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2016 | vol. 16, iss. 1 | 75--92
Tytuł artykułu

Beta Stability Over Bull and Bear Market on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Beta parameter is one of the commonly used measures of the investment risk of individual stock or portfolio. It plays a crucial role in modern portfolio theory particularly in management of financial investment portfolios. In the field of beta parameter, numerous studies have been conducted, especially beta properties stability in the context of the stock market cycle phases, measuring frequency of rate of return, and the length of a sample period. There are much fewer studies concerned beta parameter in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe which have undergone systemic transformation at the end of the previous century. From a scientific point of view, it is interesting to know how the beta parameter behaves in these countries. The main goal of this article is to examine the beta parameter stability over bull and bear market conditions on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The paper presents an analysis of beta stability for 134 stocks of the largest companies listed at the WSE during years 2005-2013. To verify statistically the hypothesis of beta parameter stability, we used monthly returns in the Sharpe's single-index model. In the first part of the article, we present a brief review of the literature and methodology of the study, while in the second part, the obtained results and conclusions are shown. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Strony
75--92
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • University of Finance and Management in Warsaw, Poland
  • University of Lodz, Poland
  • Warsaw University of Life Sciences - SGGW, Poland
Bibliografia
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  • Breusch, T.S., Pagan, A.R. (1979). A Simple Test for Heteroskedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation. Econometrica, 47, 1287-1294. [Crossref]
  • Brzeszczynski, J., Gajdka, J., Schabek, T. (2011). The Role of Stock Size and Trading Intensity in the Magnitude of the "Interval Effect" in Beta Estimation: Empirical Evidence from the Polish Capital Market. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 47 (1), 28-49.
  • Chen, S. (1982). An Examination of Risk-Return Relationship in Bull and Bear Markets Using Time-Varying Betas. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 17 (2), 265-286. [Crossref]
  • Clarkson, P.M., Thompson, R. (1990). Empirical Estimates of Beta When Investors Face Estimation Risk. Journal of Finance, 45 (2), 431-453. [Crossref]
  • Cwynar, W. (2008). Personalizacja w pomiarze ryzyka rynkowego (Personalization in the measurement of market risk). e-Finanse - Finansowy Kwartalnik Internetowy, 8, 1-10.
  • Deb, S.G., Misra, S. (2011). Are Equity Betas Stable? Evidence from Indian Equity Market. The IUP Journal of Applied Finance, 17 (4), 5-25.
  • Dębski, W., Feder-Sempach, E. (2012). Beta Coefficients of Polish Blue Chip Companies in the Period of 2005-2011. Folia OeconomicaStetinesia, 2, 90-102.
  • Dębski, W., Feder-Sempach, E., Świderski, B. (2013). Stabilność parametru beta w okresie rynku byka i niedźwiedzia dla największych spółek warszawskiej GPW. Journal of Management and Finance, 11 (2), 89-102.
  • Eubank, A.A., Zumwalt, J.K. (1979). An Analysis of the Forecast Error Impact of Alternative Beta Adjustment Techniques and Risk Classes. The Journal of Finance, 34 (3), 1015-1025.
  • Fabozzi, F.F., Francis, J.C. (1977). Stability Tests for Alphas and Betas over Bull and Bear Market Conditions. The Journal of Finance, 32 (2), 1093-1099. [Crossref]
  • Feder-Sempach, E. (2011). Ryzyko inwestycyjne. Analiza polskiego rynku akcji. Warszawa: CeDeWu.pl Wydawnictwa Fachowe.
  • Fisher, L., Kamin, J.H. (1985). Forecasting Systematic Risk: Estimates of "Raw" Beta that Take Account of the Tendency of Beta to Change and the Heteroskedasticity of Residual Returns. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20 (2), 127-149. [Crossref]
  • Kim, M., Zumwalt, K. (1979). An Analysis of Risk in Bull and Bear Markets. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 14 (5), 1015-1025. [Crossref]
  • Kurach, J. (2013). Does Beta Explain Global Equity Market Volatility - Some Empirical Evidence. Contemporary Economics, 7 (2), 55-66.
  • Lin, W.T., Chen, Y.H. (1990). Investment Horizon and Beta Coefficient. Journal of Business Research, 21 (1), 19-37. [Crossref]
  • Levy, R.A. (1974). Beta Coefficient as Predictors of Return. Financial Analysts Journal, 30 (1), 61-69.
  • Maddala, G.S. (2008). Ekonometria. Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN.
  • Ray, K.K. (2010). Stability of Beta over Market Phases: An Empirical Study on Indian Stock Market. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 50, 174-189.
  • Sercu, P., Vanderbroek, M., Vinaimont, T. (2008). Thin-Trading Effects in Beta: Bias v. Estimation Error. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 35 (9/10), 1196-1219. [Crossref]
  • Sharpe, W.F. (1963). A Simplified Model of Portfolio Analysis, Management Science, 9 (2), 277-293.
  • Singh, R. (2008). Beta Stationarity over Bull and Bear Markets In India. The Icfai Journal of Applied Finance, 14 (4), 32-47.
  • Tarczyński, W. (2009). O pewnym sposobie wyznaczania współczynnika beta na polskim rynku kapitałowym (About a method of determining the beta coefficient on the Polishcapital market). Zeszyty Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego, 561, 199-214.
  • Witkowska, D. (2008). Badanie stabilności współczynnika beta oszacowanego na podstawie prób o różnej długości (Examination of the stability of the beta parametr estimated from tests of differentlengths). Rynek Kapitałowy. Skuteczne inwestowanie. Studia i Prace Wydziału Nauk Ekonomicznych i Zarządzania, 9, 143-154.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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Identyfikator YADDA
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