mylovanov, T., Weder di Mauro, B. (2022). A Blueprint for the Reconstruction of Ukraine. CEPR Press, April 8, 1-31.
  • Bieszk-Stolorz, B., Dmytrów, K. (2020). Assessment of the Similarity of the Situation in the EU Labour Markets and Their Changes in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Sustainability, 14(6), 3646. DOI: 10.3390/su14063646.
  • Bieszk-Stolorz, B., Dmytrów, K. (2021). A survival analysis in the assessment of the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on the probability and intensity of decline in the value of stock indices. Eurasian Economic Review, 11(2), 363-379. DOI: 0.1007/s40822-021-00172-7.
  • Brien, P., Loft, P. (2022, March 17). Ukraine crisis 2022: Aid and refugees. Retrieved from https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9467.
  • Brillaud, L., Curic, A., Maggiore, M., Miñano, L., Schmidt, N. (2022). EU member states exported weapons to Russia after the 2014 embargo. Investigate Europe. Retrieved from https://www.investigate-europe.eu/en/2022/eu-states-exported-weapons-to-russia.
  • Davis, C.M. (2016). The Ukraine conflict, economic-military power balances and economic sanctions, Post-Communist Economies, 28(2), 167-198. DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2016.1139301.
  • Estimated number of refugees from Ukraine recorded in Europe and Asia since February 2022 as of January 17, 2023, by selected country. Statista (2023). Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1312584/ukrainian-refugees-by-country.
  • Estimated total Ukrainian refugee costs in selected countries worldwide from end-February to the end of October 2022. Statista (2023). Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1312602/ukrainian-refugee-cost-by-country.
  • Gronholt-Pedersen, J. (2022). Western countries pledge $1.55 bln in military aid to Ukraine. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/denmark-will-contribute-additional-110-mln-euros-ukraine-pm-2022-08-11. (16.08.2022).
  • Ivančík, R., Necas, P., Jurčák, V. (2014). Theoretical View of Some Current Global Security Challenges. Incas bulletin, 6(1), 99-107. DOI: 10.13111/2066-8201.2014.6.1.9.
  • Kanak (2023). Countries Supporting Ukraine and Russia, Complete List with Reasons. SSA Tripura. Retrieved from https://www.ssatripura.com/countries-supporting-ukraine-russia.
  • Kovalchuk, O., Berezka, K. (2022). Discriminant analysis of nation brands 2022 in terms of military invasion of Russian federation in Ukraine. Journal of European Economy, 21(3), 232-255. DOI: 10.35774/jee2022.03.242.
  • Kovalchuk, O., Babala, L., Shynkaryk, M., Chopyk, P., Berezka, K., Basistyi, P. (2022). Data Mining Tools for Analysis of Dependence of Gas Consumption of the Gas Price for Households of the EU Member-States, 12th International Conference on Advanced Computer Information Technologies (ACIT), Ruzomberok, Slovakia, 267-271, DOI: 10.1109/ACIT54803.2022.9913139.
  • Lawder, D., Shalal, A. (2022). World Bank to send Ukraine $1.5 billion as food, energy prices spike. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/business/world-bank-says-it-is-preparing-15-billion-aid-package-ukraine2022-04-12. (12.04.2022).
  • Radulović, M., Kostić, M. (2021). Are EU Members' Economies an "Engine" of the EU Candidates' Economies? Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, 21(2), 97-117. DOI: 10.2478/foli-2021-0018.
  • RapidMiner, Data Mining Tools (2022). Retrieved from https://rapidminer.com/glossary/data-mining-tools.
  • Renigier-Biłozor, M. (2013). Structure of a Decision Support Subsystem in Real Estate Management. Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, 13(1), 56-75. DOI: 10.2478/foli-2013-0007.
  • Russia Has Lost More Troops in Ukraine Conflict Than US Did in First World War: Report. (2023). NDTV. Retrieved from https://www.ndtv.com/feature/russia-has-lost-more-troops-in-ukraine-conflict-than-us-did-in-first-world-war-report-3700906.
  • Russia's war crimes. Retrieved from https://war.ukraine.ua/russia-war-crimes.
  • Şeker, S.E. (2011). Apriori Algoritması. Bilgisayar Kavramlari. Retrieved from http://bilgisayarkavramlari.com/2011/09/07/apriori-algoritmasi (7.08.2011).
  • Srikant, R., Agrawal, R. (1996). Mining Quantitative Association Rules in Large Relational Tables. ACM SIGMOD Conference. Retrieved from https://www.semanticscholar.org.
  • Total bilateral aid commitments to Ukraine between January 24 and November 20, 2022, by type and country or organization. Statista (2023). Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303432/total-bilateral-aid-to-ukraine.
  • Ukraine refugee situation (2023). Operational Data Portal. Retrieved from https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine (17.01.2023).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171677173

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Musisz być zalogowany aby pisać komentarze.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.