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1997 | 44 | z. 2 | 241--257
Tytuł artykułu

Zastosowanie modelu racjonalnych oczekiwań do opisu kształtowania się płac przeciętnych w Polsce 02.1991-04.1995

Warianty tytułu
The Application of the Rational Expectations Model for a Description of the Shaping of Average Wages in Poland in Poland, February 1991 - April 1995
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
EN
The study provides the results of an estimation of the average wage function. The estimation was carried out by means of the instrumental variables method which accepts as instruments the exogenic variables occurring in the model and a sequence corresponding to theoretical values for the variable p, taken from the delay distribution model for P= 1 and S=4 and alternatively, P= 2 and S=4. All estimations have proper symbols, are statistically essential, and their absolute values come from permissible variabilility intervals. The obtained results throw a new light on the functioning of inflation processes in Poland during the transformation period. They prove that expected price changes have an basic impact on shaping average wages in the enterprise sector. This finding is a confirmation of a universally held opinion about the role of expectation in the acceleration of the inflation. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
44
Numer
Strony
241--257
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Uniwersytet Łódzki
autor
  • Uniwersytet Łódzki
Bibliografia
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  • [5] P.J. Dhrymes, Distributed Lags: Problems of Estimation and Formulation, Holden-Day, San Francisco 1971.
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  • [8] M. Friedman, Nobel Lecture: Inflation and Unemployment, Journal of Political Economy, 85, (1977), nr 3, s. 451-472.
  • [9] P.A. Frost, Some Properties of the Almon Lag Technique when One Searches for Degree of Polynomial and Lag, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70, (1975) s. 606-612.
  • [10] C.P. Harper, Testing for Existence of a Lagged Relationship within Almon's Method, Review of Economics and Statistics, 59, (1977), s. 204-210.
  • [11] D. Jorgenson, Rational Distributed Lag Functions, Econometrica, 34, (1966), s. 135 - 149.
  • [12] L.M. Koyck, Distibuted Lags and Investment Analysis, North-Holland, Amsterdam 1954.
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  • [16] Lucas R.E., An Equilibrium Model of Business Cycle, Journal of Political Economy, 83, (1975), s. 1113-1144.
  • [17] Lucas R.E., Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory, Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 12, (1980), s. 696-715.
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  • [21] Phelps E.S., Money Wage Dynamics and Labor Market Equilibrium, Journal of Political Economy, 76, (1968), nr 4, s. 678-711.
  • [22] Samuelson, P.A., Solow R.M., The Problem of Achieving and Maintaining a Stable Price Level: Analytical Aspects of Anti-Inflation Policy, American Economic Review, 50 (1960), nr 2, s. 177- 194.
  • [23] Schmidt P., On the Difference between ConditionalandUnconditional Asymptotic Distribution of Estimates in Distributed Lag Modeb with Integer Valued Parametres, Econometrica, 41, (1973), s. 165-169.
  • [24] Schmidt P., Waud R.N., The Almon Lag Technique and the Monetary Versus Fiscal Policy Debate, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 68, (1973), s. 11 - 19.
  • [25] Solow R.M., On the Family of Lag Distributions, Econometrica, 28, (1960), s. 393-406.
  • [26] Tobin J., The Wage-Price Mechanism: Overview of the Conference, w: The Econometrics of Price Determination Conference, (1972), Federal Reserve System, Washington D.C.
  • [27] Wallis K.F., Econometric Implications of the Rational Expectations Hyphothezis, Econometrica, 48, (1980), s. 49-73.
  • [28] Welfe A., Ekonometryczny model płac przeciętnych w sferze produkcji materialnej w polskiej gospodarce, Przegląd Statystyczny, (1990), tom 37, nr 1-2, s. 48-61.
  • [29] Welfe A., Modele płac przeciętnych w sferze produkcji materialnej, Wiadomości Statystyczne, (1992), nr 12, s. 10-13.
  • [30] Welfe A., Inflacja i rynek, (1993), PWE, Warszawa.
  • [31] Welfe A., Ekonometria, (1995), PWE, Warszawa.
  • [32] Welfe A., Majsterek M., Florczak, W., Model Pętli inflacyjnej w gospodarce pobkiej - analiza kointegracyjna, Przegląd Statystyczny, (1995), tom 41, nr 3, s. 245 - 264.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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Identyfikator YADDA
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