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2014 | Vol. 4, No 1 | 47--60
Tytuł artykułu

A VAR analysis of the expenditures-side effects of passive fiscal policy in Poland in 2004-2012

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
In this paper the methodology to assess the effectiveness of automatic stabilizers is applied to Polish quarterly data for 2004-2012. The methodology is based on the separation of permanent from cyclical components of public expenditures and estimation the effect of stabilizers in private consumption and output. In European Monetary Union, without the possibility of monetary policy, passive fiscal policy is the only instrument that the authorities are able to use to dampen the effects of business cycle at national level. The paper presents the analysis of the effectiveness of fiscal policy in Poland based on the structural VAR approach. The analysis show a positive response of industrial production and private consumption to expenditure shocks. It is worth underlying that reaction of industrial production to cyclical component of government expenses is more significant that the reaction of private consumption. In both cases both variables response to public spending is immediate and it takes place in first quarter. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
47--60
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Kazimierz Pułaski University of Technology and Humanities in Radom, Poland
Bibliografia
  • Alesina A., Tabellini G. (2005), Why is fiscal policy often procyclical?, NBER Working Paper No. 11600
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  • Buti M., Martinez-Mongay C., Sekkat K., vad den Noord P. (2003), Automatic Stabilizers in EMU: A Conflict Between Efficiency and Stabilisation?, "CESifo Economic Studies", vol. 49, nr 1.
  • Darby J., Melitz J., Social spending and automatic stabilizers in the OECD, Economic Policy October 2008 pp. 715-756 Printed in Great Britain
  • Dolls M., Fuest C., Peichl A., Automatic stabilizers and economic crisis: us vs. Europe, NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 16275, 2010.
  • Górecki B., Ekonometria. Podstawy teorii i praktyki, Key Text, Warszawa 2010.
  • Hemming R., Mahfouz S., Schimmelpfennig A (2002)., Fiscal Policy and Economic Activity during Recessions in Advanced Economies, IMF Working Paper.
  • Krajewski A., Funkcjonowanie automatycznych stabilizatorów koniunktury na przykładzie republiki federalnej Niemiec w latach 1980-1998, Ruch prawniczy, ekonomiczny i socjologiczny, rok LXVII - zeszyt 1 - 2005, Uniwersytet im. Adama Mickiewicza i Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Poznaniu.
  • Lucas, Robert (1976), "Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique". In Brunner, K.; Meltzer, A. The Phillips Curve and Labor Markets. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 1. New York: American Elsevier, s. 19-46.
  • McKay A., Reis R. (2013), The role of automatic stabilizers in the U.S. business cycle, NBER Working Paper No. 19000.
  • OECD, (1999), http://www.oecd.org/eco/outlook/2087789.pdf, (dostęp: marzec 2013)
  • Perotti, R. (2002), Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries, ECB Working Paper No. 168.
  • Rotemberg, J.J. and Woodford, M. (1988): Oligopolistic Pricing and the Effects of Aggregate Demand on Economic Activity, NBER Working Paper Series No. 3206,
  • Talvi E., Vegh C.,(2005), Tax Base Variability and Procyclical Fiscal Policy, NBER Working Paper No. 7499.
  • Van den Noord P. (2000), The Size and Role o f Automatic Stabilizers in the 1990s and Beyond, "OECD Economic Department Working Paper" nr 230, January.
  • Woo J. (2005), The Behavior of Fiscal Policy: Cyclicality and Discretionary Fiscal Decisions, "Fiscal policy workshop" January, University of Oslo.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171321965

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