PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2017 | nr 49 T. 2. Gospodarka regionalna i międzynarodowa | 219--232
Tytuł artykułu

Cykl koniunkturalny a zmiany na rynku finansowym - ratingi kredytowe

Warianty tytułu
Business Cycle and Changes on the Financial Market - Credit Ratings
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
W artykule podjęto kwestie związane ze zmianami ratingów kredytowych (credit ratings) podczas wahań cyklu koniunkturalnego. Celem pracy jest analiza wpływu zmian cyklu koniunkturalnego na ratingi kredytowe prezentowane przez trzy największe agencje ratingowe w Europie, tj S&P, Fitch i Moody. Dokonano przeglądu literaturowego, na podstawie którego postawiono hipotezę badawczą: Częstotliwość zmian credit ratings ma charakter procykliczny. Do badania wykorzystano dane z lat 2000-2016 dla podmiotów z krajów europejskich. Zastosowano zmiany długoterminowych ratingów nadanych podmiotom finansowym, jak i niefinansowym. Analiza danych wskazuje, iż zmiana ratingu nie ma charakteru procyklicznego, a bardziej antycykliczny. Noty zmieniają się po zakończeniu kryzysu.(abstrakt oryginalny)
EN
In the paper there have been presented issues connected with credit ratings changes during the fluctuations of the business cycle. The aim of this study was the analysis of the impact of changes in the business cycle on credit ratings presented by the three major credit rating agencies in Europe, i.e. S&P, Fitch and Moody. It has been made a literature review, and it has been put the hypothesis: Credit ratings are pro-cyclical. To the study there have been used data for years 2000-2016 for entities from European countries. There have been taken long term issuer credit ratings changes given to financial and non-financial entities. The analysis of the data indicates that a rating changes are not pro-cyclical, and more countercyclical. Notes are changed after the crisis.(original abstract)
Rocznik
Strony
219--232
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Uniwersytet Warszawski
Bibliografia
  • Altman, E.I., Rijken, H.A. (2005). The Effects of Rating through the Cycle on Rating Stability, Rating Timeliness and Default Prediction Performance. Working Paper.
  • Amato, J.D., Furfine, C.H. (2003). Are Credit Ratings Procyclical? BIS Working Papers, 129.
  • Auh, J.K. (2013). Procyclical Credit Rating Policy. World Bank Working Papers.
  • Bangia, A., Diebold, F.X., Schuermann, T. (1999). Ratings Migration and the Business Cycle, with Applications to Credit Portfolio Stress Testing. Wharton Working Paper, 00-26.
  • Bangia, A., Diebold, F.X., Kronimus, A., Schagen, C., Schuermann, T. (2002). Ratings Migration and the Business Cycle, with Application to Credit Portfolio Stress Testing. Journal of Banking & Finance, 26, 445-474.
  • Bar-Isaac, H., Shapiro, J. (2013). Ratings Quality over the Business Cycle. Journal of Financial Economics, 108 (1), 62-78. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.11.004.
  • Borio, C., Furfine, C., Lowe, P. (2001). Procyclicality of the financial system and financial stability: issues and policy options. BIS Working Papers, 1.
  • Cesaroni, T. (2015). Procyclicality of Credit Rating Systems: How to Manage It. Journal of Economics and Business, 82, 62-83. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2015.09.001.
  • DeHaan, E. (2016). The Financial Crisis and Corporate Credit Ratings. University of Washington Working Papers.
  • De Saints, R.A. (2012). The Euro Area Sovereign Debt Crisis Safe Haven, Credit Rating Agencies and the Spread of the Fever From Greece, Ireland and Portugal. EBC Working Paper Series, 1419.
  • Fei, F., Fuertes, A-M., Kalotychou, E. (2012). Credit Rating Migration Risk and Business Cycles. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 39 (1-2), 229-263. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.2011.02272.x.
  • Ferri, G., Liu, L.G., Stiglitz, J.E. (1999). The Procyclical Role of Rating Agencies: Evidence from the East Asian Crisis. Economic Notes, 28 (3), 335-355. DOI: 10.1111/1468-0300.00016.
  • Freitag, L. (2015). Procyclicality and Path Dependence of Sovereign Credit Ratings: The Example of Europe. Economic Notes, 44 (2), 309-332. DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12032.
  • Giacomino, P. (2013). Are Sovereign Credit Ratings Pro-Cyclical? A Controversial Issue Revisited in Light of the Current Financial Crisis. Rivista di Politica Economica, 4, 79-111.
  • Iannotta, G., Nocera, G., Resti, A. (2013). Do Investors Care about Credit Ratings? An Analysis through the Cycle. Journal of Financial Stability, 9 (4), 545-555. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2012.11.006.
  • Isakin, M., David, A. (2015). Bayesian Persuasion in Credit Ratings, the Credit Cycle, and the Riskiness of Structured Debt. Working Papers from Department of Economics, University of Calgary, 13.
  • Kiff, J., Kisser, M., Schumacher, L. (2013). Rating Through-the-Cycle: What Does the Concept Imply for Rating Stability and Accuracy? IMF Working Paper, 13/64.
  • Kräussl, R. (2003). Sovereign Ratings and Their Impact on Recent Financial Crises. CFS Working Paper, 00-04.
  • Loffer, G. (2013). Can Rating Agencies Look through the Cycle? Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 40 (4), 623-646. DOI: 10.1007/s11156-012-0289-9.
  • Nickell, P., Perraudin, W.R., Varotto, S. (2000). The Stability of Ratings Transitions. Journal of Banking and Finance, 24 (1-2), 203-225.
  • Trouillet, J. (2015). Credit Rating Agencies, Shock and Public Expectations. Working Papers.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171481912

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Zgłoszenie zostało wysłane

Musisz być zalogowany aby pisać komentarze.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.