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2007 | nr 1176 Inwestycje finansowe i ubezpieczenia - tendencje światowe a polski rynek | 233--241
Tytuł artykułu

Cykle koniunkturalne w ubezpieczeniach - wybrane teorie

Warianty tytułu
Insurance Cycles - the Chosen Theories
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
Przedmiotem artykułu jest obserwowane od kilku dziesięcioleci zjawisko cykli koniunkturalnych w ubezpieczeniach, nazywanych w skrócie cyklami ubezpieczeniowymi (insurance cycles, underwriting cycles). Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie wybranych teorii cykli koniunkturalnych występujących w ubezpieczeniach. Opisano następujące teorie: zmian struktury rynkowej, irracjonalnych błędów prognozy, błędów pomiaru, ograniczeń kapitałowych oraz strony popytowej. (fragment tekstu)
EN
Researchers have been interested in insurance cycles more or less since the mid 1970s. It was time of exceptionally strong growth in medical malpractice insurance premiums and rigorous underwriting standards in the USA. The reasons for cyclical changes in insurance are described by many theories. The most important hypotheses are: market structure fluctuations theory, theory of irrational forecasting errors, theory of measurement errors, capital constraint models, and demand side hypotheses. The authors of hypotheses mentioned above are not unanimous about the meaning of variables taken into account and their influence on underwriting cycles. The debate on sources of cyclical changes in insurance and their consequences for insurance market as well as the whole economy becomes sound especially after breaking events such as hurricanes Katrina and Andrew or terrorists attack on the WTC in New York.. (original abstract)
Twórcy
  • Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu
  • Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu
Bibliografia
  • Bums A.F., Mitchell W.C., Measuring Business Cycle, Studies in Business Cycles nr 2, NBER, New York 1946.
  • Choi S., Hardigree D., Thistle P.D., The Property/Liabilty Insurance Cycle: A Comparison of Alternative Models, "Southern Economic Journal" 2002, 68(3).
  • Cummins D., Danzon P., Price, Financial Quality and Capital Flows in Insurance Markets, "Journal of Financial Intermediation" 1997, vol. 6.
  • Cummins D., Outreville F., An International Analysis of Underwriting Cycles in Property-Liability Insurance, "Journal of Risk and Insurance" 1987, vol. 54.
  • Cummins J.D., Doherty N., Lo A., Can Insurers Pay for the "Big One"? Measuring the Capacity of an Insurance Market to Respond to Catastrophic Losses, The Working Paper Series, 98-11B, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania 1999.
  • Doherty N., Garven J., Price Regulation in Property-Liability Insurance: A Contingent Claims Approach, "Journal of Finance" 1986, vol. 41.
  • Fenn P., Cycles in Underwriting Profits for UK Insurers: Dynamic Panel Data Result, The Annual Meeting of UK Insurance Economists, Nottingham, 26/27 March 2003.
  • Gron A., Capacity Constraints And Cycles in Property-Casualty Insurance Markets, "RAND Journal of Economics" 1994 nr 1, vol. 25.
  • Higgins M.L., Thistle P.D., Capacity Constraints And The Dynamics of Underwriting Profits, Economic Inquiry, 38, 3, "ProQuest Social Science Journals", lipiec 2000.
  • Insurance Information Institute, Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers, 2001.
  • Lai G.C., Witt R.C., Fung H., MacMinn R.D., Brockett P.L., Great (and Not So Great) Expectations: An Endogenous Economic Explication of Insurance Cycles and Liability Crises, "The Journal of Risk and Insurance" 2000 nr 4, vol. 67.
  • National Underwriter. P&C, June 13, 2005, vol. 109, iss. 23.
  • Sandmo A., On the Theory of the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty, "The American Economic Review", March 1971.
  • Stewart В., Profit Cycles in Property-Liability Insurance, Issues in Insurance, American Institute for Property and Liability Underwriters, Malvern 1984.
  • Venezian E., Ratemaking Methods and Profit Cycles in Property and Liability Insurance, "Journal of Risk and Insurance" 1985, vol. 52.
  • Winter R., Solvency Regulation and the Property-Liability "Insurance Cycle", "Economic Inquiry" 1991, vol. 29.
  • Winter R., The Liability Crisis and the Dynamics of Competitive Insurance Market, "Yale Journal on Regulation" 1988, vol. 5.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
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