Konwergencja płodności krajów europejskich

• Autorzy: Ewa Soja

Warianty tytułu

Fertility Convergence in European Countries

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

W pracy podjęto próbę odpowiedzi na pytania, czy spadkowi dzietności obserwowanemu od lat 60. XX wieku towarzyszyła konwergencja płodności krajów europejskich oraz jak zróżnicowane ścieżki przemian płodności wyodrębnionych grup państw Europy wpływały na badany proces. (fragment tekstu)

EN

This paper seeks to investigate if fertility levels in European countries between years 1960-2004 were becoming similar. This period is characterized by significant changes in fertility that ultimately have led to the lack of generations replacement in Europe. Explaining the reasons of fertility decline within the second demographic transition, researchers suggest to separate two pathways (e.g. Frejka, Sobotka, Hoem, Toulemon 2008) which result from different economic, social and cultural considerations in European countries. This division refers to countries from Western Europe and from Central and Eastern Europe. Taking this division into consideration, a convergence analysis has been performed for all European countries and for separated groups of countries. Total fertility rate was employed as a measure of fertility. In order to assess its convergence, sigma and beta convergences have been applied (e.g. Dorius 2008), which were adopted by demographers from research on convergence in economic growth models. Also, to evaluate the dynamics of the convergence process in European countries, an analysis of intermediate periods between 1960 and 2004 has been carried out. A global depiction of demographic processes convergence has been proposed by Wilson (2011). On the basis of a fertility change analysis conducted for the world population divided into three regions (with European countries as a one group among them) a long term convergence has been proved. With respect to long term fertility changes, the results achieved by this study accord with Wilson's findings. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Płodność; Demografia

EN

Fertility; Demography

• Czasopismo: Studia Ekonomiczne / Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
• Rocznik: 2011
• Numer: nr 95 Współczesne problemy demograficzne w dobie globalizacji : aspekty pozytywne i negatywne
• Strony: 13--19

Twórcy

autor

Ewa Soja

Bibliografia

• T. Frejka, T. Sobotka, J. Hoem, L. Toulemon: Summary and general conclusions: Childbearing Trends and Policies in Europe. "Demographic Research" 2008, No. 19 (2), s. 5-14.
• Ch. Wilson: On the scale of global demographic convergence 1950-2000. "Population and Development Review" 2001, No. 27(1) s. 155-171
• Ch. Wilson: Understanding global demographic convergence since 1950. "Population and Development Review" 2011, No. 37(2), s. 375-388.
• S.F. Dorius: Global demographic convergence? A reconsideration of changing intercountry inequality in fertility. "Population and Development Review" 2008, No. 34(3), s. 519-537
• G. Lanzieri: Is there a fertility convergence across the Member States of the European Union? Paper presented at the Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections, Lisbon, 28-30 April 2010.
• R. Barro, X. Sala-i-Martin: Convergence. "Journal of Political Economy" 1992, No. 100(2), s. 223-251