Koncepcja krzywej Phillipsa - podstawy teoretyczne i szacunki dla Polski

• Autorzy: Dawid Piątek

Warianty tytułu

The Concept of Phillip's Curve - Theoretical Grounds and Estimations for Poland

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie dyskusji, toczącej się w teorii ekonomii na temat wymienności inflacji i bezrobocia (krzywa Phillipsa). Omówiono teoretyczne podstawy, wynikające z tej krzywej. Ustalenia te poddano weryfikacji dla gospodarki polskiej, z wykorzystaniem metod ekonometrycznych. Stwierdzono, że zależność między bezrobociem a inflacją obserwowana w krajach o rozwiniętej gospodarce rynkowej występuje także w Polsce.

EN

The aim of the article is to present a discussion taking place in the theory of economics on inflation-unemployment trade-off between and (Phillips curve). Theoretical grounds resulting from this curve are discussed. These findings were verified for the Polish economy by means of econometric methods. On the basis of the analysis of the rate of unemployment and the rate of CPI in Poland in the years 1997-2004 it was estimated that there exists an interdependence between those variables. According to Granger, changes in the rate of unemployment are the reason for changes in the rate of inflation and changes in the rate of inflation are the reason for changes in the rate of unemployment. Estimations of the Phillips curve made it possible to state that there exists a negative interdependence between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate, which means that within a short period of time a "trade-off may occur between those anables. This is convergent with the findings of the contemporary theory of economics. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Teoria ekonomii; Inflacja; Bezrobocie

EN

Economic theory; Inflation; Unemployment

• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe / Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu
• Rocznik: 2006
• Numer: nr 72
• Strony: 27--40

Twórcy

autor

Dawid Piątek

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